Cutting Through Economic Obfuscation--A Reality-Based Narrative About The Economic Meltdown

by: Paul Rosenberg

Sat May 09, 2009 at 18:15


The Center for Public Integrity has issued a new report, Who's Behind the Financial Meltdown? The Top 25 Subprime Lenders and Their Wall Street Backers.  As explained on their blog:

Who's Behind the Financial Meltdown? The Top 25 Subprime Lenders and Their Wall Street Backers is a mammoth study on the financial meltdown, why it happened, and who is responsible.

We're not saying any one person should be singled out for blame, necessarily. However, we are providing a few candidates based on the facts. Think of this as a tripod of blame - a three-legged stool of responsibility, or better yet, irresponsibility:

    First, there are the subprime lenders - the worst of which saturated the airwaves with commercials, bombarded e-mail inboxes with spam, and happily made loans to virtually anyone who could sign their name.

    Second, there are the giant Wall Street and European investment banks that backed all that subprime lending. They put up hundreds of billions of dollars so they could create securities from these risky mortgages to sell to investors.

    And lastly, there is the government that stood by and did nothing. Bottom line: We have witnessed a massive regulatory failure of catastrophic proportions.

In this project we identify the top "Subprime 25" lenders. We report that at least 21 of them were either owned or financed by a financial institution that has received government bailout money, and that four of these have paid big settlements for lending abuses.

This is a point that's been made before, but never so forcefully, and with such solid documentation behind it-the subprime crisis was created by the very banking institutions that are now being bailed out.  They quite literally did it to themselves.  Just to get things started, here's the list of the top 10 lenders:

Paul Rosenberg :: Cutting Through Economic Obfuscation--A Reality-Based Narrative About The Economic Meltdown
From the report itself:

Key Findings

The top subprime lenders whose loans are largely blamed for triggering the global economic meltdown were owned or backed by giant banks now collecting billions of dollars in bailout money - including several that have paid huge fines to settle predatory lending charges. The banks that funded the subprime industry were not victims of an unforeseen financial collapse, as they have sometimes portrayed themselves, but enablers that bankrolled the type of lending threatening the financial system.

These are among the findings that emerged from the Center for Public Integrity's analysis of government data on nearly 7.2 million "high-interest" or subprime loans made from 2005 through 2007, a period that marks the peak and collapse of the subprime boom. The computer-assisted analysis also revealed The Subprime 25 - the top 25 originators of the high-interest loans, accounting for nearly $1 trillion and about 72 percent of industry-reported subprime loans during that period.

More specifically, the report goes on to say:

• At least 21 of the top 25 subprime lenders were financed by banks that received bailout money - through direct ownership, credit agreements, or huge purchases of loans for securitization.
• Nine of the top 10 lenders were based in California, including all of the top five - Countrywide Financial Corp., Ameriquest Mortgage Co., New Century Financial Corp., First Franklin Corp., and Long Beach Mortgage Co.
• Twenty of the top 25 subprime lenders have closed, stopped lending, or been sold to avoid bankruptcy. Most were non-bank lenders.
• Eleven of the lenders on the list, including four recipients of bank bailout funds, have made payments to settle claims of widespread lending abuses.

This goes directly counter to the conservative narrative blaming "irresponsible lenders"--many of them minorities--and further confirms what ACORN has been saying since the last few weeks of the election, when the Republicans first attempted to lay the blame on them.  It was institutions responsible for predatory lending who played a leading role in creating this whole catastrophe, not the people who being victimized by them, or who were fighting to stop them.  But this time, it's an outside group providing the analysis, and it's based on millions of loan documents.

Here's a chart showing how the relationship between income and loans changed substantially over a few short years:

And here's what happened to the market as a result:

There's no doubt what was driving things, and it wasn't a conspirarcy of would-be homeowners out to hoodwink the world banking establishment. The namubers were staring the banks right in the face.  If they were afraid of those numbers, they had all sorts of time to react.  But the only reaction they had was to fight against regulation.

As part of the report, an article by Kat Aaron is particularly illuminating on this subject: "Predatory Lending: A Decade of Warnings Congress, Fed Fiddled as Subprime Crisis Spread"

Here is how it begins:

A little more than a decade ago, William Brennan foresaw the financial collapse of 2008.

