A Three-Pronged Strategy On Global Warming

by: Paul Rosenberg

Sun Jul 19, 2009 at 12:30


On July 11, Nick Berning, from Friends of the Earth, wrote a diary here, "Progressive Block Needed on Clean Energy Legislation in Senate".  In it, he argued for the need to create a progressive block of Senators who demand a set of bottom-line objectives be met by any energy/climate legislation:

Because of the dire threat climate destabilization poses to our economy and quality of life, as well as global security and stability, we simply must do better than the House bill that puts a hard-to-change, ill-advised system in place. At a minimum, any bill the Senate passes should:

1. Maintain the EPA's existing authority to use the Clean Air Act to regulate coal-fired power plants, which the House-passed bill undermines. (Coal is the #1 source of global warming pollution in the world.)

2. Bring about a true transition to clean energy. One current Senate proposal (the bill that passed the Senate Energy Committee) would produce no more clean energy than business-as-usual scenarios. That's a disaster that must be fixed.

3. Prevent gaming by Wall Street. There's a reason Wall Street has 130 lobbyists working full time on climate change. Within years, the carbon trading system created by the House bill could become the biggest derivatives market in the world, subject to "subprime carbon" and speculation. This needs to be remedied.

4. Lay the groundwork for an international solution to global warming. A key phase of international negotiations under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change is slated to culminate in December in Copenhagen. The emissions reduction targets in the House-passed bill are so weak (and are further undermined by offset loopholes), and the bill's funding for international solutions is so meager, that the bill is incompatible with a fair, effective global agreement. Developing countries are rightly rejecting these proposals, which is why the G8 failed to agree on emissions reductions targets in Italy this week.

While I agree whole-heartedly with what Nick  wrote, in writing an article for Random Lengths News, two other strategies emerged as compatible with and reinforcing this approach.  The first is already well under way, the campaign for a global day of action on October 24 by 350.org.  The second is only the germ of an idea, based on some comments, and some of the work done on working with local officials raising awareness and starting to shape policies below state level.  I'll discuss both these strategies a little more fully on the flip.

Paul Rosenberg :: A Three-Pronged Strategy On Global Warming
350.org's Global Day Of Action

"Steal from the best," I always say.  And if you can't do that, then steal from yourself.  At least you won't get sued.  And so, in that spirit, here's the sidebar from the story I wrote, explaining something about 350.org and their strategy:

Although there are other gases that contribute to global warming, carbon dioxide, CO2, is by far the most significant.  The upper limit of atmospheric carbon considered safe in the long run is 350 parts per million (ppm)-and the first goal of 350.org is just to start driving that number home in order to begin moving the climate debate into a more realistic direction.  The point of raising that awareness, 350.org explains, is to create "an equitable global climate treaty that lowers carbon dioxide below 350 parts per million."

To understand where we are compared to where we need to be, the current level of atmospheric carbon is 387 ppm, up from 320 ppm in 1958, and around 280 ppm from the time of ancient Greece until the start of the Industial Revolution.  Prior to that, it had been stable at around 260 ppm for thousands of years, before taking 3,000 years to rise 20 ppm.

Using a decentralized web-based organizing structure, 350.org aims to generate thousands of "350"-themed events in over 100 countries around the world on October 24 to pressure elected officials to take significant action at the UN Climate Climate Summit in Copenhagen in early December.

Each event organizer is asked to take and upload an action photo that visibly displays the number 350.  Everything else is up to them.  Some events won't be easily photographed, though.  McKibben was recently in Britain, where he met with church leaders, resulting in a commitment from thousands of churches to ring their bells 350 times during the day-an action reminiscent of the use of church bells in WWII to warn of invasion.

"It's a pot-luck supper," 350.org founder Bill McKibben told The Ecologist, a premier British publication now online.  "We are saying, 'Here is the date, here is the theme, and you have to do the cooking, to self-organise'".  

McKibben is a best-selling author-turned activist.  His 1989 book, The End of Nature, was one of the earliest warnings of dangerous out-of-balance our relationship with nature had become.  As an activist, McKibben began modestly with a statewide anti-global warming march in Vermont-the largest climate change demonstration ever seen at the time. He then went national with the Step It Up campaign, which generated 1400 local demonstrations across the country on April 14, 2007.  

