Helping Obama Succeed by Pushing Back

by: Mike Lux

Mon Apr 06, 2009 at 16:00


As I have written several times over the past several months, I think the most important thing progressives can do over the next four years is to help President Obama succeed.  Through most of our country's history, if a President didn't succeed, it was bad for himself and his party, but not necessarily for the country.  But there have been a couple of times in American history - in the 1860s during the Civil War period and in the 1930s/40s during the Great Depression and World War II - when a President's success was fundamental to our country's success.  I believe that our economic crisis is profound enough that now is just such a time.

Beyond that, President Obama's very identity makes it fundamental to progressive prospects for the future that he succeed.  As a multi-cultural, African-American, son of an immigrant, and as the personification of hope for an idealistic young generation, if Obama fails, it hurts progressive hopes for decades if not generations to come, and likely engenders a dangerous right wing populism in response that will undoubtedly be tinged with racism and anti-immigrant fervor.  

The good news is that President Obama has gone out on a boldly progressive course on his budget, health care, climate change, and education plans, and that his stimulus bill had more progressive investments for the public good than any single piece of legislation in history.  Progressives can and should be proud of, and push hard for, all of these great legislative goals of the President.

The problem comes when those of us who are strong supporters of the President disagree with him on something important.

More in the extended entry.

Mike Lux :: Helping Obama Succeed by Pushing Back
On the variety of smaller issues that come up, I'm happy to swallow that difference, or work quietly with members of Congress or members of the administration to change the policy.  But when the issue is so big that it is fundamental to whether Obama is a success in his Presidency, for loyalists like me it presents a tough choice: my personal preference is to quietly disagree without raising hell, but some things are too important to be silent about.  The administration's plan on saving the banking system is too central to the economy's basic.  

Paul Krugman, Dean Baker, Jamie Galbraith, Rob Johnson, George Soros, Leo Hindery, and a variety of other economists and business leaders, who in recent months and years more accurately predicted what was going to happen to the economy than anyone in the government, have convinced me that the Geithner/Summers plan for dealing with the banking and insurance industries is deeply flawed and will not work to help fix our economy.  This plan goes to the heart of whether President Obama has a successful Presidency.  My belief is that Obama is a smart and progressive guy who will eventually figure out a better path, one that puts these big banks into receivership and break them apart.  In the meantime, all of us troubled by the banking plan need to keep pushing him on these issues, for example by joining thousands of our fellow citizens at A New Way Forward rallies on April 11th, and will continue to work with progressive economists, and activists to get better ideas on what to do about our broken banking system into the public debate.  

I hope all progressives will do everything they can to help pass the Obama budget, health care, climate change, immigration agendas, and the rest of his progressive transformational policies.  But on this banking plan, let's join together to push President Obama in the right direction.                                                                                                                                                                                                        


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I agree with the overall point in this post. (4.00 / 2)
The neo-liberal banking plan is bad, while the softly cener-left buget is good overall and worth supporting.

I am uncertain about this subsidiary poiint, though:

Beyond that, President Obama's very identity makes it fundamental to progressive prospects for the future that he succeed.  As a multi-cultural, African-American, son of an immigrant, and as the personification of hope for an idealistic young generation, if Obama fails, it hurts progressive hopes for decades if not generations to come, and likely engenders a dangerous right wing populism in response that will undoubtedly be tinged with racism and anti-immigrant fervor.  

I'm not sure that Obama's failure, if indeed he fails, necessarily leads to right wing populism in response that will undoubtedly be tinged with racism and anti-immigrant fervor.

Identity politics is running its course.  The radical right is marginalizing itself with ideas "tinged with racism and anti-immigrant fervor."  Even if Obama "fails," I do not see a move to racism and anti-immigrant policies.  Joe the Plumber does not reflect the views of many.

I think there are many reaosns to support Obama's budget polcies generally, but fear of a right wing "populist" surge based on racism or anti immigrant hatred is not one of them for me.  

Otherwise, though, good post.


The problem (4.00 / 1)
is that if he fails, he fails big, making the ugliness in our economy a whole lot worse. In that environment, a nasty right wing populism could easily flourish.

[ Parent ]
Even though Obama is no liberal, (0.00 / 0)
the right will is and will paint the failure as belonging to Obama's liberal/socialist policies.  

They're asking for another four years -- in a just world, they'd get 10 to 20. ~~ Dennis Kucinich  

[ Parent ]
In addition to the banks, (4.00 / 1)
he is on the wrong side of trade, which isn't going to help him much in 2012 either.  

The other 39 of the top 40 economies make extensive use of taxes such as Value Added Taxes that remove the tax burden of their economy on their products when they export and tax imports with their burden of their government.  This gives other nations an overwhelming cost advantage over the US.