As director of the Home Defense Program at the Atlanta Legal Aid Society, he watched as subprime lenders earned enormous profits making mortgages to people who clearly couldn't afford them.
The loans were bad for borrowers - Brennan knew that. He also knew the loans were bad for the Wall Street investors buying up these shaky mortgages by the thousands. And he spoke up about his fears.

"I think this house of cards may tumble some day, and it will mean great losses for the investors who own stock in those companies," he told members of the Senate Special Committee on Aging in 1998.

It turns out that Brennan didn't know how right he was. Not only did those loans bankrupt investors, they nearly took down the entire global banking system.

Washington was warned as long as a decade ago by bank regulators, consumer advocates, and a handful of lawmakers that these high-cost loans represented a systemic risk to the economy, yet Congress, the White House, and the Federal Reserve all dithered while the subprime disaster spread. Long forgotten Congressional hearings and oversight reports, as well as interviews with former officials, reveal a troubling history of missed opportunities, thwarted regulations, and lack of oversight.

What's more, most of the lending practices that led to the disaster are still entirely legal.

The article goes on to desccribe a number of efforts to raise warning flags, and change the rules to add protections--all of them thwarted.  The parallels with the Bush Administration's refusal to heed warnings about al Qaeda are too painfully obvious to need any further commentary, except to note how much longer a period of time was involved in ignoring the growing, and inevitable threat.

Also accompanying the report is a commentary by CPI's director, Bill Buzenberg, in which he reiterates the reports findings, and sharpens the message of what they have to say to us:

There is something of a myth surrounding the current economic crisis, how it unfolded, and the precise role of the world's largest financial institutions in the global meltdown. That myth suggests these banks and investment houses were somehow surprised "victims" of unscrupulous subprime mortgage lenders, and that they could not have anticipated the damaging toxic assets that have so infected their balance sheets.

What's missing from this story is the fact that this was a self-inflicted wound for which the rest of us are picking up a massive tab. The largest American and European banks and investment houses were not the unwitting "victims" of an unforeseen financial collapse, as they have so often been portrayed. The mega-banks not only invested in subprime lending institutions - they were the enablers, bankrollers, and instigators driving high-interest lending, and they did so because it was so lucrative and unregulated.

Worse, in many instances these are the same financial institutions the government is now bailing out with tax revenues. How these bottomed-out banks helped cause the financial meltdown can be clearly seen in a new study by the Center for Public Integrity. The Center ran a computer analysis of every high-interest loan reported by the industry to the U.S. government from 2005 through 2007, a period that marks the peak and collapse of the subprime market. From this pool of 7.2 million loans, our investigators identified the top subprime lenders. The "Subprime 25" were responsible for nearly a trillion dollars of subprime lending, or 72 percent of all reported high interest loans.

Going back to the hissy fit that ignited the "tea party" movement, this, in a nutshell is what the rightwing pseudo-populists are desperately trying to hide, with their still-incoherent rantings that so easily slide off into accusations of socialism, and missing birth certificates.

Here' the table showing all of the top 25 firms involved:

This report makes it crystal clear where the blame lies--something that's already quite obvious to most readers of this blog.  But it's clearly not obvious to a lot of others out there.  Referring people to this new report is an excellent way to push back against the wide variety of obfuscation and blame shifting that's being pumped into the public discourse.


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I can't believe that this actually has to be explained (4.00 / 5)
Obviously, detailed analyses are necessary, both to prove this thesis in exhausting and hard to credibly refute detail, and to give would-be reformers the level of detail they'll need to know what to fix--and how--so as to make this less likely to happen again.

But on a basic, overall level, that this is why this happened has been obvious to anyone with half a brain who has been honest enough to look at the evidence without ideology or vested interests getting in the way--and was obvious WAY before the actual meltdown occured.

When you make bad loans, it WILL explode in your face (or someone's face) sooner or later. I saw this several years ago and I'm hardly a financial whiz (although I did work on Wall St. for several firms in the past, albeit in IT, not the front office, but several of them ended up being involved in major impropriety scandals--nothing to do with me!!!--that taught me how these firms operate, or tend to operate, when unregulated and unoverseen--and we're talking during the Bush I and Clinton adminstrations, which were really the setup for this scandal).

The proposition that banks doing business in the hundreds of billions of dollars a year could be fooled into believing that they were investing in loans that were actually a lot worse than they thought they were is ludicrous and insulting. The ratings were rigged, the banks knew about it if not actually mandated it, and the idea was to keep betting and pass off the bad bets onto an endless line of suckers (individual and institutional investors and speculators, taxpayers), and then, when it finally went bust--and they knew that it would--to not be left holding the bag. It was just another manufactured speculative bubble, like the high yield ones of the 80's and the internet ones of the 90's, just much bigger.

