SURPRISE! Israel's Attack On Hamas Undermines Fatah Instead--NYT

by: Paul Rosenberg

Thu Jan 15, 2009 at 11:34


Israel's war fantasy of destroying Hamas is having quite the opposite effect--undermining its secular rival, instead, according to a NYT news analysis:

"War on Hamas Saps Palestinian Leaders"
By ISABEL KERSHNER

JERUSALEM - Israel hoped that the war in Gaza would not only cripple Hamas, but eventually strengthen its secular rival, the Palestinian Authority, and even allow it to claw its way back into Gaza.

But with each day, the authority, its leader, Mahmoud Abbas, and its leading party, Fatah, seem increasingly beleaguered and marginalized, even in the Palestinian cities of the West Bank, which they control. Protesters accuse Mr. Abbas of not doing enough to stop the carnage in Gaza - indeed, his own police officers have used clubs and tear gas against those same protesters.

The more bombs in Gaza, the more Hamas's support seems to be growing at the expense of the Palestinian Authority, already considered corrupt and distant from average Palestinians.

"The Palestinian Authority is one of the main losers in this war," said Ghassan Khatib, an independent Palestinian analyst in the West Bank city of Ramallah. "How can it make gains in a war in which it is one of the casualties?"

....

Ever since Hamas began its one-party rule of Gaza, in the summer of 2007, Israel and the West have tried to turn Gazans against Hamas through an economic embargo and diplomatic isolation. While there is certainly anger at Hamas among Gazans, it pales beside the anger at Israel, the West and what some see as Fatah's collusion with those enemies.

The only thing surprising about this is that the Times is publishing this analysis right in the midst of the carnage--an indication, perhaps, that the failure of Israeli policy is becoming undeniable.  Of course, it's not just counter-productive for Israel, as bin Laden has issued a renewed call for Holy War.

Meanwhile, Israel attacks a hospital, UN headquarters and an international media building....

Paul Rosenberg :: SURPRISE! Israel's Attack On Hamas Undermines Fatah Instead--NYT
Israeli forces shell UN headquarters in Gaza
By IBRAHIM BARZAK and AMY TEIBEL - 1 hour ago

GAZA CITY, Gaza Strip (AP) - Israeli forces shelled the United Nations headquarters in the Gaza Strip on Thursday, setting fire to the compound filled with hundreds of refugees as U.N. chief Ban Ki-moon was in the region on a mission to end Israel's devastating offensive against the territory's Hamas rulers.

Ban expressed "outrage" over the bombing. He said Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak told him there had been a "grave mistake" and promised to pay extra attention to protecting U.N. installations. The Israeli military had no immediate comment on the bombing, which a U.N. official said injured at least three people.

....

Shells also struck a hospital, five high-rise apartment buildings and a building housing media outlets in Gaza City, injuring several journalists.

Bullets entered another building housing The Associated Press offices, entering a room where two staffers were working but wounding no one. The Foreign Press Association, representing journalists covering Israel and the Palestinian territories, demanded a halt to attacks on press buildings....

Ban, who arrived in Tel Aviv on Thursday morning from Egypt, said he was "outraged" by the attack on the U.N. headquarters.

"I conveyed my strong protest and outrage to the defense minister and foreign minister and demanded a full explanation," Ban said. He said Barak told him there had been a "grave mistake" and promised to pay extra attention to protecting U.N. installations....

U.N. spokesmen confirmed that at least three people were wounded but said the fire and smoke engulfing the compound made it impossible to know if it had been completely evacuated.

U.N. spokesman Adnan Abu Hasna said the U.N. had given Israel the coordinates of the building and the compound was also clearly marked with U.N. flags and logos. Large stocks of food and fuel used to supply hospital and water pumps were at risk of destruction, as were valuable U.N. archives dating back to 1948, Abu Hasna said.

Hours earlier, thousands of residents had fled their homes with the advance of Israeli ground troops into Gaza City's Tel Hawwa neighborhood. Many were clad only in their pajamas, and some were wheeling elderly parents in wheelchairs, one of them with an oxygen tank. Others stopped journalists' armored cars and ambulances pleading for someone to take them to a U.N. compound or to relatives' homes.

Rasha Hassam, a 25-year-old engineer, ran out of her apartment building carrying her screaming, crying, 6-year-old daughter, Dunia.

"God help us, God help us, where can we flee?" she cried. "All I want is to get my poor child away from here. We want to survive."

