Why Did Obama Not Help Dems Win the NY Mayor's Office? It Was Probably Bloomberg's Money, Stupid

by: David Sirota

Thu Nov 05, 2009 at 09:15


To feed the Punditburo's appetite for fact-free speculation and polemic, the Beltway press and the political activist class often manufactures elaborate rationales for fairly simple events. These professional prognosticators refuse to accept obvious explanations, either because they feel the need to produce overdramatized entertainment or because the 24-7 news cycle they create requires them to guru-ize politicians and their minions so as to fill time. And so our political discourse teems with fantastical tales of super-secret pony plans and Rasputin-like geniuses brilliantly playing 57-dimensional chess.

The latest of these tales is that of New York mayor Michael Bloomberg and President Obama. With Bloomberg barely hanging on in his bid to buy a third term, progressives are rightfully asking why Obama didn't more forcefully endorse this plutocrat's Democratic challenger, William Thompson, considering the fact that a more forceful Obama endorsement easily could have moved a decisive amount of votes to Thompson in the overwhelmingly Democratic city.

Attempting to answer this question, the New York Times gives us the standard hackneyed mythology about "a dramatic effort, unfolding behind the scenes" - a hagiography about supposedly super-sharp Bloomberg and his even more strategically masterful aides brilliantly creating (deceptively, as the election results now prove) an aura of inevitability and simultaneously cajoling a reluctantly compliant White House into keeping quiet.

Incredibly, left out of this labyrinthine mythmaking is an examination of a much more plausible reason for Obama's silence: Bloomberg's billions.

Here you have one of the richest people on the planet running for mayor in a city that is already safely in Democratic hands, in terms of presidential, congressional and New York state elections. This billionaire is desperate to retain his vanity platform as New York's public face.

Thus, what was most likely going on here was something pretty simple: The Democratic Party wanted to avoid antagonizing this billionaire for fear of retribution (ie. campaign contributions to the Republican Party, a vote-splitting third-party run for president, etc.) - and in fact, the Democratic Party probably aims to court this billionaire for future campaign contributions. And so the Obama White House via Rahm Emanuel (a guy who got his start as a big donor political fundraiser) kept the president quiet and hence appeased this billionaire in a race that doesn't matter a whole lot to the national Democratic Party (even as it matters a whole helluva lot to New York City voters).

Put another way, the Bloomberg campaign to silence Obama wasn't any act of tactical genius or some sort of "sophisticated strategy," as the New York Times insists. It was a basic financial transaction. His billions not only bought the election, but they effectively created a disincentive for national Democrats to try to beat him. If there was any "genius" at all, it was merely that Bloomberg is such an empty suit and such a narcissistic opportunist that he's been happy to flirt with any party willing to sell its soul to him, (and he's made sure not to take any positions that make it impossible for Democratic elites to even tacitly support). That flirting has preserved both the perception of a potential carrot and stick that ultimately backed off Obama - the potential carrot being future campaign contributions to Democrats, the potential stick being possible campaign contributions to Republicans/anti-Democratic initiatives.

But, then, being willing to align oneself with any party that serves one's short-term purpose isn't really "genius," now is it? Really, it's just a lack of scruples and core convictions. Mix that with billions of dollars, and you get exactly what happened yesterday: Plutocrat Republican-lite Mike Bloomberg winning reelection thanks, in part, to a Democratic president refusing to seriously back the Democratic candidate.

Indeed, it all goes back to the Power of Big Money. Sure, Obama and national Democrats fetishize "bipartisanship" and they've tried to cite their cordial relationship with Bloomberg as proof of their "bipartisan" credentials. And sure, Bloomberg isn't as odious a Republican as, say, Rudy Giuliani. But those were most likely secondary considerations in the Obama-Bloomberg detente in comparison to the influence of cold, hard cash. It's a simple explanation of that electorally decisive alliance - an explanation that may not be as sexy as glamorizing the "smarts" of Bloomberg, but it's almost surely the dynamic really at play.

David Sirota :: Why Did Obama Not Help Dems Win the NY Mayor's Office? It Was Probably Bloomberg's Money, Stupid

Tags: (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
Humiliating (4.00 / 2)
I thought it was humiliating for the Democratic glitterati to just kind of abandon Thompson, with some in the establishment (like certain washington "progressive" institutions) even going as far as to endorse Bloomberg. The sucking up and abandoning of progressives was just humiliating.  

Thank you (4.00 / 1)
As someone who had to suffer Bloomberg ads on TV and radio, ads that struck me as full of cheap shots and extremely negative on Thompson (no opponent is ever 100% evil, as Bloomberg portrayed his opponent), I'm glad to see you point out another aspect of this campaign. Clearly we have to reform how elections are funded, at all levels.

