The Public Option and The Grand Arc Of American Politics

by: Chris Bowers

Tue May 19, 2009 at 15:30


Contrary to popular belief, the United States actually spends just as much on social programs (pensions, health care, education, etc.) as just about any other country in the world. The key difference between the United States and other wealthy democracies is where the money comes from. Specifically, in the United States, many people pay for social services straight out of their pockets, rather than having the public sector (aka, the government) provide the services.

From the OEC, here are 2005 figures on social spending, by country, broken out by private and public sources:

Net social spending, in percentage of GDP, at market prices, 2005
Country Public Private Total
France 26.2% 2.8% 29.0%
Germany 25.1% 2.2% 27.3%
Belgium 23.1% 3.6% 26.8%
USA 17.1% 9.4% 26.5%
UK 20.1% 5.9% 25.9%
Sweden 23.1% 1.7% 24.8%
Netherlands 17.7% 5.9% 23.6%
Austria 22.2% 1.4% 23.5%
Italy 21.5% 1.7% 23.1%
Denmark 20.2% 1.3% 21.6%
Canada 16.6% 4.4% 21.0%
Japan 17.6% 3.2% 20.7%
The United States actually spends an above average amount of its GDP on social programs. The difference between the United States and other wealthy democracies is not the total amount of spending on social programs, but that we place an abnormal burden--over 35%--for such spending on private consumers.

This difference developed entirely over the past forty years. In 1960, the United States was equal to other wealthy democracies in terms of overall social spending from the public sector. During the 1960's, we continued to increase our nationa level of public sector spending through programs like Medicare and Medicaid. However, since that time, while other wealthy democracies experienced a vast increase in public sector social spending, the United States has experienced little change (PDF, page 4).  What has changed in the United States is a vast increase in private spending on social programs. In 1980, the 4.4% of the United States GDP was private expenditure on things like health care and education, but by 2005 that number had increased to 9.4% (source: OECD). While other wealthy democracies increased their public sector spending on social programs, the United States increased its private sector spending on social programs.

As I explain in the extended entry, this really is the grand arc of American politics over the past forty years. A public health care option would be the first major deviation from that arc in a long time.

Chris Bowers :: The Public Option and The Grand Arc Of American Politics
It is not a coincidence that United States public sector social spending stalled at around the same time that the modern conservative coalition came together under Richard Nixon in 1968 and 1972 (we are still living under this coalition even now, but forty years of demographic changes have made the Nixon coalition a national minority). While we wanted more social services, we eschewed increasing our public sector social spending over the last 30-35 years because we didn't want that social spending to go to everyone. More specifically, the majority of the country wanted more social services, but the white majority didn't want to pay for social services for racial and ethnic minorities. As such, we continued to increase social spending, but we did so in the private sector, where people had to pay on their own, rather than in the public sector, where people collectively paid for each other.

The result of this has been a much higher level of inequality in America compared to other wealthy nations. Higher inequality--not lower amounts of social services--is the primary, overriding socioeconomic difference between America and other wealthy democracies (I will detail that in a later post). This inequality was caused by shifting our social spending toward the private sector, which was itself caused by a desire not to pay for social services for racial and ethnic minorities. That is the grand arc of American politics, relative to other wealthy democracies, over the last forty years.

A public health care option is the first major step required to redress this inequality. There is no such thing as health care reform without a public option. Lacking a public option, our health care system will continue on its current path of skyrocketing costs and inequality of access. We already have as much health care as other wealthy democracies--ours just costs to damn much and access to it is distributed unequally. Any health care reform without a public option should be actively opposed.

The grand arc of American politics over the last forty years is about inequality. Changing that arc requires a public health care option that is available to all Americans. Anything less does change the arc at all. We have to stop increasing private social spending a as a percentage of GDP.


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We are going to get single payer unless we demand it. (4.00 / 5)
We arent going to get single payer unless we demand it. Unless nurses acrosss the country walk off the job and say "we are walking for single payer." Unless Michael Moore and his friends close a major highway in Michigan we will not get single payer. Unless we organize to cancel all insurerance with a major Health Insurance company all at once, we will not get single payer. Unless we occupy a hospital and demand that people that need care get care, we will not get single p[ayer health care. Unless the coworkers at ______________ walk off their jobs until 'Bill' or Mary's spouse gets by-pass surgery, we will not get single payer health care.
Here is the table Chris Bowers used, in his article earlier,  to show the amounts spent in OECD nations on healthcare, in percentages.from the OECD (PDF, page 42):