Thousands of others were trapped in Tel Hawwa's high-rise buildings by the fire, too afraid to even attempt to flee.

Three shells hit the Al Quds hospital in the neighborhood, setting its pharmacy building ablaze, trapping about 400 patients and staff inside the main hospital building, said Khaled Abu Zeid, a medic inside the building reached on his mobile phone. Gunfire was also reported around the building. It was not clear how many people inside had been wounded in the fighting.

What Can Be Done?

There are no easy ways to change directions.  But there is clearly a shift happening, and we must look for ways to take advantage of that shift, magnify and expand on it.

Yesterday, in a comment to my diary "A Zionist Historian Debunks Israel's Attack On Gaza", jeffroby wrote:

So what? Thoughts on how to proceed, one state, boycott

Paul, you make clear the justice of the Palestinian position about as well as it can be made.  But what we run up against is that Israel is overtly committed to ignoring anything but force, and the U.S. government is about as monolithic in support of Israel as can be imagined.  Then what is our leverage?  What are the fault lines that can be hammered?

Here are a few points to consider as I essentially think out loud:

(1)  The 2-state solution is becoming less and less viable with each passing day.
(2)  A 1-state solution would mean the death of Israel as an explicitly Jewish state.  The irony here is that Israel, by missing the chance of a 2-state solution, is courting its own destruction.
(3)  World opinion, including Europe, the Arab world, and U.S. liberalism, is generally aligned in favor of a 2-state solution around something like the 1967 borders.
(4)  As Bowers recently pointed out, Israeli opinion agrees that the current situation is effectively one of apartheid, even though, once again, American liberal opinion lags behind Israeli public opinion.
(5)  The word "boycott," which has generally been the province of academics, is popping up more and more recently.

The question regarding any tactic is whether it can achieve critical mass to become effective, unlike the "one little candle" schemes that sound good and go nowhere.  I think there has been a shift in world and even U.S. opinion, in response to the latest round of horrors, that can give it that critical mass within a very few years.  (South African apartheid was brought down, but over how many years?  We've got to think beyond the latest atrocities.)

A boycott has to have specific ends.  Boycott Israel until it jumps into the sea?  Boycott Israel until it promises to be good?

The task of progressive leadership is not to simply support what is popular, which is not leadership, or to put forward its most ideal demands.  I mean, I have some very strong ideas about how the world should be run, but impotent isolation is not my idea of a good time.  The task is to develop a position (and tactic) that intersects popular movement but is slightly ahead of it.

Thus boycotting Israel in demanding a 2-state solution fails to lead, and locks us into a solution that is becoming unviable daily.  Boycotting Israel in demanding a 1-state solution puts us in a state of splendid isolation.
But what goals would be compatible with and advance both 1- and 2-state solutions:

(1)  Stop settlement expansion and close down (at least) the Hebron settlement.
(2)  Free travel for Palestinians.  Close the checkpoints, open up Gaza.
(3)  End Israeli military incursions into the West Bank and Gaza.  Allow Gaza full access to the world economy.

The above is not a fixed plan of action.  Rather I set forth a methodology that can give us tactical relevance and can be built upon.  There are many questions that remain unanswered.  In the real world, not all questions have to be answered.

And Sara added:

Boycott Problems...

This has been considered in the past -- and there have been problems with each effort.  This isn't to say it isn't an idea to be explored, but some of the "failures" need to be understood.  

About four years ago, the Presbyterian Church USA decided to sell off stock in Caterpillar earth moving Equipment because it was being used to destroy houses on the W. Bank.  It was something of a symbolic effort -- but it raised quite a storm in the US, with AIPAC and associates going head to head with the Presbyterians.  Sadly, it was also at a time when Caterpillar was very much at odds with its UAW Union, and that was brought into the mix, causing the Presbyterians to back off, as the UAW Union was brought into the dispute, very much making a mess of the symbolic action the Presbyterians had intended.  They never intended to be engaged in a Labor Management dispute.  A few good things came of it -- some Presbyterian Congregations were well read on the issues, and had provocative discussions and conferences over the multiple issues with neighboring Jewish Congregations -- but it was not well organized, and remained local.

I tend to think something similar to what the Presbyterians attempted could work -- assuming the intent is to open honest dialogue on Israeli Occupation Tactics, if it had been better planned, hadn't been open to fuzzing the issue with the Labor issue -- and if it had been planned on a much broader basis...more than just Presbyterians.