"We didn't need a march on Washington anymore, if we could have 1,400 marches wherever and, at the end of the day, bring all the images of them together in one place. Also, it's odd to tell people to drive across America to protest climate change," McKibben said.

Already, 350.org has 1134 actions registered at its website in 75 countries.  These include several in Los Angeles, including a demonstration at the Westwood Federal Building and a "Climate Action Festival" at Del Rey Lagoon Park in Playa del Rey, but nothing yet is listed for the Harbor Area or Long Beach.

The 350 ppm target is significantly lower than most environmental organizations are currently aiming. "Most U.S. environmental organizations endorse the Waxman-Markey climate bill with the stated goal of keeping atmospheric greenhouse gases below 450 parts per million," climate activist Bill Ward wrote in a recent article at Grist.org.   "The two numbers are not staging points on a gradual curve of escalating climate impacts.... Each goal is the product of an entirely different calculus. 300-350 ppm is derived by climate scientists working backwards from a definition of the problem. 450 ppm represents a consensus of U.S. environmentalists on what may feasibly be advanced within present political conditions."

350.org aims to change those political conditions.  On October 24, you can help do that.

The idea of an global day of grassroots activism around a common, well-defined theme is a powerful one, and one well worth supporting.  I expect to write more about this as October 24 approaches.

Think Globally, Act Locally: This Time It's Personal

My third line of strategy was suggested by the words and work of Bob Doppelt, director of the Climate Leadership Initiative at University of Oregon.  Doppelt is a social scientist working on climate change.  He caught my attention with a couple of comments in the discussion of a post at the RealClimate blog, "A warning from Copenhagen".

In his first comment,  Bob wrote:

Bottom line: we must rapidly mitigate emissions but the world must now equally prioritize rapidly preparing for the consequences of rising temperatures. The term adaptation should thus be used much judiciously than in the past. Its not likely that most societies can adapt to 2 C in one century or less, unless you call constant crisis management adaptation. We can, however, prepare for the consequences much like we now prepare for natural disasters. My experience in the U.S. is that by focusing on preparation people become more interested in mitigation-which is quite the opposite of what was first thought. {Emphasis added]

In his second comment, he wrote:

We have long know that information alone-no matter how credible- is not sufficient to motivate fundamental change. In fact, too much information without the other keys to successful change (which I think can be summarized as sufficient tension, efficacy and benefits) often triggers the reverse-people deny, ignore, or rationalize away a problem. If we are to make significant progress in addressing climate change we need to make a major investment in cognitive, behavioral, economic and other factors that motivate change. This does not mean that the biophysical sciences are less important-of course they remain essential. However, I think today that the emphasis is out of balance given the challenges we face. {Emphasis added]

I followed up and did a brief phone interview with him for the piece I wrote, and I looked  some of his work documented on his website, particularly the report, "Preparing for Climate Change in the Rogue River Basin" (pdf). The end result of all this is that I came away with the impression that if we could engage local officials in processes similar to the Rogue River Basin study all across the nation, we could make huge progress in changing how people think about the problem, and create the foundations for a bottom-up strategy within the structures of government, as well as making the realities of climate change very concrete for people in terms of what it will mean for their immediate communities and way of life.

As progressives, we all know that we have not paid enough attention to politics at the state and local level.  This is a clear example of how we can bring about significant global change by focusing more attention at the local level.  I believe that it can play an absolutely crucial role in changing the political climate around climate change, and I think that Doppelt is absolutely right about the importance in changing how people think in order to solve this problem.

Conclusion

These three strategies are all conceptually independent from one another, and focus on different levels and modalities of action.  Each is powerful on its on.  Combining them together holds real promise of creating the sort of major shift that all knowledgeable participant observers know is necessary if we are to avoid the worst of what is staring us in the face.  I'd like to know what you think.


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Connecting clean energy legislation with the triple test (0.00 / 0)
I'm heartened to see the development of strategy for clean energy legislation moving forward. For a next step, how about connecting to the very useful triple test for public policy?

who does it benefit the most, and who does it benefit first? If the main or biggest beneficiary is the big majority of poor and middle income people, I rate it a success. If the first and biggest beneficiaries are the wealthy and powerful, then I rate it a failure

If it failed to help a substantial number of poor and middle income people, then it was failure,

Did it help change the direction of basic operating assumptions for future political struggles in a more progressive direction? If so, rate it a success.  If it missed a rare opening, created new obstacles, or needlessly reinforced conservative assumptions, it is a failure.

