Thursday Mid-Day News and Election Round-Up

by: Chris Bowers

Thu Sep 06, 2007 at 12:27


Six items:

  1. Now Craig is likely to Resign:
    Seems like this changes every other day:

    Sen. Larry Craig has all but dropped any notion of trying to complete his term, and is focused on helping Idaho send a new senator to Washington within a few weeks, his top spokesman said Thursday.

    "The most likely scenario, by far, is that by October there will be a new senator from Idaho," Craig spokesman Dan Whiting told the Associated Press.

    The only circumstances in which Craig might try to complete his term, Whiting said, would require the overturning by Sept. 30 of his conviction for disorderly conduct in a men's room at the Minneapolis airport, as well as Senate GOP leaders' agreement to restore Craig's committee leaderships posts taken away this week.

    Those scenarios are unlikely, Whiting said.

    That was a brief comeback. I had hoped he would stick around.

  2. Details Of Senate Iraq Plan Emerging
    And it isn't pretty:

    After short-circuiting consideration of votes on some bipartisan proposals on Iraq before the August break, senior Democrats now say they are willing to rethink their push to establish a withdrawal deadline of next spring if doing so will attract the 60 Senate votes needed to prevail.

    Senator Carl Levin, Democrat of Michigan, said, "If we have to make the spring part a goal, rather than something that is binding, and if that is able to produce some additional votes to get us over the filibuster, my own inclination would be to consider that."

    Of course, such a plan will neither reduce the number of troops in Iraq, nor result in increased political pressure on Republicans. So I really have no idea what it accomplishes. More on this later.

  3. Dodd Opposes Levin-Reed
    Dodd steps up on Iraq funding:

    "Rather than picking up votes, by removing the deadline to get our troops out of Iraq you have lost this Democrat's vote.(…)

    "I cannot and will not support any measure that does not have a firm and enforceable deadline to complete the redeployment of combat troops from Iraq. Only then will Congress be able to send a clear message to the President that we are changing course in Iraq, and a message to the Iraqis that they need to get their political house in order.

    "I urge my colleagues to join me and declare their opposition to this measure."

    Opposition like this makes me feel good, and once again progressives will have to be a swing block that prevents weaker legislation from passing on the first try. However, at the same time, I admit that the way this entire fight is shaping up is making me very depressed, as I really don't know what do to as an organizer, or what the path to victory is.

  4. Edwards Wins Endorsement Of Transport Workers Union
    Edwards is regularly taking in labor support now:

    The New York City-based Transport Workers Union of America endorsed John Edwards on Thursday, saying the former North Carolina senator was the most electable of the Democratic presidential candidates.

    Edwards was to be in New York City to accept the endorsement.

    There are about 200,000 memebrs of this union, very few of whom live or work in early states.

  5. Democrats Well Ahead In Ohio
    The latest poll from Quinnipiac shows Clinton and Edwards well ahead of every Republican, and Obama well ahead of Thompson and Romney but tied with Giuliani and McCain. In the primary, Clinton has a three to one advantage. On the Republican side, Giuliani leads Thompson 21%-15%.

  6. New Clinton and Obama Ads
    Both focus on "change." Here is Obama:

    Here is Clinton:

    I think I prefer Clinton's ad, but neither strike me as real standouts. Matt has more on this above.

So, what else is in the news today?

Chris Bowers :: Thursday Mid-Day News and Election Round-Up

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Turns out (0.00 / 0)
Edwards is STILL driving the frontrunners for taking positions on issues, and now for music in ads.

Turns out the music in Hillary's ad is the same in John Edwards' ad from 2 months ago: http://mydd.com/stor...

All I have to say there is lol


Let Iraqis Vote on Withdrawal (0.00 / 0)
"The way this entire fight is shaping up is making me very depressed, as I really don't know what do to as an organizer, or what the path to victory is."

Chris,
  There is a way that moves us toward the withdrawal of all U.S. troops even if funding for the war is approved: strongly supporting or requiring, as a provision of the funding, that Iraq hold a referendum on whether and for how long the U.S. occupation should continue. With Iraqi sentiment so much against the occupation, it would be passed overwhelmingly, and would probably lead to a withdrawal within a year of all U.S. troops. It may be our last, and best, chance to stop this war before the 2008 election. And it's a solid alternative to (1) the "residential troops" with no fixed end date popular among Democratic presidential candidates, and (2) the approach, popular among centrists in Congress, of withdrawing some troops before 2009.

Not only would this be supported by antiwar Democrats in Congress, it should also get the support of moderate Democrats and, crucially, Republicans. A little-noticed poll of Republicans found that 67 percent would support withdrawing if the majority of Iraqis asked us to do so. With the Bush administration's rhetorical support for democracy in Iraq and the Middle East more generally, it will be very hard for them to oppose or even veto such legislation. And, after an Iraqi vote supporting withdrawal, support for the war would collapse across the political spectrum.

  The first step is to split the supplemental into two parts-one to last through March, and then funding for withdrawal. Republicans have talked about "reconsidering" the issue in April (when, coincidentally, the surge deployment must end). Democrats should support only a two-stage supplemental, and the blogosphere can help make this a bottom line. The first six months' funding bill would require or strongly urge the Iraqis to hold an election within that six-month time period. By the time the second six-month supplemental comes up for a vote, the Iraqi vote will have paved the way for a fully funded withdrawal.

  Like you, I assume that Congress will pass the Iraq War supplemental, and that Bush will get his funding. Let's make it a vote that moves us toward approval of a fully funded withdrawal starting in six months, rather than a cave-in.

  This idea has been raised before in a few places but I am the first person that I know of to fully explore how such a vote could occur and what its political effects should be. I am a 25-year student of peace movements and a sometime participant (for example, I taught one of the first college classes in the country, in 1981, on the antiwar movement during the Vietnam War). For a copy of the in-depth proposal, which will be completed Monday, e-mail me at jraymond@ojai.net. Posting it on this site, getting it discussed and publicized, would be a first step toward a new direction. Or, failing serious exploration of this and other new directions, we can continue to wring our hands and shake our heads about not knowing what to do.


Long shots are just that long shots ( A film study pun) (4.00 / 1)
Early in my life I was both a filmmaker ( with my husband) and a film student.

Forget what these two ads say...look at how they say it.

All of Obama's shots are long shots or medium shots.  Clinton's are medium and close ups.  There is more emotive kick to closer shots.  In politics there are many kinds of languages....some are in words in terms of framing the issue and with the visual media the framing is quite literally in the size, shape and content of the shot.

Hillary's face is quite expressive and oddly enough Obama, the inspirational speaker, always seems to have a relatively neutral expression.  Maybe that's why they didn't show him close up because it would show too little.

And these big crowd shots, which they both have, but Obama's is larger ... to show the size of his support I assume ... his are so big that they are actually counterproductive.  Why?  because instead of a relationship between him and others that a viewer can relate to on a one to one basis .... the huge crowd shots just smack too much of mindless adoration typical of other movements not democracies.


"Incrementalism isn't a different path to the same place, it could be a different path to a different place"
Stoller







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