I would add another dimension--organizing within the Democrtic Party, if for no other reason than because it is so counter-productive for our efforts to combat global terrorism.  Democracy Now! headlines this morning reported:

Bin Laden Tape Calls for "Holy War" Over Gaza


Osama bin Laden has resurfaced in a new audiotape calling for a holy war over the Israeli attack on Gaza. The undated recording condemns Israel and the United  States.
    Osama bin Laden: "We are with you, and we will not let you down. Our fate is tied to yours in fighting the Crusader-Zionist coalition, in fighting until victory or martyrdom. God has bestowed us with the patience to continue the path of jihad for another seven years, and seven and seven... The question is, can America continue its war with us for several more decades to come? Reports and evidence would suggest otherwise."

As it becomes increasingly clear how counterproductive this attack--and the entire philosophy behind--really is, both for Israel and the US, it should become possible to do real, sustained grassroots organizing within the Democratic Party.  Democrats as a whole are far less supportive of Israel's attacks than Republicans are.  Only 31% minority of Democrats were supportive immediately after the attacks began, according to Rasmussen, compared to 55% of Republicans.

It's obvious, of course, that Obama does not want to have to deal with this.  But there's really no avoiding it.  bin Laden's original motivation--his obsession over US troops in Saudi Arabia--held very little resonance.  It is US meddling in general, our invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, and the Israel/Palestine conflict that fuel the anger he and other jihadists draw on to make "holy war."

The neocon way, the Likkud way, do not work. They are fighting fire with gasoline, and using every failure as an excuse for more of the same.  It's time to go a different way.


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I have to believe that (4.00 / 1)
at this stage, all Israelis, from the most dovish to the most hawkish, whatever they may say out loud, realize that the strategy of killing Palestinians in order to make them "listen to reason" and become more peaceable is doomed to backfire. How many times must the sun rise in the East before one notices the regularity?

I think that for most Israelis, attacking the Palestinians is no longer a means toward the end of peace. Its sole remaining justification is to exact punishment -- damn the consequences. If the desire is to punish, then, at that, the war has been and will be very successful.

This is why, when Israel's apologists are asked how they can justify the war, they simply invoke a country's right to self-defense. That right, they believe, justifies the attack (any disproportion being irrelevant in their minds). If there's no real prospect that the act of "self-defense" makes them any safer, they don't really care -- it's the ability to strike out and punish on some presumed moral pretext that is important to them; it is precious to them entirely in its own right.

What we are seeing in a pure form in Israel is punishment as an act of retribution. This is the kind of primitive morality to which they have reduced themselves.


I Agree That's What It Comes Down To (4.00 / 2)
But I don't think that can be sustained.  The end result is punishing Israel much more than it's punishing the Palestinians--the exact opposite of the short-term.

Why? Because Israel simply will cease to exist.  That is the long-term consequence that the Israeli people are truly in denial about.

So, I think the basic point of attack is this--When people invoke Israel's right to self-defense, say, "But this isn't self-defense; it's suicide by self-created enemy.  Shooting yourself in the foot isn't self defense.  Fighting fire with gasoline isn't self-defense."

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
It doesn't have to be sustainable (0.00 / 0)
one needs only to outlive the opponent, self-created or otherwise, to bask in the fleeting sense of justification brought by their righteous destruction.

Or, so I've heard.

"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


[ Parent ]
Yes, military escalation obviously... (4.00 / 1)
...does not bring peace or security. The first intifada was fought by Palestinian boys with rocks. The second intifada was fought by adults with small arms. Then came suicide bombers. And now Hamas is regularly launching rockets at Israel.

Whatever excuse the Israelis have for their escalating militaristic approach, it is obviously not working to reduce the threat to Israel. In fact, it looks like the whole idea is to create and renew an on-going threat to Israel so that the right-wing militarist Israelis can stay in power. And, of course, Hamas has a similar self-interest in ensuring that Israel never acts reasonably.

The only way I know to stop an on-going feud like this is for wiser, calmer outsiders to come in and force it to stop. Unfortunately, the US is not this force -- the US just eggs on the Hatfields to destroy the McCoys.


[ Parent ]
I posted this on another site recently: (0.00 / 0)
Does anyone remember the bullies that tied to pick a fight by pushing you down? And how they claimed that you actually pushed them? You're sitting on the ground and they want you to apologize for something they did to you? But you don't. Then bullies move it up a notch, pinning you down to the ground. And each time you struggle to get up, they claim that you were fighting them. But you still won't apologize. They press your face into the dirt. If you move at all or even try to breath, the aggression escalates. How dare you! The fists hit your face, but by now you would rather die than be cowed.