Health Care Spending As a % of GDP, 2003

Country Total Health Spending Public Spending Private Spending
Canada 9.2% 6.5% 2.7%
France 9.5% 6.5% 2.7%
Germany 10.7% 8.0% 2.7%
Italy 8.4% 6.3% 2.1%
Japan 7.6% 6.0% 1.8%
USA 13.9% 6.2% 6.7%
The discrepancy, the total different amounts spent on healthcare is one thing. Profit. There was another article, which I doont have time to find, about the portion of the economy that is taken up as profit by the banks. When we add what profit is taken by the insurance "industry", and the banking "industry" there is little left over for investment in anything, to say nothing of its economic uselessness. I use quotes because of course they are not an industry, they produce nothing, their entire purpose is to capture money that flows through ther production od services. They produce nothing.

We will not get single payer healthcare unless we get off our uncovered asses and demand it. Demand it.

--

The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky


We are NOT going to get single payer unless we demand it. (4.00 / 2)
pardon

--

The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky


[ Parent ]
We are not going to get Single Payer Period. It's a Pipe Dream (0.00 / 0)
HOw about "We are not going to get single payer" ....and leave it at that....when have the American people who are under sedation ever demanded anything....?

We are not only not going to get single payer we are going to have social security and medicare eliminated as we now know it due to "unforseen circumstances beyond our control" caused by the "Great Recession" that hasn't hit us yet.

You have to get rid of all Politicians currently in office and replace them with snickers bars...we will be better off.

They all have to go....supposedly it can be done...and a movement between right and left might be able to pull it off....recognize that these millionaire and billionaire politicians are the ENEMY.


[ Parent ]
"We are not going to get rid of all politicians currently in office. It's a Pipe Dream." (0.00 / 0)
"when have the American people who are under sedation ever gotten rid of all politicians currently in office?"

Not to be a butthole, but from where I sit, you're the pot, Houses is the kettle, and you're both black.  


[ Parent ]
stupidy has a funny way of motivating people (0.00 / 0)
but I happen to agree that the libertarians, and other third parties, of both the right and left, should gang up on the democrats and republicans and the country would be better off if we could clear like half or more out of office.

There is votepact.org though unfortunately the leader of this site has gone on break since the election.

The truth is I would prefer libertarian pure capitalism to the socialism for the banks and not for ordinary people we have now.

My blog  


[ Parent ]
and thus you are not a progressive or a democrat and I wonder why you like posting here. (0.00 / 0)
Where we are both.

--

The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky


[ Parent ]
Its open LEFT (0.00 / 0)
I did not realize one had to pass some kind of litmus test for party affiliation to engage with this site.


"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


[ Parent ]
You think Americans or America is -unlike the rest of the world-incapable of organizing their health system? (4.00 / 1)
Every other major country has done it. Every single one.

Every single one.

Only in America do people say its impossible.

BTW on a related manner. There are only four countries that don't legally guarantee a women at least some paid maternity leave. The average income of three of those countries is $1,226.00. The fourth country is the United States.

Obama talked about how to lower the number of abortions at the Notre Dame convocation. One way is to remove the worry of health care, remocve the fear of instant poverty with child should someone have an uninsured health problem. Another is to make being pregnant not so much a burden by guaranteeing maternity leave.


--

The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky


[ Parent ]
When was the last time Americans demanded anything in that way. (4.00 / 2)
Serious question.

The Civil Rights Movement.

The Vietnam War.

On a much smaller scale, ACT UP demanded AIDS funding, though that was before my time and I can only assume that their efforts were helpful, rather than harmful or irrelevant, to the ultimate goal.

Pro-lifers have been demanding an end to abortion for forever.

-----

I'm pretty sure that if $13 trillion or whatever to the finance industry didn't provoke in-the-streets activism, then single-payer won't either, at least not anytime soon.  Hegemony of right-wing ideology means that not nearly enough people actually agree that single-payer is preferable for such a course of action to work.  I do think that passing a public option now will make it much easier to get to single-payer in 15 years, but I don't have a lot of outside-the-box ideas on how to ensure we get a public option now.  The only politician we have adequate leverage over, in a carrots-and-sticks sense, is Barack himself, because of his visibility and his strong need for an active base in 2012.  Baucus, Grassley, Bayh, Nelson et al are generally not threatened by us.  Specter is, but we'll need more votes than just his.

