"State of the Dream 2009" & How 30 Years of Conservative Economics Has Stiffled Black Progress

by: Paul Rosenberg

Sat Feb 21, 2009 at 16:22


On Thursday, Dedrick Muhammad, co-author of the new report "State of the Dream 2009: The Silent Depression", from United for a Fair Economy, appeared on Democracy Now.  Right off the top, he said:

I think one of the most important findings is that-the idea that the African American community never emerged out of the 2001 recession. As the country was talking about things were going well in 2005, 2006, we saw that African Americans were actually having a decline in the employment rate, a decline in per capita income.

Prompted by Juan Gonzales on the issue of the wealth gap, Muhammad continued:

The overwhelming majority of African Americans and Latinos do not even have a savings enough that would keep them going for three months. And as you see growing unemployment and, what's not talked enough about, underemployment, there is not that safety cushion to help you get through hard times. African Americans only have about 15 percent of the wealth of white Americans. And so, again, African American community, Latino communities, and also just working-class communities as a whole, are in a much more dire situation than I think is truly recognized. And we need some political courage to deal with these issues adequately.

In covering this report, I want to do two things.  First, present an overview of the scope of the main findings of the report.  That's what I'm going to so in this diary. Second, in a follow-up diary, I want focus in on the confluence of several driving dynamics: (1) The pre-existing racial disparities in wealth and income dating back to the pre-Civil Rights Era.  (2) The sharp break between pre-1975 liberal economics and post-1975 conservative economics, after which economic advancement was sharply concentrated amongst the more affluent, and particularly the super-rich. (3) The concentration of wealth-promoting policies on those who need it least-those who are already among the most affluent of all Americans.  What this combination of factors shows is that there is a very real, hard-core economic explanation for why blacks (as well as Latinos) have been mired in struggle economically, despite the fact of tremendous efforts over the last four decades.  Those explanations also tie back into conservative ideology, which is directly responsible for closing off opportunities for a poor people in general, and blacks and Latinos in particular.

Paul Rosenberg :: "State of the Dream 2009" & How 30 Years of Conservative Economics Has Stiffled Black Progress
Topline Info

As explained above, my purpose in this diary is to present a run-down of the topline info from the executive summary (page numbers refer to expanded discussion in the report itself).  I'm also including some charts that vividly present the dramatic gaps that remain between whites and people of color.  The purpose here is simply to bring these often-ignored differences squarely into public attention.  The follow-up diary will focus more specifically on what's behind these persistent differences.

Income and the State of the Economy
  • Although the National Bureau of Economic Research did not announce until December 1, 2008 that the U.S. has been in a recession, it has been apparent to many that this country has been in a growing recession for more than a year. People of color have been in a recession for nearly five years and have entered a depression during the current economic crisis. (pp. 10, 21, 24)
  • The Black unemployment rate is currently 11.9%. Among young Black males age 16-19,unemployment is 32.8%. (pp. 10, 11)
  • The median household incomes of Blacks and Latinos are $38,269 and $40,000, respectively, while the median household income of whites is $61,280. (pp. 18, 19)
  • People of color are disproportionately poor in the United States. Blacks and Latinos have poverty rates of 24% and 21% respectively, compared to a 10% poverty rate for whites. (p. 18)
  • A deep recession would see median U.S. family income decline by 4% and Black income decrease by 6%. Thirty-three percent of Blacks and 41% of Latinos would be in danger of falling out of the middle class into poverty compared to 25% nationally. (pp. 6, 14)

As the above chart makes abundantly clear, there is no prospect of black and white incomes reaching parity anytime soon.  Indeed, if income equality is to be our measure, progress towards equality is virtually non-existent in America today.  No wonder "equality of opportunity, not equality of results" has become a mantra of America's racial politics.  But, of course, there isn't equality of opportunity, either.  It's just not so incredibly easy to demonstrate this in one fell swoop.

Housing
  • Since United for a Fair Economy published State of the Dream 2008: Foreclosed in January 2008, estimates of foreclosures from late 2008 to the end of 2009 have increased from 1.1 million to 2.2 million and the estimated total loss of housing wealth for homeowners has increased from $2.2 trillion to $2.7 trillion. (p. 48)
  • In 2006, 18 million households spent more than 50% of their income on housing. That number has since surged by almost 4 million. (p. 22)
  • In nearly half of low-income households, after housing costs are paid, families have only $257 a month left for food, $29 for clothing, and $9 for medical care. (p. 22)

The above chart tips my hand a bit for the follow-up diary.  It shows how little government support goes to poor people for asset-building in housing, as opposed to how much goes to more affluent people.  Because blacks are substantially poorer than whites, as a whole, this means that blacks get far less help in buidling wealth when it comes to housing.  Is it any wonder, then, that most of them never seem to make any progress?  It has nothing to do with them as individuals, and everything to do with how federal money is diverted toward some people, and away from others.