Rightly or wrongly I think this is how the Palestinians feel and it is also where world opinion is going. Look at what happened to the Romans and their persecution of early Christians. Or, European Jews at the hands of the Nazis--Jewish communities have rebounded from the holocaust and are as strong as ever. (Correct me if I am wrong.)

Turn your enemies into martyrs and you are likely to loose. Most people would rather die than loose their dignity.


[ Parent ]
Lose! (0.00 / 0)
Duh. My bad right brain.

[ Parent ]
to agree with you and expand on my own thoughts a little (4.00 / 2)
Your focus is correct.  The disparity between Democratic Party leadership and the ranks of Democrats and independent Obama supporters is a major fault line that should be hammered without mercy.  Obama strikes me as a very tough guy, and I don't think we need to hold back lest it damage his domestic recovery plans.

To clarify my own piece a bit, our goal is not to create a boycott, or become leadership of the boycott movement.  That movement exists already, and I believe will grow exponentially in the coming year.

In line with Paul, our task would be to generate support for that boycott movement in any and every way possible, emphasizing a list of specifics such as stopping settlements, ending the checkpoints, etc.

Key to achieving this, I believe, is to think internationally, not just nationally.  A national mind-frame is too depressing, but there are forces of progress beyond our borders that we can take inspiration from, even as we leverage our location in what used to be known as "the belly of the beast."  The Empire has gone global, and so must we.

Full Court Press!  http://www.openleft.com/showDi...


I Certainly Agree In Spirit (4.00 / 1)
Care to get a little more specific?

I have to admit that I'm not focusing anywhere nearly as well on the strategic/tactical interface as I would wish.  So as long as I'm not (and even when I am), I really appreciate others stepping forward with their suggestions.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Thinking Internationally -> boycott of US, also (0.00 / 0)
Why focus on just Israel?

Also, I think people should consider trying to shift the focus from just 1 hotspot to the larger problem of tribalism that does not bode well for a planet that needs to deal humanely with overpopulation. Why doesn't the entire Middle East declare war - but on water shortages, not each other? That's the sort of war where you optimally win by cooperating, and if you win big enough, you can freely go swimming in a hot climate without feeling guilty, at all. :-)

I have to admit, this may be too much of a leap for most people, but I don't see where problems in the Middle East will end even if Israel and Hamas kiss and make up. Doesn't there almost have to be a point of identity that forces the consciousness of disparate peoples into a space where they have something significant in common? Enough to transcend millenia-old identities?

I probably should stop there, but I'll get even weirder. :-) I've long believed that human civilization needs to develop not just a planetary consciousness, but even a universal one. Why aren't we aggressively looking to colonize Mars and other points non-terrestrial? If salmon don't leave the place of their spawning, they die. Can we develop a sufficiently planetary consciousness to ensure the survival of humankind if we never look beyond this beautiful, but very troubled globe?

BTW, I saw a report recently that NASA will announce evidence of microbial life on Mars. See, e.g., http://timesofindia.indiatimes...

435 Dem Primaries 2012
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[ Parent ]
Klaatu Barada Nikto (0.00 / 0)
but, somehow, orgnizing a boycott of the US seems like it would be the peace movement's equivilent of what the Israelis are doing right now, working so hard to defeat themselves.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
I don't follow (0.00 / 0)
I was thinking mostly of non-Americans boycotting American goods and tourism to America, plus a cut in oil production that will boost the price of oil (and hurt all oil-consuming countries, but that's unavoidable with a fungible commodity).

I suppose, though, that Americans boycotting American goods is a theoretical possibility. We could all buy foreign makes of cars, e.g. Obviously, it'd take more effort and self-discipline for Americans to damage their own economy.

Where are those disgusted, angry, anti-American foreigners when you need 'em?  :-)

435 Dem Primaries 2012
Coffee Party Usa
TheRealNews.Com


[ Parent ]
I am vague in part because we are on new ground ... (4.00 / 1)
... and the situation is somewhat undefined.  My focus is often on method, not answers.  But I'll give it a try.

First, let's have Obama take office, and see what he says.  My expectations on the Middle East are low, but it's good manners.  I was actually pleased by Hillary's remarks at her confirmation hearing yesterday.  She referenced the suffering of both Palestinians and Israelis, but mentioned Palestinians first.  Not what you or I would have said by light years.  But the Israeli government must be saying, "Uh oh!"  There is a wedge there.

