Dan Gelber: April 27, 2482 -- An Amazing Day for Health Care in Florida

by: AdamGreen

Fri Jul 03, 2009 at 17:22


Dan Gelber, Democratic candidate for Florida Attorney General, did some fun math recently on his blog, making the case for a federal public health insurance option:

There is a lot of debate about the federal health care plan that is taking shape in the Congress.  Many folks who recoil from a “public option” (like Medicare) suggest we can simply rely on the market to take care of our uninsured. I think it only fair that we respond with the facts as they are presented in our own state of Florida.  Presently, Florida has 3.8 million of its residents without health insurance, including 800,000 children. Only one state has a higher rate of uninsured.  On January 5, 2009, the Governor and the Legislature rolled out the “Cover Florida” plan which was intended to address this crisis by soliciting private health care plans that would cover less benefits and, therefore, because they were cheaper to buy, cover more people. So assuming we stick with the current “market-based” system and refuse to adopt the plans that are being considered in Washington, when can Floridians expect health care for our citizens?

Here is the analysis. After 146 days, 3,226 Floridians have enrolled in the Cover Florida plan (about 22 per day). Although math was never my specialty, one of my FCAT trained friends quickly calculated that at the current rate of enrollment it will take only 172,727.27 days or 473 years for Cover Florida to enroll the remainder of Florida’s uninsured.

For those of you who want to begin preparing for the health care coverage party that the legislature will sponsor when Florida’s current plan reaches 100% coverage, that date would be…..Monday, April 27th 2482.

Is it possible to set up a "Florida Universal Health Care Victory Celebration" on Meetup.com for the year 2482? Anyone know? That would be a hot party.

Or, I suppose we could fight for the public health insurance option now...and help elect candidates who are willing to stand up and be counted...

AdamGreen :: Dan Gelber: April 27, 2482 -- An Amazing Day for Health Care in Florida

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Good, but (4.00 / 1)
I still think Dan would've been better for Senate than AG, and especially in lieu of Kendrick Meek, who I also think is significantly less competitive than him (Gelber).

It's too bad the Establishment got behind Meek and progressives just let it go.


I wonder on the date. This has nothing about population changes as (0.00 / 0)
Florida ages, nothing about the fact that the longer there are more people getting healthcare then the longer they live and so the population will increase, putting off the date at which all Floridians will be covered.

To say nothing of the increased influx of retirees as the nation ages and the boomers flock to beaches, condos and the Keys.

There will be NO celebration in 2482.

as we can see here:
Demographics of Florida (csv)
By race White Black AIAN* Asian NHPI*
2000 (total population) 82.45% 15.66% 0.75% 2.11% 0.16%
2000 (Hispanic only) 15.94% 0.74% 0.14% 0.09% 0.03%
2005 (total population) 81.47% 16.31% 0.84% 2.52% 0.18%
2005 (Hispanic only) 18.48% 0.87% 0.21% 0.11% 0.04%
Growth 2000-05 (total
population)
9.99% 15.93% 23.95% 33.09% 29.08%
Growth 2000-05
(non-Hispanic only)
5.43% 15.23% 15.67% 32.55% 24.49%
Growth 2000-05
(Hispanic only)
28.99% 29.93% 58.98% 45.89% 45.66%
* AIAN
is American Indian or Alaskan Native; NHPI is Native Hawaiian or
Pacific Islander

As the population growing a great deal faster than the paltry rate quoted above. 22 a day is .00044 % growth. The actual date by calculations is 7.2 centuries after Hell freezes over, unless Global warming is faster than we assume, then coverage will be considered to have become complete when the Gulf Shores of Georgia and Alabama have their first hurricane.

Change
"We must break up the banks and never again let them get so big that they distort our politics and take down the economy.


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