PA-Sen: Sestak Leads Among Dems Who Know Both Candidates

by: Chris Bowers

Thu Oct 01, 2009 at 12:54


A new Quinnipiac poll in the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate primary shows Congressman Joe Sestak not only gaining significant ground on Senator Arlen Specter, but ahead among Pennsylvania Democrats who have enough about both candidates to form an opinion.

479 total registered Dems (MoE = +/- 4.5%) among whom 163 registered Dems (MoE = +/- 7.7%) that have an opinion about both Specter and Sestak.

(If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Arlen Specter and Joe Sestak, for whom would you vote?

All Democrats (July numbers in parenthesis)
Specter: 44% (55%)
Sestak: 25% (23%)

Democrats who have heard of both candidates
Sestak: 43%
Specter: 39%

The subset of 163 Democrats who know both candidates was sent to me, by request, from the Quinnipiac polling institute. So, I guess that makes it an Open Left exclusive!

This is not the first poll to show Sestak ahead among Pennsylvania Democrats who know both candidates. Back in May, a poll by GQR showed the same result. So, for months now, the only thing propping up Specter's lead has simply been higher name ID. Much of this has been generated by Specter receiving the 4th most media mentions of any member Congress in 2009. He is riding on celebrity.

By the end of the campaign, Specter's name ID advantage will have significantly dissipated, if not disappeared entirely. When that happens, it will be advantage Sestak.

Joe Sestak's campaign website
Joe Sestak on Facebook
Joe Sestak on Twitter
Joe Sestak on Act Blue

Chris Bowers :: PA-Sen: Sestak Leads Among Dems Who Know Both Candidates

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Question for Representative Sestak (4.00 / 1)
Why do you affiliate with the "New Democrat Coalition" and its parent, the DLC? Do you agree with their views on foreign policy, NAFTA, the WTO, deregulation, privatization, neoliberal economics, the "defense" budget, education, war, capital gains taxation, "homeland security"...just what was it that attracted you to them?

How concerned should we be... (4.00 / 1)
That a right-wing loon like Toomey is currently beating both Specter and Sestak in polls?  We only got rid of Santorum a few years ago.

Very - Are you from PA (0.00 / 0)
Very concerned. I grew up in PA. There's a good chance they won't go for someone like Sestak. That's why Whithouse is supporting Specter.

[ Parent ]
No, not from PA... (0.00 / 0)
Just a concerned citizen. ;)

[ Parent ]
Speaking of name ID (0.00 / 0)
Are you concerned about the fact that Sestak's name recognition hasn't really gone up in the last few months?  Or is that only to be expected since he isn't really on the air much yet?

Tim Wolfe

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