Mobility
  • Children born in the bottom 20% only have a 1% chance of reaching the top 5% of income earners. (p. 6)
  • In 2006, more than 68.6% of funds in government programs designed to increase economic mobility were directed toward the top 10% of income earners. We recommend more federal asset-building funds be directed toward Individual Development Accounts and financial education for people in the bottom 40%. (p. 28)
  • People of color are more likely to be poor (24.5%), remain poor (54%), and move back into poverty from any income class status than their white counterparts. (pp. 6, 7, 8, 9)

Not only are more white children born into higher-income quintiles than black children, more white children in each qunitile rise to a higher quintile than their parents in their adult lives.  This would appear to reflect the fact that the wealth gap between the races is larger than the income gap (see next chart below), and that greater wealth reflects a greater capacity to increase income over time.

Wealth
  • Nearly 30% of Blacks have zero or negative worth, versus 15% of whites. (p. 24)
  • Only 18% of people of color have retirement accounts, compared to 43.4% of their white counterparts. (p. 23)
  • On the median, for every dollar of white wealth, people of color have 15 cents. On average, people of color have 8 cents for every dollar of white wealth. (p. 28)

While the black/white income gap will be closed in "just" 347 ytears, it will take more than another 200 years--247 years more, to be exact--to close the black/white wealth gap.  This is surely a contributing factor to why black children in every quintile are less upwardly mobile than white children in the same income quintile: on average, those with equal incomes do not have equal wealth, and wealth reflects a greater capacity to increase income over time.

Structural Racism and Policy
  • Concentrated poverty creates barriers to economic and educational mobility. Blacks and Latinos are twice as likely to live in these areas as whites. (pp. 33, 34, 35)
  • U.S Census Bureau should change its measurement of poverty in time for the 2010 census. The current method underestimates the numbers of the most marginalized. These gaps give policymakers an inaccurate view of the scope of the problems of poverty. (p. 33)
  • We urge the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) to integrate into indicators of recession measures for wealth inequality, asset accumulation, income inequality, employerbased benefits versus employee-based benefits, and the various types of unemployment. This will help bring economic problems to the forefront and help end the crisis of silence about the true state of the dream. (p. 52)

One key factor in overcoming poverty is having social and institutional connections to those who do not live in povert--people who can provide mentorship, training, job opportunities, etc.  In contrast, those who live in high-poverty neighborhoods have relatively few contacts with people and institutions who can provide opportunities to work themselves out of poverty.

In light of the extreme concentration of poverty that blacks and Latino's live with, it is hardly surprising that overall poverty rates remain so high.

Conclusion

All the above economic information has to do with mass data, and shows clear patterns of causation that are completely unsurprising.  None of any of it is primarily related to personal characteristics, such as work effort.  This is not to say that personal characteristics play no part, of course.  If one lives in a high poverty neighborhood, and there are few ways out, it's only natural that over time one is far more likely to give up on trying to get ahead via sustained hard work.  But this is not due to anything innate.  Anyone who grew up in such circumstances would be more likely to respond in the same way.  In the followup diary, we will focus more systematically on how the changing economy, and conservative policies that encouraged as well as exacerbated it have made things even tougher for minorities.


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Technical question (0.00 / 0)
Paul:
I'm looking at the report PDF. How did you manage to copy the individual graphs to put into your diary?

I can't seem to do this via the Acrobat interface within the web browser.

Just curious, I don't have any immediate reason to want to clip something out, you seem to be doing a fine job discussing this report.

Policies not Politics


I Use The Snapshot Tool (0.00 / 0)
to copy an image of the PDF page to the clipboard, then post it into a paint program and save.

(Actually, in almost all cases it's a little more tricky, as I want to blow up the source references a little bit to keep them legible.  But that sort of fiddling is pretty routine.)

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
conservatives (4.00 / 1)
live in the past and are afraid of the future and the change it might bring, i can't think of any positive area where conservatism doesn't stifle progress. since cons are so enamored with the past let the rest of us move forward and they can stay in the imaginary world that exists in their ignorant minds.  

