New Jersey Results--AP Calls It For Christie

by: Chris Bowers

Tue Nov 03, 2009 at 22:13


New Jersey Governor
(71% reporting)

Corzine (D) Daggett (I) Christie (R)
44% 5% 50%

Update 11: This thread will no longer update.

Update 10--Christie wins: Damn it, damn it, damn it. AP calls it for Christie.  Don't expect the projection to be reversed, given what I am hearing behind the scenes. It's over.

Update 9--Starting to get dire: I am feeling less and less confident here. The projections don't look great at this point.

Update 8--4 big Democratic towns left to report: From a source, there are four big Democratic towns left to report in New Jersey. Still, going to be difficult.

Update 7--Corzine will get closer: Given the areas that have yet to report, Corzine should end up with between 45-48% of the vote, per 538 on twitter. Given that the total Independent vote looks to be around 6%, 48% would win, and 47% is probably recount territory. Expect a long night.

Update 6--site update: Stripped out some of the content in the left hand columns. Open Left is loading much faster now.

Update 5--exit poll toplines show 1% race: According to Josh at TPM, the exit polls show Corzine and Christie within one point of each other. This may very well be the nail biter the polls had predicted. The early results are from Republican-leaning areas.

Update 4: Real results coming in now.

Update 3: The early results are not from any precinct. Must be early voting of some kind.

Update 2: Early exit poll data indicate that Daggett supporters may have moved hard toward Christie toward the end:

In New Jersey, Republican Chris Christie took 58 percent of the independent vote, according to early CNN Exit Poll data. Incumbent Gov. Jon Corzine, a Democrat, took just 33 percent of the independent vote. Independents made up 27 percent of the voters in New Jersey race.

With Daggett only receiving 9% of the Independent vote, a late exodus of Daggett supporters to Christie may spell real trouble for Corzine. Damn it.

Update 1: On the plus side, AP says the campaign is too close to call.

Chris Bowers :: New Jersey Results--AP Calls It For Christie

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Keep Hope (0.00 / 0)
Exit polls say it is too close to call.  

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/


Could be that disgruntled Republicans are just self-identifying as independent (0.00 / 0)
Anyone have the numbers of how many people self-identified as Democratic or Republican?

[ Parent ]
TPM reporting exit poll "toplines" are neck and neck... (0.00 / 0)
Ugh... I just have a bad feeling about this.

Thank goodness this nail-biter (0.00 / 0)
is auditable and recountable. Oh wait...

looks bad for Corzine (0.00 / 0)
2008 Ocean county: McCain 59, Obama 40
2009 Ocean county: Christie 65, Corzine 28

2008 Monmouth county: McCain 51, Obama 48
2009 Monmouth county: Christie 62, Corzine 31

2008 Gloucester county: Obama 56, McCain 43
2009 Gloucester county: Christie 47, Corzine 45


Isn't Corzine a Goldman Sachs billionaire? (0.00 / 0)
I would not vote for him.

Isn't Corzine a Goldman Sachs billionaire? (0.00 / 0)
I would not vote for him.

Damn!! (0.00 / 0)
Let's Hope Nancy Pelosi can get her house in order this week and pass that bill soon to change the narrative!

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
Well she has the Owens win on her side (4.00 / 1)
No way Owens loses now, even with absentees

[ Parent ]
Odd how Christie's campaign HQ… (0.00 / 0)
...isn't really celebrating.

"This ain't for the underground. This here is for the sun." -Saul Williams

They coudln't get a majority... (0.00 / 0)
...even in a GOP year with and incredibly unpopular incumbent.

What's to celebrate?  NJ is a mess, and Christie is going to have a tough time..

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
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