Also, "being willing to align oneself with any party that serves one's short-term purpose" happens to be the classic definition of a politician. The issue is whether or not the social, political, financial environment around politicians encourages or discourages their worst impulses. Right now, with Bloomberg as Exhibit A, we encourage worst impulses. Progressives need to figure out how to change that dynamic.


Bloomberg a symptom, not a cause (4.00 / 2)
What I find most troubling about this is the hundred million dollars, especially the judicious way in which it was applied, essentially bribing all the social and political organizations which might serve as a core of resistance to Bloomberg's candidacy. Exactly why would anyone spend that kind of money, even if they're the richest guy around, simply in order to preside over the bag of hurt that administering our premier city brings with it?

What is the difference between civic-mindedness, the thought that one might make a difference, and pure vanity? I'm not persuaded that in Bloomberg's case any of us are in a position to make that judgment with absolute certainty. Indicators are, at least from my perspective, that Bloomberg is one of those folks with tangled motives, and just the fact that so much money is involved makes it difficult to untangle them. I would say, though, that elections decided in this way do tend to favor oligarchy, at least if the oligarch is telegenic, and that any system which favors oligarchy has to be suspect to a democrat. (Small or large D)

As for the President's abandonment of Thompson, yeah, I'd agree that it was the money, or rather the potential damage that so much money could do in the hands of a savvy political operator, which Bloomberg clearly is. The other factor, though, was surely Bloomberg's popularity. Many decent New Yorkers that I know approved of Bloomberg's performance as mayor, and were reluctant to try something unproven, especially given some of their past experiences -- clowns, incompetents, tyrants -- when they had a bird in hand. This is reasonable, I think. Even those of us outside the city are well aware of the most egregious failings of previous mayors.

Presumably that popularity factor entered into Emanuel and Axelrod's calculations. In all fairness, too, the fact that Bloomberg wasn't as popular as everyone thought, whether because of the transparency of the assault on term limits, or the sheer exhaustion of enduring Bloomberg's 24/7 ego gymnastics on every TV channel in the area, wasn't exactly obvious to anyone until after the votes were counted.

When all is said and done, it seems to me that Paul Rosenberg has the best take on this. If anyone needs any additional evidence that parties are star vehicles, with no real script of their own, this election should fill the bill. Any ideology- or policy-based activism has to organize outside the parties. Even so, what to do about the amount of money involved is still a problem in search of a solution. The teabaggers have their own solution -- thanks, Dick Armey -- even though most of them have no idea who's paying for their activism, but we clearly have nothing like that kind of support. Let me put my tongue in my cheek for a moment here, and say that it sure would be a blessing if George Soros were as forthcoming as Rush Limbaugh tells everybody he is.


Bloomberg IS a Democrat. (0.00 / 0)
Show me one policy issue on which he sides with Republicans.

He was a Democrat all his life and became a Republican just so he could run for mayor without going through a difficult primary.  Then he became an "independent".

Criticize him for repealing term limits, but not for being a "Republican".  Sounds like you just hate people with a lot of money.


He's not the Democrat, and he's not as pro-workers as Thompson (4.00 / 3)
People who are of the left, it kinda makes sense for them to always want more progressive leadership. That's the point, not the back-and-forth over whether Bloobmerg could be called a Democrat because he likes gun control and regulating trans fats.

[ Parent ]
The Rent Guidelines Board voted for hikes of 4.5% in some years since (4.00 / 3)
Bloomberg has been mayor- they are all mayoral appointees. He's ignored affordable housing almost entirely.

[ Parent ]
It's Not Hatred of People with Money (4.00 / 1)
Small but important point, for me at least. When I criticize wealth it is excessive wealth in general and, in particular, to raise the issue about how a society handles excessive wealth.

For one, taxpayers put out trillions of dollars over decades to provide the infrastructure that makes wealth possible. No courts, no enforceable contracts, no wealth. No education subsidies, no educated workers, no wealth. Same for police, fire, scientific research, roads and bridges. Taxing excessive wealth is the only way for taxpayers to get their money back while constraining future upward growth in taxation rates for the other 99.5% of taxpayers. That's common sense. Pretending that wealth is like a virgin birth, that it happens with zero support from taxpayers, is silly.

And pretending that letting people like Bloomberg keep almost all they make is both blind and ultimately suicidal for any society. Great wealth distorts society. People with that kind of wealth pursue their selfish interests, as would you or I in their position. And their interests quickly hurt even destroy rights and potentials the non-wealthy possess in a society. We have a right as a society to demand repayment of our tax investment in infrastructure and we have a right as a majority to constrain great wealth in different ways.