Real conservatives (4.00 / 2)
might prevent or slow certain abuses of power (wire taps, torture, disenfranchisement of minorities, the poor, the old).  The current crop mostly does not even fake this, they just grab power by whatever means are available. Values my a**.

[ Parent ]
You Must be Kidding Me (0.00 / 0)
There's so much wrong with this "analysis" that it would be funny if there weren't people that actually believed  this cr@p.  I don't even know where to begin.  

"How 30 Years of Conservative Economics Has Stiffled Black Progress"?  For those folks that just browse titles it looks great but for those of us that actually read the entire article it's clear that this connection is not made.  The author thinks that the Home Mortgage Interest deduction is a "subsidy".  OMG, I'm pulling my hair out. Is all money made owned by the government and it's a "subsidy" when they let me keep some of it?

"Clear patterns of causation"?  Are you kidding me?  No pattern of causation is demonstrated here.

I grew up on the other side of the tracks.  I joined the army for the college fund.  Used the money to get an engineering degree.  Moved to the other side of the tracks.  This oportunity was made available to EVERYONE!  Not just this poor white kid.  


You Poor, Ignorant Ideological Nitwit... (2.67 / 3)
Until FDR restructured the mortgage market, only a modest fraction of the American people could afford to own their own home.  It was government intervention that made the modern, home-owning middle class possible in the first place.

And about 130 years earlier, it was Jefferson's purchase of the Louisiana Territory that made the 19th-century, homestead-owning middle class possible.

Both these governmental acts of mass enrichment most certainly did create a sound moral foundation for claiming a just portion of taxes from the wealth so created. And anyone who didn't like the deal could always emigrate to Antarctica with their own personal copy of Atlas Shrugged in tow.

This deal, however, did not extend to African Americans, who continue to be excluded in a wide variety of ways that you are simply too damn lazy and narcissistic to learn anything about.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Really? (0.00 / 0)
"...wide variety of ways that you are simply too damn lazy and narcissistic to learn anything about."

Because I'm too lazy can you please identify for me a program which African Americans are excluded by law?  (try to keep it in this century please) That's OK, take your time.  I'll settle for just one.  

ps.  The name calling isn't really helping your point (not that you had one to begin with)  130 years ealier...lol    


[ Parent ]
You Really ARE A Lazy Ignorant Bastard (2.40 / 5)
Did I say, "excluded by law"?

No, of course not.

Stupid fucking conservative asshole.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Sry, Paul, but TRed for the headline. (0.00 / 1)
Otherwise strong arguments to debunk that guy's unbased belief in upward mobility. Like you pointed out, studies show that the "self made millionaire" success story has actually become more seldom over the decades. Would have been a mojo rating if not for the ad hominem title.

[ Parent ]
What? You Think I Should Kiss Troll Ass? (0.00 / 0)
Troll-rated right back at you, 'cause that's not what troll-ratings are for.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
I still think that sinking to the same lows serves no purpose. (0.00 / 0)
As ridiculous as the comment may have been, going ad hominem in the answer can't be a solution to this. And, sry, but it is my longheld belief that frontpage bloggers not only have to follow the same rules as us mere commenters, but should even set an example for reasonable discourse. And no amount of rating abuse will make me change this opinion.

[ Parent ]
How do black marriage rates relate to family income? (0.00 / 0)
If say 2/3 of black children are in single-parent homes, it's not surprising that 1) black family income will be lower on average than white family income, and 2) that those children will not have on average many of the family structural benefits that would let them compete with two-parent families or be more successful than their parents who did have a more settled home life. (Personal attention, extra income, complementary male/female behavioral input to increase situational choices, etc.)

Additionally, the number of white families with both parents working professionally has increased greatly since the 70's, which of course pushes that family income up without taking into account additional expenses and lost time at home.

Thirdly, there's not much indication of what happened in the 90's, so we're led to believe that this is just straight line trend, rather than perhaps things got worse to 1992, got better for a while and then got worse again?


These Aren't One-Way Relationships (4.00 / 3)
A very big reason that black marriage rates are lower is that many black men just don't make enough.  The typical progression is that men marry only after gaining solid employment that makes them good marriage material.  This remains true even as women play an increasing role in earning income.

Regarding the 1990s, the last half of the decade was much better for blacks, no doubt about it.  But black unemployment was still twice that of whites, even then.  It's just that rates for both were lower.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Spelling (0.00 / 0)
It's stifled.
JC, the spelling bitch

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