Summers breaks his arm patting himself on the back

by: Ian Welsh

Tue Oct 13, 2009 at 11:30


It seems that Summers is congratulating himself for having saved the world from the Great Depression:

The Obama administration has helped pull the U.S.  economy back from the “abyss” with aggressive efforts to spur growth and  stabilize financial markets, a top White House adviser said on Monday…

…”Thanks largely to the Recovery Act, alongside an aggressive financial stabilization plan and a program to keep responsible homeowners in their homes, we have walked a substantial distance back from the economic abyss and are on the path toward economic recovery,” Summers wrote to House Republican leader John Boehner.

All they did was throw cash at the problem, without dealing with the underlying issues, which is why they didn’t manage (as Jerome points out) to kickstart ANY net private spending.  They didn’t break up major banks.  They didn’t allow bankruptcy judges to rewrite mortgages.  Their mortgage program kept hardly anyone in the house.  And their money for financial firms did not increase lending by one cent.

So, as a Stirling Newberry likes to say “the economy breathes fine, as long as we don’t unplug the life support machines”.

That’s all they did - throw the economy on life support by hooking it up to a money spigot, then wander off and have a cup of coffee and tell each other how brilliant they were, not noticing that they hadn’t actually cured the patient.

This is going to be the wost “recovery” of your lifetime, unless you’re in the financial sector at a relatively high level.  Bank profits have recovered but ordinary people are not, in a generation, going to see a full recovery from this clusterfuck - employment will not recover to pre-recession levels before the next recession, and I don’t expect it to recover after that recession either.

At this point, in fact, I am expecting this to turn into a double dip recession—this “recovery” will not have any significant legs.

Anyone who believes Summer when he pats himself on his back should remember that Summers record of being wrong about everything of significance is awe inspiring in its completeness.  This is the man who helped create the necessary preconditions for the financial crisis through radical deregulation of financial markets, then didn’t see the crisis coming till it was already well underway.

Oh, and one reason any peaceniks reading this kiss any chance of the Afghan war ending is that Obama needs the war stimulus to keep the economy on life support and military Keynesianism is the type of stimulus Republicans and Blue Dogs won’t vote against.

Welcome to endless war, money for rich people, and trickle down for you.  The future looks an awful lot like the past, doesn’t it?

Ian Welsh :: Summers breaks his arm patting himself on the back

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Actually it looks (0.00 / 0)
worst than the past. Good post. It always takes a while for mainstream political discourse to catch with up reality. A month after Obama's signs a crappy health care bill, the entire debate over reform will seem like a distant memory, as even political elites will have to acknowledge the disease of joblessness and general anxiety corroding the heart of the country.  

Life imitates art (4.00 / 1)
Deckard: Give it to Holden. He's good.
Bryant: I did. He can breathe okay, as long as nobody unplugs him.

And we all know what LA looked like. 2019, it was. We've got nine years. With Geithner, Bernanke and Summers in charge, we may make it yet.
 


Obama's mandate was to sustain the unsustainable. (0.00 / 0)
I don't envy him that.

Too kind (4.00 / 1)

Anyone who believes Summer when he pats himself on his back should remember that Summers record of being wrong about everything of significance is awe inspiring in its completeness.

You neglected to mention Summers' sterling management of the Harvard hedge fund endowment, which is now dragging the university into the financial toilet because of all the risky bets he endorsed.  Remember he fired a quantitative analyst who voiced concerns about the derivatives they were investing in.

but you have to admit (0.00 / 0)
that dead cat's pretty f"£king big.

sigh...


military Keynesianism (4.00 / 1)
Of course non-military Keynesianism would stimulate the economy in ways that build long-term prosperity for working class people, so naturally conservatives are against it. Poor and middle class people aren't going to gain until the rich feel some pain. If they can consolidate their power in a shitty economy, then that's what we're going to get. If we could force an inverse relationship between the top marginal tax rate and the fortunes of the middle class, we'd see economic policies that make sense - more stimulus, more domestic infrastructure and green energy spending, stronger safety net, more education spending, ending the wars, huge cuts in military spending, etc.

miasmo.com

only one quibble (0.00 / 0)
Agree with all you said Mike, only it doesn't go far enough. Without substantial change, recovery will be impossible, not for at least a generation, but ever! I believe if the necessary changes were made today, and few (and weak) are in the legislating process now, it would be more than a generation to recover to the poor economy of 2007. It took about 40 years to build, and about 40 years of deterioration to destroy last time, and we haven't really started to change direction wet.

Government by organized money is just as dangerous as government by organized mob..... FDR

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