These are critical issues we need to debate. Pretending that wealth is magic, that you or I will soon be wealthy, that's counter-productive and simply perpetuates the problem. So it's not about hatred of wealth or the wealthy. It's about having a productive debate to make great wealth work for everyone in society, not just the Bloombergs or Soros or Gates of the world.


[ Parent ]
Pretending (0.00 / 0)
Pretending that wealth is like a virgin birth, that it happens with zero support from taxpayers, is silly.

Which doesn't stop conservative and libertarians from doing so, and calling anyone who refuses to accept their pretense "commie" and various other names.  But then, their ideologies are faith-based, and thus largely immune to reality.

"A fantasy is not even a wish, much less an act.  There is no such thing as a culpable or shameful fantasy."  -----Lady Sally McGee


[ Parent ]
Building unneeded sports stadiums (4.00 / 1)
so billionaire owners can sell skyboxes and tickets to corporations and millionaire spectators, jerry-rigging a testing system to further privatize so-called public education, stocking the rent board with anti-tenant real estate industry shills, etc., etc., all suggest that Bloomberg isn't friendly to the left in spite of his support for gay and abortion rights.  

He's a big leap forward from Guiliani who openly used police power to antagonize poor communities, but that's not really saying too much, is it?


[ Parent ]
it was the polls (0.00 / 0)
Bloomberg was up by 20%, no one believed it would be a close election. Indeed they were right, Bloomberg was clearly above 50% and he got 50%. To analyze motives without mentioning that is either dishonest or stupid.

You can see them at a site called pollster.com which Chris can tell you about.

http://www.pollster.com/polls/...

New Jersey politics at Blue Jersey.


OK, but why not enthusiastically work for your own party's person? (0.00 / 0)
They've always gone and sucked up to Bloomy. This isn't new.  

[ Parent ]
HAAAAAAAAAAAAAA (4.00 / 1)
I love this - such a perfect example of idiocy. Basically, you are saying "because the media's polls said his election was inevitable, it was inevitable." What a hilarious example of justifying self-fullfilling conventional wisdom - the creation of a reality that didn't actually exist.

Try again, you douche.


[ Parent ]
I think that your argument... (4.00 / 1)
I think that your argument would be clearer if you didn't devolve to calling the person you're commenting on names.

Were I to disagree with the original poster, I'd state something like that a year out, competitive polls aren't particularly useful, other than gauging a rough ceiling to the better-known candidate's support.

Alternatively, I could note that while the polls close to election had Bloomberg winning, it was slightly over 50%, which means that even a modest increase in name recognition for Thompson might have changed the race to be vaguely competitive.


[ Parent ]
Wow, that's some brilliant analysis there (0.00 / 0)
So I guess polls don't matter, right, because hard work and ferocious determination conquer all!  Let's dump all our money into races in conservative districts in South Carolina and Georgia!  Who cares what the polls say, they're just trying to delude us into giving up!

I hate it when Obama fanatics leap to his defense saying that his bumbling is actually some kind of secret genius strategy.  But I think it's just as bad to jump to the conclusion that Obama is always acting as some evil wolf in sheep's clothing who's out to get us, when the real answer is a lot simpler and less insidious.

When polling shows a race to be uncompetitive, as it did in NYC, people usually shift their attention and resources to more competitive races.  That's what happens all the time, regardless of which candidate, which race, or which party. You could make a legitimate case that some candidates are worth fighting for to the bitter end (don't know if Bill Thompson qualifies as one) but don't pretend like this is some kind of unique treacherous backstabbing of liberals by an Obama in cahoots with Bloomberg.


[ Parent ]
Wrong (4.00 / 2)
Polling consistently showed the race a 12 point race in an overwhelmingly Democratic city. No one was advocating dumping a lot of money into the race - just a few campaign events and maybe appearing in an endorsement ad (mail, TV, etc.) that's all. That could have been done inexpensively. It wasn't - and it wasn't for a reason.

[ Parent ]
I didn't think 12 points is considered close (0.00 / 0)
what's more, I didn't think anything in NYC is inexpensive.

Did any liberal, non-Obama/establishment groups call for boosting Thompson's campaign?  Here on Open Left I didn't detect any kind of mention of Thompson in the week leading up to the race.

This whole talk of "we were SO close!!!" is ridiculous since it was only so after the fact.  Had the polls showed Thompson within five points before the election, and the Obama administration didn't lift a finger, then you'd have a story.

While you could be right that Obama loves Bloomberg and wouldn't personally care about Thompson whether he was close or not, it's too hard in this case to separate that from the likely possibility that Obama just didn't think Thompson was running competitively.  And that was a perception shared by just about everyone.  We own this loss as much as he does.