When US manufactured products compete with imports in the US, the US manufactured products have the full burden of taxes on labor and capital of the US economy while the import has no burden of the US government and no or reduced burden of the foreign government.

The result is much lower wages and fewer jobs for American workers.  I have calculated that for moderateley capital intensive manufacturing - our bad tax policy cuts US wages in half - or just prices the US out of the running as a place for manufacturing.

Investors don't suffer as much as total capital can be put to effective use in other countries, or manufacturing can be sourced from foreign contract manufacturers.

The US should reform our tax policies and bring back competitive capital intensive skilled manufacting as the core to restoring middle class incomes, our trade balance and national debt.

Obama campaigned on renegotiating trade and taxing companies that offshore jobs, and he is doing none of it.  We won't even get into Iraq and Afghanistan.  Who will pay for all of his debt if Americans have too few and too few decent paying jobs?  

Talk about disappointing.  We had a golden opportunity to really put this country on the right track and build a future for ourselves and our kids.  Instead, I feel like we went backswards to the Clinton White House, which wasn't even that great back then.    

They're asking for another four years -- in a just world, they'd get 10 to 20. ~~ Dennis Kucinich  


I don't know why you continue (4.00 / 3)
to insist that the stimulus package is "great" when the rising unemployment rate is making even clearer what was clear when it passed: it was too small.  

Because It Was The Biggest Progressive Legislation Passed (0.00 / 0)
      And while it may have been too small, as you stated, imagine another Democratic President passing this legislation in the last 35 years.  You can't.
     And, if you listened to the debate lately, we will have another stimulus bill.

     More, one stimulus bill of any proportion cannot right this course by itself.  More importantly, there are many more factors that are causing unemployment to rise.  I don't know. . . have you realized that the financial sector was not the only industry living in another stratosphere.

PS  Great post Mike.  I do  agree with the central thrust of your argument.  I think it would be a huge failure for the United States if Obama fails.  What is your take on Afghanistan?  Have you read the criticism of Lawerence Kob proposals?  And his counter arguments for the war?  I respect him a lot, though, I worry about Afghanistan's needs.


[ Parent ]
"imagine another Democratic President passing this legislation in the last 35 years" (4.00 / 2)
Let's see - in the last 35 years we had a Democratic President lose out on a second term in part because of an inflationary spiral that required a Fed-engineered recession with extraordinarily high interest rates to beat. Then we had a Democratic President who came to power in the tail end of a recession, subsequently presiding over a long economic expansion - and therefore under pretty severe constraint in government spending, for fear of setting off the inflationary spiral again.

No I can't imagine it, because the last time a Democratic President had to deal with the 0 lower bound and an ineffectual Fed was 75 years ago.

Yes, the stimulus is pretty progressive. It is actually more progressive than Obama proposed, so chalk up one for the House rather than for Obama. And relative to the problems being addressed, I think there's a pretty good argument that it's not very progressive: a truly progressive stimulus would have at least covered the hole in state education funds, not to mention healthcare and a lot more infrastructure spending. Relative to the problem, I'm afraid the stimulus only gets 30-40% on the progressive scale.

And relative to FDR? Sorry - Obama so far hasn't come off well.


[ Parent ]
Sorry, Butt This Not Pass The Smell (0.00 / 0)
 1.  Carter lost for a myriad of reasons:  dissent within his own party with Kennedy running against; the Iran Hostage Crisis; a very powerful conservative movement; the oil cartel; and of course, inflationary.

2.  If you believe the conventional wisdom that that Clinton did not spend because of fear of inflation, then I guess you believe that Greenspan and Rubin were correct in their policy prescriptions. Clinton and deficit hawks in Congress made a balanced budget a religious mantra.  Clinton did not spend on investments, because his economic team did not believe in Keysian principles.  And, there was nowhere near the liberal and progressive voices and instutions in Washington that are there today. So, even if Clinton believed in decefit spending--I don't see a lot of proof--it would have been hard.  

3. We don't to go back to 75 years; we can go back 45 years with LBJ in the office.  Though, I suppose he did not have a progressive domestic program.

4.  Lastly, I am not sure, if you have been reading the news in the last 3 months. The Stimulus Bill almost did not pass due to due Republican and a handful conservative Democras.  If the legislation process was so easy, I think Obama and Pelosi would gotten what they wanted. But you, obviously, wanted nothing passed.            


[ Parent ]
stimulus and Afghanistan (0.00 / 0)
You said what I would have on the stimulus: yes, it was too small, but it was still a pretty remarkable investment in social capital.
I am the furthest thing from an expert on what to do in Afghanistan, and think it's complicated as hell. I tend to believe we should not escalate there, but I do think we need to figure out a variety of smart ways to help Afghanis defeat the worst elelments of the Taliban.