Threatening to really damage Obama's favorables within his own base is the only halfway viable threat I see, and even then it's probably only credible if he pisses away both the public plan and real climate change legislation.  Maybe health care alone is big enough to blow him up with.  But we need him to pressure the Senate, because we, in most cases, just can't do it.  Not more powerfully than the Insurance Lobby can.


[ Parent ]
I worry public option will end up like tenncare (4.00 / 2)
particularly if they fund it though a product people can by less of like the did with schip and cigarette taxes.

In a few years these programs will run up a debt and republicans and conservadems will repeal them like they did tenncare.

Actually it was conservadem Phil Bredesen that killed it.

I do think their is a possibility the dlc are setting us up for a tenncare debacle in a couple of years.

My blog  


[ Parent ]
Yes it should be paid out of general revenue, like every other country in the world. (4.00 / 1)
Single payer is cheaper than all other medical models. The figures above prove that. By every standard healthcare in America is teh suck, and it costs more than any other country.

Sensible is cheap.

--

The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky


[ Parent ]
we will never get single payer (0.00 / 0)
because in this country, money talks and everything else walks. There is a huge chain reaction here that goes beyond the government saying "you now have sigle payer"  you have doctors who want to continue to drive Mercedes and Porsches to work instead of hybrids.  You have insurance companies not wanting to compete with the government.  You have hospitals not willing to loose their best doctors who generate revenue.  you have politicians on both sides not willing to piss of their big money investors.  I could go on and on.  There is just to much money involved to allow this to go through.  The day politician can't be bought, thats the day this will have a chance.

nobody even ran on it (4.00 / 1)
It must be decades since a Democrat won a Presidental primary in any state advocating single-payer.  We might as well denounce Obama for not switching to the metric system this year.



New Jersey politics at Blue Jersey.


[ Parent ]
I am not denouncing Obama. At all. (4.00 / 1)
I am denouncing activists for not supporting the system that the MAJORITY of Americans support. I am castigating not our leaders, but our activists who do not do enough.

SEn Bachus(D) is calling police to stop people from dem,anding a right to talk(!!) about the one solution Americans support, and it is not even an issue to many people.

Obam,a said lonmg ago that its the system he supports, but he thinks the American people are too gutless to demand it from their congress. Id like to prove him wrong. I d like 50 million American without healthcare to just stop working until they get it. (Or something) Id like the other fifty million who pay and pay, and still have health insurance that covers little more than going to the emergency room.

Im so radical, I like public healthcare.  

--

The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky


[ Parent ]
quitter (0.00 / 0)


--

The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky


[ Parent ]
This Is Very Important, But (4.00 / 1)
I think we need to also think about system integration and efficiencies.

The market system is incredibly efficient on the micro-level and incredibly inefficient on the macro-level--primarily because a large part of its profitability comes from externalizing costs.  We need to be thinking about macro-level efficiencies as a key built-in feature of all public spending programs--including a continuous process of further integrating them with one another.

A natural spin-off of this, if done properly, will be a much better-functioning private market sector as well, since it won't be burdened with spillover negative externalities everywhere you turn.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


Sorry? (0.00 / 0)
I love your stuff, but I don't get this.

--

The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky


[ Parent ]
It's Pretty Simple Really--Even If My Comment Was A Bit Cryptic (4.00 / 1)
Obama is a great enthusiast over the power of modest individual micro-level changes to have a huge impact.  And there's definitely some truth in this.

But there are also organized governmental actions that can do what no amount of individual action can--and those actions, too, can also benefit enormously from the systemtatic integration of a larger number of small tweaks--the exact oppostie of the large number of small (and not-so-small) bugs and kluges that come from a special-interest dominated system.

Right now, we aren't in a position to maximize such potential benefits, but we could easily improve matters significantly.  For example, very few social spending programs are subject to the kind of reviews and refinements that are actually possible from the existing social science literature.  (Abstinence only?  Come on!)

Additionally, the science and technology assessments which used be routine via the Office of Technology Assessment (OTA)--which Gingrich axed in 1995--have not been reinstated by Democrats.

Furthermore, simply using existing institutional knowledge more effectively could hold significant savings.  Just on the city-wide level, the former LA City Controller Laura Chick issued a number of reports citing tremendous inefficiencies from failure to engage in pro-active inter-agency planning.  Integrating long-range planning between traffic, zoning, housing, and water departments, for example, is something that ought to be ubiquitous in all city and county governments, but there's generally very little of it done.  

Re-reading this comment, I guess it may still be somewhat cryptic.  I'll have to add it to my "diaries to write" pile, and try to organize my thoughts and background info a wee bit more.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
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