A new Quinnipiac poll in the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate primary shows Congressman Joe Sestak not only gaining significant ground on Senator Arlen Specter, but ahead among Pennsylvania Democrats who have enough about both candidates to form an opinion.
479 total registered Dems (MoE = +/- 4.5%) among whom 163 registered Dems (MoE = +/- 7.7%) that have an opinion about both Specter and Sestak.
(If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Arlen Specter and Joe Sestak, for whom would you vote?
All Democrats (July numbers in parenthesis)
Specter: 44% (55%)
Sestak: 25% (23%)
Democrats who have heard of both candidates
The subset of 163 Democrats who know both candidates was sent to me, by request, from the Quinnipiac polling institute. So, I guess that makes it an Open Left exclusive!
This is not the first poll to show Sestak ahead among Pennsylvania Democrats who know both candidates. Back in May, a poll by GQR showed the same result. So, for months now, the only thing propping up Specter's lead has simply been higher name ID. Much of this has been generated by Specter receiving the 4th most media mentions of any member Congress in 2009. He is riding on celebrity.
By the end of the campaign, Specter's name ID advantage will have significantly dissipated, if not disappeared entirely. When that happens, it will be advantage Sestak.
Joe Sestak's campaign website
Joe Sestak on Facebook
Joe Sestak on Twitter
Joe Sestak on Act Blue