Should We Spend $150 Million to Prevent the Apocalypse? Nah, Let's Celebrate Bo and Hamburgers.

by: David Sirota

Sun May 03, 2009 at 17:34


I love Wired magazine - it's far and away the magazine that best mixes serious substance, great writing and straight-up fun into one package. Of course, this article in Wired isn't so much "fun" as it is downright frightening:

For scary speculation about the end of civilization in 2012, people usually turn to followers of cryptic Mayan prophecy, not scientists. But that's exactly what a group of NASA-assembled researchers described in a chilling report issued earlier this year on the destructive potential of solar storms.

Entitled "Severe Space Weather Events - Understanding Societal and Economic Impacts," it describes the consequences of solar flares unleashing waves of energy that could disrupt Earth's magnetic field, overwhelming high-voltage transformers with vast electrical currents and short-circuiting energy grids. Such a catastrophe would cost the United States "$1 trillion to $2 trillion in the first year," concluded the panel, and "full recovery could take 4 to 10 years." That would, of course, be just a fraction of global damages.

Not surprisingly, the rest of the media has been far more interersted in covering Barack Obama's portuguese water dog and his hugely important decision to eat a hamburger than in bothering to do any examination of this situation. I say "not surprisingly" because this is par for the course. I'm guessing you hadn't seen this tiny classified-ad-sized story about a meteor that came with a few thousand miles of creating a nuclear-bomb-sized blast. I'm guessing that while you did know about Bo's jaunts on the White House lawn, you didn't see this report about NASA reseachers saying another meteor that could create a blast 100,000 times stronger than Hiroshima has a chance of hitting earth in 2036.

I mention all of this because it's not like public policy can't do anything about these potential sci-fi-meets-real-world scenarios. It can - especially in the case of solar flares:

David Sirota :: Should We Spend $150 Million to Prevent the Apocalypse? Nah, Let's Celebrate Bo and Hamburgers.
Wired.com: What's your solution?

Kappenman: What we're proposing is to add some fairly small and inexpensive resistors in the transformers' ground onnections. The addition of that little bit of resistance would significantly reduce the amount of the geomagnetically induced currents that flow into the grid.

Wired.com: How much would it cost?

Kappenman: We're still at the conceptual design phase, but we think it's do-able for $40,000 or less per resistor. That's less than what you pay for insurance for a transformer...If you're talking about the United States, there are about 5,000 transformers to consider this for. The Electromagnetic Pulse Commission recommended it in a report they sent to Congress last year. We're talking about $150 million or so. It's pretty small in the grand scheme of things.

It is pretty small - but you get the sense from our wholly ridiculous and vacuous political/media debate, it's exactly those kind of commonsense and future-looking proposals we ignore.


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Thank you (4.00 / 1)
It really makes me feel wonderful that I know little more about the dog and the burger than what you just repeated here, while I was fully aware of the "classified-ad sized" story and the solar flare report.

Thanks again.


"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


Just saw a show on "super volcanoes" (0.00 / 0)
Yellowstone is in fact a super volcano-it is approx 50,000 years over due to explode again. The last one to erupt was 75,000 years ago, it nearly wiped out humanity. It might be nice to try spend some money on this.

Already been done (0.00 / 0)
and the Obama Administration got slammed in the M$M for wasting stimulus money on "volcano monitoring".

"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


[ Parent ]
That's a lot of hype. Long Valley Caldera in CA is our most (0.00 / 0)
recent supervolcano eruption, and it did not wipe out life.
And, per the USGS:
"'A statement, widely repeated in popular media, regards such eruptions as occurring at Yellowstone 'every 600,000 years' with the latest eruption having been '600,000 years ago'. This is commonly taken to imply that another such eruption is 'overdue'."

Link: http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2007/1...

None of that is to say that volcano monitoring is not highly worthy of our funding $$$, of course.


[ Parent ]
In 2036 I'll be either 90 (0.00 / 0)
and ready to go, or dead already.

Being childless, if a meteor takes out humanity along with all the rest of life (other than bugs), it will be irrelevant to me.

A meteor a million times more destructive than humanity's poor efforts at destruction?

It's ALL "rock" and roll...


Then why care about the environment, either? (0.00 / 0)


[ Parent ]
The resistors will be useful when scientists fire up the ionospheric heater (0.00 / 0)
In addition to severe space weather events, the next time scientists fire up their experimental instrument which is capable itself of severely disrupting the Earth's magnetic field it will be useful to protect transformers against damage.

Eastlund's background is in plasma physics and commercial applications of microwave plasmas. At a lecture early this month at Penn State Lehigh Campus in Fogelsville, Pennsylvania, he outlined new concepts for electromagnetic wave interactions with the atmosphere that, among a range of jobs, could be applied to weather modification research.

"The technology of artificial ionospheric heating could be as important for weather modification research as accelerators have been for particle physics," Eastlund explained.

In September [2005], Eastland filed a patent on a way to create artificial ionized plasma patterns with megawatts of power using inexpensive microwave power sources. This all-weather technique, he noted, can be used to heat specific regions of the atmosphere.

Eastlund's research is tuned to artificial generation of acoustic and gravitational waves in the atmosphere. The heating of steering winds to help shove around mesocyclones and hurricanes, as well as controlling electrical conductivity of the atmosphere is also on his investigative agenda.



You know, during the Cold War (4.00 / 1)
this would have been very, very easy to fund:  just start talking about (a) the threat from some kind of Soviet electro-magnetic attack instead of solar storms, or (b) tell Congress that the USSR is going to put resistors in their electrical grid, which means that in 2012 the US will face a massive resistor gap, and anyone who votes against the funding is practically inviting Ivan and Igor to conquer our country, burn down our churches, and steal our women.

Somewhat harder during our current age, but for expediency's sake I'd suggest stitching together some way in which these resistors will protect us from some kind of Terra attack.

Oh, and if the worst-case scenario happens, there'll be at least one benefit -- nothing reduces carbon output like a massive economic collapse!


Simple solution: tie it to terrorism (4.00 / 1)
I think USAma has been meeting with some renegade scientists from North Korea and they are planning to build a giant laser with which to stimulate the Sun to release one of these giant flares and crash the world economy.

Now, all we need is Condi Rice, or Colin Powell to step up and run the ad campaign.


"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


[ Parent ]
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