|Update 12: We won Farmington where a smaller Univ of Maine campus is, 54-46%. That's in Region 3, county seat of Franklin County. On target.
Update 11: In Lewiston-Auburn, we're winning 58-42, including absentees. HUGE. That is one of the heaviest if not the heaviest Catholic region in the state. Nearly all of those numbers are in.
Update 10: Overall in Region 2 are on target for our vote goals.
Update 9: The numbers in Falmouth, a northern suburb, are 65% as well. VERY good.
Update 8: We are getting the base vote numbers back that we need in in South Portland- about 65% No votes. They're nearly all in.
Update 7: In Portland 5-2 precinct, our worst place in the city, the numbers are approx 1,400 No, 1,100 Yes. Very, very good.
Update 6: The early numbers from Orono (where the largest Univ of Maine campus is) are very on target for what we need- the first precinct which is the campus is just over 10K No, 2K Yes.
Update 5: FIRST NUMBERS IN: In Region 1 about 2K votes in and it's 51-49 Yes. Region 2 the numbers are looking about 60-40 No, as expected. In Regions 3 and 4 barely any numbers are in, and they're all tight.
Update 4: Folks are asking me offline about Bangor Daily News and their accuracy- like I wrote in Update 1, their numbers are screwy, and folks here who are in the room who workfor the state party say BDN's numbers are always screwy all night but they tend to call it accurately first in the end. For example they say 551 people voted, 55 No, 24 yes. So take it all with a grain of salt. I'm taking my numbers from the campaign staff which get them directly from the poll sites.
Update 3: Field staff says a lot of our base precincts still waiting in line to vote. Polls closed at 8 PM EST.
Update 2: I'll be talking a lot in terms of "regions". Region 1 is York County and Region 2 is Cumberland County- heavy base votes in southern Maine for us, the No side. Region 3 is a mix, independent voters- Androscoggin, Sagadahoc- Franklin, Kennebec Counties- which are just north of Portland and Regions 1/2. Augusta, the state capitol, and Lewiston-Auburn, which are heavily Catholic but still mixed, are in Region 3. Region 4 is the rest of the counties, which is heavy rural northern Maine- heavy Yes base votes with the exception of Orono, the largest University of Maine campus in the state. We want big numbers in Regions 1 and 2 and do really well in 3. Basic map is here.
Update 1: Bangor Daily News reported 2 precincts in already early before polls closed- 355 voters. Don't trust the screwy percentage numbers though.