Look again at those four items listed by Friends of Earth. As worthy as they are, they do not pass these tests.

Unless there is a radical change in the legislation we're going to get a new centralized power structure for alternative energy grafted onto the old centralized dirty energy power structure. If we're lucky, we'll have an environment not too much worse than today. That's just about our best case scenario right now.

For some areas, like here in Appalachia, it's going to be even worse. We're going to bear the brunt of our carbon-based economy collapsing, have a major hangover of environmental and societal damage of a century of oil/gas/coal extraction, and remain ill-equipped to participate in a post-carbon economy.

The people--individuals and communities, not companies--who are hit hardest by the transition away from fossil fuels need the most directed assistance to make it through that transition to a better place. That's what is largely missing from discussions of current legislation--a call for economic justice.

(For more on these ideas see here, here, and here.)

They call me Clem, Clem Guttata. Come visit wild, wonderful West Virginia Blue


I Agree Wholeheartedly (4.00 / 1)
I should have spelled this out more explicitly.  I think that US environmental advocacy structures are so deeply damaged that what Friends of the Earth is asking for stretches them to the breaking point---but this still doesn't get us where we need to be.

At bottom, the classic progressive environmentalist framework (dating back to Muir and TR) is fundamentally inadequate and needs to be replaced with the environmental justice framework.  Although its origins lie with communities of color, it is completely general in applicability, and revolves around the simple fact that the environment is not some far-off place "out there", it's where we all live.

And so, it's unrealistic to expect that Friends of the Earth can by itself effect this shift in the time-frame of the current legislative cycle.  However, the current round of legislation need not be locked into stone, particularly if pressure can successfully be brought by other means, which is where the other two strategies come in.  In particular, 350.org is expressly dedicated to just and equitable measures, as well as the target of 350 ppm.  And the process of dealing with global warming from the community level on up, in a manner that brings together all the relevant stakeholders, has within it the seeds of potential for writing EJ requirements into the process every step of the way.  

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Thank you (0.00 / 0)
Thank you for continuing to give voice to these concerns and for highlighting sympathetic organizations.

To push the economic justice framework a little further...

I think it is essential to have a strategy that pushes localization. If we are serious about "energy independence" (a framing I generally don't like, but I'll call 'their' bluff) that's how it happens--localized energy production, individual solar/wind/biomass/water power, neighborhood co-ops, etc. It's also about empowering local community decisions, creating community-level strategies for energy efficiency and conservation.

I want to keep pointing out, though, that the places that will be hardest hit by a transition to a post-carbon economy are the same places with the fewest existing resources to engage in bottom-up localized change.

People living next to coal mines have been paying the price for other peoples cheap electricity for decades; they shouldn't be punished yet again. They need an intentional hand up (e.g., economic justice affirmative action).

They call me Clem, Clem Guttata. Come visit wild, wonderful West Virginia Blue


[ Parent ]
What You're Talking About Re WV And Other Impacrted Communities Is Externalized Costs (4.00 / 1)
We've got a big job of education in front of us around the concept of externalized costs.  I'm proud to say that as a journalist covering the Port of Los Angeles for Random Lengths for over seven years now, I've played a role in doing that locally, so that you hear the phrase from people in public discussions, it's become part of the vernacular.  "Externalized costs" and "polluter pays" are examples of memes we need to spread.

A just, sustainable worldview is more than just a collection of memes, of course.  But in order to lay the foundation for people understanding what that means, we have to get the basic building block ideas out there before we can have a meaningful conversation on a national level.

Meanwhile, finding ways of organizing locally will remain central, as we both agree.  

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Great ideas all 'round (0.00 / 0)
Most of Nick's proposals aren't really strategy, those are tactical goals. But I'm nit-picking! They're all good ideas anyway and very necessary.

I especially want to hone in on localization, though, because that is a genuine example of strategic thinking and it would effectively solve a lot of political problems (not to mention social/economic problems) simultaneously.