Secondly, what boycott activity is already out there?  I certainly don't know, but there's Cindy Sheehan, Roseanne Barr (sometimes wacky, but an incredibly passionate voice on her better days), the folks in LA who chained themselves to the Israeli embassy, the demonstrators, Cynthia McKinney.  What are their respective demands?

Thirdly, watch Congress.  Watch the Black Caucus.  The unanimity in Congress is not sustainable.  What do they say under pressure?

I wouldn't go much further without some groundwork.  I'm no expert, at heart, I'm just some guy aghast that my tax dollars are funding mass murder.

But broadly there are two fronts we can move one.  First is the political struggle within the blogosphere.  There are largely two positions:  those who are critical/scathing in their denunciations of the Gaza genocide, and those who are SILENT!  By and large, the silent ones know they are on the wrong side of history, but their loyalty is to the Democratic Party first and foremost, and principles are secondary at best.  (This is why I label myself an independent Democrat, with independent foremost.)

They can be hammered.  This is a "which side are you on" matter.  We have the high ground, and politeness at such a moment is highly over-rated.

As the murdered Guatemalan poet Otto Rene Castillo wrote:

... Apolitical intellectuals
of my sweet country,
you will not be able to answer.
A vulture of silence
will eat your gut.
Your own misery
will pick at your soul.
And you will be mute in your shame.

The second front is that we can back the pro-Palestinian forces already out there and (most critically) when they lack an electoral strategy, we can be the transmission belt between their actions and demands and both the liberal blogosphere and Democratic Party electoral arena that we primarily interface.

That should keep us busy for a few days.

Full Court Press!  http://www.openleft.com/showDi...


[ Parent ]
Piling on (4.00 / 2)
This may be piling on, but here's an article by a reporter who talked to a number of American academic experts on Arab politics who all came to the conclusion you have about the strengthening of Hamas and the weakening of Fatah.

This violence is just nihilistic.



The Only Alternative (4.00 / 1)
is one we've discussed before--that Hamas loses out to new groups--Salafis, almost certainly--who make them look like Boy Scouts.  Fatah isn't even in the running.

Right now, fortunately, it doesn't look like Hamas will be displaced in the short run, at least.

Thank God that Israeli incompetence is working at cross-purposes with their stupidity.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Smart, Israel (4.00 / 2)
"Ever since Hamas began its one-party rule of Gaza, in the summer of 2007, Israel and the West have tried to turn Gazans against Hamas through an economic embargo and diplomatic isolation. While there is certainly anger at Hamas among Gazans, it pales beside the anger at Israel, the West and what some see as Fatah's collusion with those enemies."

Is Israel stupid?  Seriously.  The best way to make people like you isn't to embargo them economically and isolate them diplomatically.  OBVIOUSLY.  I had an ex-girlfriend once who was going through some social trouble.  How did I try to help her?  NOT by confronting her, since she hated me, but by talking to her FRIENDS and asking them to support her.  Israel is in no position to dictate anything to the Gazans.  If they want to drive out Hamas, they need to convince Gaza's friends and allies to do something, or the UN.  It's basic playground dynamics, and Israel's fucking it up.


Precisely! (4.00 / 1)
When it comes down to the bottom line, Isreal is actually incapable of "exercising it's right of self-defense."  What it does to "defend itself" and its citizens could not be more antithetical to its stated goals if that were the purpose all along.  And it quite literally cannot help itself.

Which is why others have to.


"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
We have been trying to organize the democrats (4.00 / 1)
forever.  It never works because clearly the Democrats owe something to many elements of the pro-israel lobby, probably defense.   Boycotts maybe blunt and negative, but they are really the only alternative if the mainstream party doesn't work.  I am sorry.

My blog  

I'm Always Leary Of OTROWISM (4.00 / 1)
OTROWISM = "One True Right and Only Way"-ISM.

I am often quite passionate in my arguments, but I don't ever think that they lead to only one conclusion in the grand scheme of things (though they well may so far as one particular argument is concerned).

While I'd certainly agree with your assessment in terms of the past, my sense is very much that there are openings now that didn't exist previously.  Partly, it is the neocons.  As Juan Cole pointed out, the Israeli excuses are such patent rip-offs of the neocons in Iraq that it's hard to listen to any of them without laughing bitterly.

So, my sense is we have to work on several fronts at once, and not put all our eggs in one basket. It will take a combination of efforts to produce any sort of real change.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
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