[ Parent ]
Thanks For Your Honesty On The Matter (0.00 / 0)


[ Parent ]
You call Obama a progressive. (4.00 / 4)
I see little evidence for this. He has spent more time cozying up with right-wing Republicans, Blue dog Democrats, center-right pundits, than he has with anyone from the left. In fact a number of close advisers have been out front attacking the left. His cabinet is right of center. His foreign policy continues to demonize Chavez, although his language towards Iran has softened from that of Bush. He has reneged on his own timetable for withdrawal from Iraq...I personally do not believe he will keep even his new extended "timetable". In terms of Syria...nothing new. On FISA he has reneged. He has backed Lieberman. His choice for head of DNC replacing Dean is Kaine. He has marginalized Wes Clark relying instead on Republican Gates and the military establishment to decide the shape of the escalation in Afghanistan. He talks a great deal of the need to "fix" social security and medicare. I believe this is classic DC verbiage to prepare the ground for cutting benefits. His emphasis on merit pay and accountability in education rather than emphasizing increased resources is classic Republican anti-labor scapegoating. He does nothing to enable an examination of whether Bush et. al acted improperly. His Department of Justice so far has mainly acted to clear Ted Stevens, doing nothing in a myriad of much more politically motivated Bush prosecutions (Siegelman). And of course his Treasury Department is a department of Wall Street, for Wall Street, and by Wall Street...his close connection with Lincoln, no doubt. In terms of labor, he chooses to let EFCA go down the drain. I might be overstating the case, and I am certainly not giving him too much slack. But still this is not such a great resume. Really, what are you basing that evaluation on?

definition of a progressive (4.00 / 1)
We all have our different perspectives, and some of us are more optimistic and some pessimistic. I think you overstate some of the problems (blaming him for Specter and conservative Dems flaking on EFCA doesn't seem fair, for example, and there are other places where I don't things are as bad as you paint it). But I don't think he is a progressive in every area, and you name some problems I agree with.
Here's the case for, so far:

1. The stimulus bill, while too small, made the biggest public investment in progressive projects ever made, including education, health care, low-income programs, energy conservation/renewables, universal broadband, roads and bridges and mass transit, and a host of other programs and projects progressives have been fighting for as long as I've been in politics.

2. His budget proposal does the same thing in terms of public investments. It is easliy the most progressive budget since LBJ's war on poverty budget in 1965, and arguably matches that budget in ambition and progressivity.

3. Pushing big fundamental reform on health care and climate change this year is incredibly important. Again, we might not like all the details he and congress agree to, but pushing for major reform right away is huge.

4. He has clearly made climate change, probably the most important long term issue there is, a huge priority, pushing it from a wide variety of methods in budget policy, agencies, programs, international negotiations, etc.

5. Many of his most important appointees- including Domestic Policy Council head, Congressional Relations head, Political Director, Urban Policy Director, Intergovernmental Relations head, Labor Secratary, Energy Secratary, the head of the FCC, and quite a few others- come from the progressive wing of the party.

6. Most of his early executive orders have been on the strongly progressive side of things.

So, yeah, he is far from perfect so far. But compared to any President in the last 50 years, and arguably since FDR, he is pretty damn good.


[ Parent ]
To a large extent (4.00 / 1)
we agree. I support the stimulus bill...maybe a little too small, maybe a little too much in tax cuts but the stimulus bill is very good. On EFCA I think you are too easy on Obama...he has shown no leadership and expended no political capital on this. It will surely go down to defeat now and it is a central key piece of needed progressive legislation. Leadership means you lead or at least make an attempt. Here I do not think there was the slightest effort on the part of the Obama administration to push this through. In fact I get the impression there is relief that it is now off the table. I have a little more to say but will try to return in a little while.

[ Parent ]
Let me finish my comments. (0.00 / 0)
Normally we give a President some more time to define his priorities and his policies. But we are in a monstrous crisis and these are not normal times. That is why it is right and just to judge Obama and his administration so early. You say in 2 above: "It is easliy the most progressive budget since LBJ's war on poverty budget in 1965, and arguably matches that budget in ambition and progressivity." Again I largely agree. But let me quarrel with your use of the yardstick of past presidents and their policies going back to 1965. This is not fair. Obama comes to office at a time of greater crisis than any President since FDR; he also succeeds the worst disaster of an Administration in the nation's history. To talk of the "most progressive budget since LBJ's" is really doing an injustice to this discussion. The real yardstick should be how progressive the budget is in addressing the monumental problems ahead.

I do not have so much to say about the rest. As you say some of us are more pessimistic. I am not hopeful on health care and I repeat what I said earlier: I read his remarks on social security and medicare as a precursor to a move to trim benefits. I hope I am wrong.


[ Parent ]
For George W it was enough to be President, (0.00 / 0)
Tor Obama -- he also needs to succeed.