Politically speaking, localization devolves power to the hands of "little people." This would provide a platform from which to aim higher later on. It means common people can start trying to own their destinies and make change. Since it's easier to fight City Hall than the State House or the US Senate, it only makes sense to devote resources to where they will have the most impact and provide a basis for future growth of an actual movement.

Going forward, a robust, networked effort at localization can be a real boon to the progressive agenda by creating more participants and candidates, i.e., momentum.

Socio-economically, we are seeing communities in the UK and elsewhere all working to create post-carbon economies for themselves. They've been doing it for the better part of a decade already. Wanna guess how these people vote and agitate come election season? Real reform is in their blood now.

Transitioning off of carbon means decentralizing electric power generation to solar, wind, whathaveyou--but whatever the case, there will likely be less of it than we're currently used to. It means re-localizing food production, since there won't be any long-haul trucking to ship celery from California to Texas, for example. It means dealing with traffic patterns, mass transpo, water usage, zoning issues and so on.

All this and more, put together, should produce some really good local economic effects, right? Better security, better food, better business, better work and so on.

Communities that make the transition of their own accord will fare much better than those that don't, IMO--as an aside, I would say this bodes very badly for most of the proverbial Red States. That's a source of strength for others going forward. The Village will resist such efforts, as it will diminish their power by devolving it downward. But it will also make it much easier to distinguish the "good folks" from the "bad folks" in the minds of the polity, when they can see for themselves who is working in their interest and who is working against their interest.

Relocalization thusly seems a good strategy, does it not?


"More than any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly." -Woody Allen, My Speech to the Graduates


Just To Be Clear (0.00 / 0)
Nick's proposal for a progressive block in the Senate on climate change legislation was strategy, and that was the focus of my thinking.  The details of what should be in the bill were not, as you correctly point out--although they are strategic in terms of a long-term policy.

I agree that there are multiple benefits from re-localization.  But I'm not sure we could call anything that broad a "strategy" as strategy implies that it's something that's consciously executed.  I think it's more accurate to speak of specific relocalizing strategies.

Also, I think it's important to note that we're only partly relocalizing, as we're actually enhancing our non-local connections as online communities become more and more important in connecting people in similar niches all around the world.  It's the cross-fertalization of both trends that makes for especially fertile possibilities.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
4 Additional Prongs (0.00 / 0)
I think these are all smart, and I'm working in a way on all three.  Another powerful example of the "Think Globally, Act Locally" strategy is the transition plans communities around the world are developing.  A good site to learn more and plug in is here: http://transitiontowns.org/Tra...

I'll add four additional prongs (some more tactical than strategic, but breakthrough ideas all, i think) to grow the conversation.  

1. Climate Precinct Captains: 1Sky is developing a collaborative online/offline program to empower and network local leaders in the approximately 300,000 voting precincts across the country.  It will take lots of other organizations participating to reach critical mass, but if successful, represents by far the largest and most systematic national grassroots infrastructure program the climate movement has seen.  http://action.1sky.org/t/1984/...

2. Clean Energy Victory Bonds: Like 'Liberty Bonds' or 'Victory Bonds' of the past, Clean Energy Victory Bonds could solve two of the movement's biggest problems at once: generate massive capital investment in clean energy and energy efficiency and give millions of Americans a clear and direct financial stake in the success of building the clean energy economy.  Green America, formerly Co-Op America, is developing a technical paper on options: http://www.coopamerica.org/abo...

3. Non-Violent Civil Disobedience: This site and new major effort lays out the case in a compelling way: http://beyondtalk.net

4. Obama's Leadership: Emerging news that the President is mounting a major offensive on health care (  http://www.washingtonpost.com/...
is perhaps the best news in weeks for the prospect of getting a halfway decent climate bill before Copenhagen.  For one thing, the sooner health care gets through, the sooner the President, Congress and major progressive groups can return focus to energy/climate, but if the President's push is successful, I think it's likely we can expect (and push for) a similar effort on climate/energy.  This prong is probably least clearly in our control, but in the short-term is maybe the most important factor, and there are a number of groups who are moving forward different strategies to encourage the President to step up fully to drive forward this process.  


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