Anyone who didn't see this coming who had an active stake in it (as opposed to everyday people who didn't engage in it and were just living their lives, but whose jobs and savings were hurt by the crash through no fault of their own) was either an idiot, willfully self-deluded, or just not paying attention. I know such people. We all do. Truly pathetic.

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton


True Enough (0.00 / 0)
And yet there are tea-baggers.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
Er, you mean astroturfers (0.00 / 0)
Many of whom, of course, appear to genuinely believe in the transparent idiocy that they've been spouting. But that doesn't mean that it isn't still idiocy, that they've been deliberately manipulated into believing. And they fail my "half a brain" test. An intelligent, informed, sane and honest (especially to themselves) person simply cannot come to any other rational and honest conclusion than that this was self-caused by the financial system and its willing participants and political and media enablers.

It wasn't me who shot him, your honor, it was my evil hand!

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton


[ Parent ]
Center for Public Integrity Deserves An Award (4.00 / 1)
     They also documented with hard numbers all of the war profiteers during the war.  Not easy.
     

I knew one during War II (0.00 / 0)
He sold tent poles to the military. Made a bundle and bought a nice large spread of land and a house in Gladwyn PA. Know what that is worth!

[ Parent ]
Greenspan did it. Everyone knew he was influenced by Rand (4.00 / 2)
and when he started manipulating interest rates down they had to start thinking that that was very un Rand like. So what did that mean? I'll tell you. That he had become an anti Rand hero out of Atlas Shrugged.

Being a former Randian, when he was appointed I knew exactly what one should do to get rich. I did. I lost it but that was due to betrayal not Greenspan. So allof us and more knew he was betraying what he believed and so had lost his integrity, so let's have a wild party on him!

And still he kept being the Fed. And my email box kept getting filled with take out mortgage offers. I mean, how dumb do you have to be to not see it coming down the road like a tractor trailer.

And now my email box is filled with reverse mortgages. Hello. Anyone out there reading and listening and connecting the dots about this new development? Probably not.


Typo (0.00 / 0)
This goes directly counter to the conservative narrative blaming "irresponsible lenders"--many of them minorities

I think you mean "irresponsible borrowers".


Shorter Rosenberg (0.00 / 0)
The People are gullible dupes, but their fickle opinions must determine our fate.

Honesty requires assigning a goodly portion of the blame to The People and the culture-at-large. Or do we prefer cheap political point scoring over real and lasting change?

Remember, the People were voting about as intelligently as they borrowed and spent.

Like an adolescent junkie, the last things you want them to have are the keys to the car and your credit card. From a purely developmental psychology analysis, our nation is mostly made up of adolescent junkies.

They booted the GOP because they couldn't get their fix. Obama is loved, because for the time being, they are getting their fix.


Shorter Goodman (0.00 / 0)
People can be fooled, so let's embrace the dictatorship of the technocrati who masterminded this catastrophe!

Oh, wait, we've already got that!

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
The real cause of the crisis (4.00 / 1)
was explained in a quicklink I posted about 6 weeks ago.  

I do not think liberals really understand the story here.  The origination of these loans is less relevent than underwriting.  Without the ability underwrite these loans, they would never have been made. Wall Street thought it knew how to price the risk of these transactions and it failed.  

The real story here is that a very small number of people on Wall Street were the enablers of this crisis.  

Now go bank and look at the underwriters list.  Four of the top ten are no longer independent: Merrill and Countrywide were bought by BOA, Baer and Lehman went bust.

The result has been an enourmous concentration in the mortgage business.  

So a problem that was really the product of groupthink amoung a small number of underwriters has resulted IN FURTHER CONCENTRATION OF THE MORTGAGE BUSINESS.  

It is important to note that Obama has proposed eliminating "liars mortgages" that were at the heart of this crisis.


I Dont' Think Liars Mortgages Were At The Heart Of The Crisis (0.00 / 0)
There were "just" the most extreme example of how utterly loony everything had become.  If sanity had prevailed at any point in the previous process, they would never have come into being, but things could still have been very, very bad.

Nonetheless, getting rid of them is obviously a good thing, even if it's the poster child for "no-brainer ideas of year."

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
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