Unfortunately, he is tempted to move in some very bad directions, not only on the financial crisis/ripoff and trade, but also on his war in Afghanistan and on continued undermining of the rule of law in the name of false security.

We serve our country and Obama's prospects of success by pushing back with all we've got. He's a pragmatist -- as the stuff he's doing fails (except maybe the cover-ups of democratic decay) he'll move in directions that work. We give him cover to do so.

Can it happen here?


OK, here's an idea for "pushing back" - by proxy (0.00 / 0)
If the banking system issue really is that big (and I don't doubt it), then voter passions should be channeled accordingly. While Obama's fate in 2012 is likely to be determined by the end of next year, I doubt he's thinking much about it, now. But for Congressional elections that are coming up sooner....

Why not create a primary "hit list", where registered voters pledge not to vote for a particular incumbent during the primaries, who is in their party, and who is up for reelection in 2010, unless they pass muster on the banking issue. This list should be online, with built-in functionality for sending email to email lists that you put online, etc. The "hit list" members have to be determined by some objective measures, which I conveniently leave for politically smart people like OpenLeft front pagers, to figure out.

Well, I will make a suggestion or two for a requirement to not end up on a hit list. And that is that Congressperson X must attend Y many rallies per month, such as the 'A New Way Forward rallies on April 11', and that they must furthermore speak out about what the Obama administration is doing wrong. If they're too cowardly to criticize an Obama policy, or too busy shmoozing with lobbyists to even show up, or just don't see things our way, why should we want them to return to Congress? (OK, this could be a complex decision. But I'm ignoring complexities.)

I suppose a number of specific requirements for a restructured banking system, which has been blessed by a blue ribbon panel of economists, and which needs to be endorsed by the incumbent (in whole or in part), should also be a requirement.

When you get enough Congress critters worrying about their jobs, then they will put pressure on Obama for us.

I don't have the impression that a lot of pressure can be put on Obama directly, unless rallies like 'A new way forward' get truly massive turnout.

Note that this idea is similar to my call for a modern day ostracism process, with a key difference being that this idea calls for just economic/banking criteria to be used. Another difference (also underscoring it's importance), is that not just a quarterly report card-ostracism is the dubious reward, but rather a final grade of 'F' is going to be handed out by the voters. This 'F' will function like an 'F' in the business world - you just get fired. It does not function like a grammar school set of 'F'-s, wherein one gets to repeat a year. A third difference is that, with the ostracism idea, at least for US Senators, you can ostracize any of them. With this idea, you can only pledge to deny your primary vote to somebody you could actually vote for.

Some final notes: A web site supporting this primary hit list idea will allow you to print out a web page showing which of your Senators and Representatives you have pledged to primary, along with an 'F' in a huge font in the middle of the page. You take this along with you on demonstrations, wave it around, hang it around your neck with a light chain, and hopefully, show it to any reporters that show up.

Just as important, in terms of growing a movement, is that you can post it on your cubicle wall at work, and chat it up with your coworkers.

The web site should also allow users to update their profile after a primary election, to show that they did, indeed, not vote for somebody that they said they wouldn't vote for.

DemocracyABC.org
TheRealNews.Com
http://www.pdamerica.org


I want Obama to succeed, for the sake of the country.... (0.00 / 0)
....but as I see it now, he was put in power by Robert Rubin and his cronies on Wall Street, and he knows it, he is afraid to take on the people who put him there.  Unfortunately this means that he is being set up to be the fall guy for a multi-trillion dollar bail-out of Wall Street that will permanently break the financial back of the country.

And what follows, when the political price for this comes due, is truly frightening.  The person above claiming there is no longer serious concern for racism or xenophobia, really needs to wake up.  A lot of formally idealistic people are going to be very, very angry.

As for Afghanistan, who cares?  Pakistan is disintegrating, think the US is not going to hang around to secure its nuclear weapons for years to come?  Where do you think Obama's call to rid the world of nuclear weapons comes from?


"Don't be the fall guy" may be a very powerful meme (4.00 / 1)
It occupies a grey area in that we don't expect a smart guy like Obama to willingly be a fall guy, unawares, and yet it'll help bring a dose of reality to many of Obama's citizen/fans (and with any luck, will also become a concern for the very intelligent Michelle Obama, who can have private discussions about it with her President husband.)

Well, being a slightly nonsensical meme doesn't mean that it can't be a powerful one. If "Coke - it's the real thing" can have power, in spite of not making any sense, why can't "Don't be a fall guy, Obama!"?

DemocracyABC.org
TheRealNews.Com
http://www.pdamerica.org


[ Parent ]
It's also less abrasive than "Don't be a fool, Obama!" (0.00 / 0)
[ Parent ]
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