Markets Cheer Republican Victories

by: tremayne

Wed Nov 04, 2009 at 09:40


Here's the lead from a CNN money story this morning (not an editorial):

U.S. stocks were poised to open higher Wednesday, as Wall Street cheered a number of Republican election wins ahead of the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting decision.

And later in the story:

But positive market momentum appeared as investors were encouraged by several Republicans victories, including the governor races in both New Jersey and Virginia.

More broadly, the wins reflect a sharp rebuke by Americans of current policies in Washington, including massive spending programs that have helped grow the federal deficit.

"The election results suggest that perhaps the referendum of the Democratic Party, more specifically President Obama, is being challenged in the marketplace," said Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott.

So the stock market, which has been going mostly up for 8 months (apparently cheering uh...something), is set to go up some more this morning. And this is proof that investors are happy about the races for Governor in NJ and Virginia. Nevermind that a lot of investors, like Warren Buffet, George Soros, etc. are Democrats, apparently it is just a given that:

1. Investors are Republicans

2. Happy political results for Republicans = market goes up

Of course the market has been going up and down for the last month. I guess that's because, on some days, Republicans are feeling happy and confident and on other days they are feeling sad.

Obviously this is just as ridiculous as the "markets hate Obama" meme from last February which mysteriously faded away when the markets began moving upward. Amazingly this story is not posted as an editorial but asa front page story on CNN Money.

Anyway, even if you accept the premise, what does that say about the markets? "We like it when Democrats lose because then the gap between the rich and poor widens and we can buy another chateau."

tremayne :: Markets Cheer Republican Victories

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the dismal state of journalism isn't limited to the political beat (4.00 / 1)
For those of you who don't typically read the stock market news, let me assure you that the drivel written by stock market beat reporters often makes political reporters look like wise sages!

don't rely on cnn money for your financial news (0.00 / 0)
go to wsj news section (not editorial) or preferably FT.  the economist is also useful.  

they're not perfect, but they'll help you get a better sense of what capitalists think, if you're into that sort of thing.

of course, i would be perfectly happy if investors actually had a reason to dislike democrats or, better yet, if they did, but didn't realise it, because of the supersekrit plan to promote progressive policies.

i don't see either.


CNN missed the obvious conclusion: (4.00 / 1)
the market is happy Jon Corzine is returning to them.

Visit Street Prophets to talk about faith + politics!

Idiotic Headlines Written in Advance (0.00 / 0)
I agree.  This market divination story is idiotic.  It is always used to support conventional [conservative] wisdom.

This case is a natural extension of the media's preconceived script of yesterday's elections as a "blow to Obama" or a "troubling sign for Dems in 2010".  Amazingly enough, NYTimes was still describing yesterday's elections as a huge blow to Obama even after Hoffman conceded NY-23 in a hugely unexpected defeat.  It's like the media all wrote their stories in advance and didn't even both to wait for the facts to be settled before trumpeting prevailing beltway wisdom.  


Ummm... Not So Much (4.00 / 1)
Anyway, even if you accept the premise, what does that say about the markets? "We like it when Democrats lose because then the gap between the rich and poor widens and we can buy another chateau."

From my late-August diary, "Forget The Recession--Bush Economy Sucked BEFORE Then" comes this chart:

And this:


Man, that's got to hurt! You're in the top 0.01% of income earners, so you vote for the guy who's going to focus like a laser beam on cutting your taxes, and it ends up costing you $40 million up front over the next 7 years... and then there's the mother of all recessions!

Ouch!

Republicans bad for the economy much?



"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

What's Washington State? Chopped Liver? (0.00 / 0)
Voters here passed a statewide expansion of equal rights for domestic partners and soundly rejected a homegrown version of TABOR.

I figured that was what the market was celebrating.  

USA: 1950 to 2010


[ Parent ]
Oh CNN. what stupidity (0.00 / 0)
Warren Buffet is driving the markets today, not elections, but anything for spin.

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