[ Parent ]
The Non-Profit Aspect (4.00 / 6)
One "wrinkle" that's usually overlooked is how Bloomberg has effectively bought off a large chunk of the non-profit sector by funneling money to them, as well.  This was discussed on Democracy Now! yesterday:

AMY GOODMAN: Well, Juan, let's talk about that. We're talking about $100 million that it is believed that Bloomberg spent of his own money. I think William Thompson spent something like $8 million. The airwaves blanketed with ads for Bloomberg, or, I should say, against William Thompson. But that $100 million doesn't reflect all the money that went into this campaign. You've been looking at this, Juan.

JUAN GONZALEZ: Oh, no, no. I mean, I think the unwritten story is that I think Michael Bloomberg has now spent, in his three runs for mayor of New York, not just about $70 million each time and $100 million this time for the races themselves, but the amount of philanthropic money that he has given to nonprofits in New York City is astounding. It was reported that Calvin Butts, the minister of one of the biggest black churches in New York City, Abyssinian Baptist Church, received a $1 million personal donation from Michael Bloomberg. Jeffrey Canada, who runs a bunch of Harlem charter schools, received a $600,000 personal donation from Michael Bloomberg. You can't-the number-

AMY GOODMAN: And the role Canada played in Obama not coming to New York?

JUAN GONZALEZ: Well, reportedly-the New York Times reported today that Canada called Valerie Jarrett at the White House in recent days to try to persuade Barack Obama not to campaign for Bill Thompson, the Democrat, and that Valerie Jarrett and the people in-and the White House operatives assured Canada that the President would stay out of New York, would not campaign for Bill Thompson, the Democrat, so that-

AMY GOODMAN: And he was right here, Obama-

JUAN GONZALEZ: Well, yes.

AMY GOODMAN: -because he came here for the weekend for Corzine.

JUAN GONZALEZ: He was here-he was here in New York.

AMY GOODMAN: In Jersey.

JUAN GONZALEZ: And he was also campaigning in New Jersey. But he agreed not to campaign. So you had a situation where these personal donations that the Mayor has been giving to virtually-you name the nonprofit in New York, and they all have an anonymous donation that they all know was from Michael Bloomberg. So he has been essentially buying the entire nonprofit community of New York City, donating at least $100 million a year of his personal money in philanthropic contributions for the last decade. So I think the combination of his philanthropic giving and his own political campaign spending means that he has spent money like no one in history has ever spent for political office.

AMY GOODMAN: And, of course, Bloomberg News. I mean, we're also talking about the media here, Tom Robbins.

TOM ROBBINS: Yeah, he's ever-present. I mean, you know, this is a man who named, you know, a television station, a radio station. And now he's got BusinessWeek magazine. Maybe he'll change that to Bloomberg BusinessWeek. We'll see what happens.

I mean, his ability to be able to use his money, surely in effective ways-I mean, the fact that he was able to-I mean, some people-Corzine, who's also a incredibly wealthy individual, was not able to get there. Bloomberg has used his money to be able to reach people that he knew-like Canada, like Calvin Butts, people who he knew were influential and that he could basically-I don't know if they buy their support, but he could use it-as Calvin Butts said to a Bloomberg biographer earlier this year, it sure doesn't hurt to be able to get that money.

AMY GOODMAN: And the unions' closeness to Obama and not coming out for William Thompson, Juan?

JUAN GONZALEZ: Well, you had two of the biggest, most powerful unions in New York City, the teachers' union and the SEIU 1199 union-both of them stayed out of the race, unusual for these powerful unions that are always the kingmakers in many of the political races. They stayed out of the races, which was, in effect, again, helpful to Mayor Bloomberg in his efforts.

So, when you look at that five percent margin, given the fact that the entire political establishment of New York, virtually all of the newspapers, dailies and weeklies, with the exception of the black-owned Amsterdam News and the Spanish-language El Diario, supported Bloomberg and that the major unions and the national Democratic Party basically turned its back on the race, it's astonishing that it was so close.



"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

Amazing (0.00 / 0)
I wonder if these facts every appear in mainstream media, front page, where most people will see them?

[ Parent ]
The question should also be, does this offset... (0.00 / 0)
..the impact of Bloomberg's more right wing stance? After all, all this money for left wing organisations has an impact, too. And it probably wouldn't come in if Bllomberg wouldn't try to buy some friends who support him as mayor. So, what's the balance, is the net effect negative or positive? And does it make sense to use scarce resources, financially and personally, to try to get rid of hard-targets like Bloomberg? For the same "price tag", many more center-right politicians could be replaced by progressives. What do you think, Paul?

[ Parent ]
30 Pieces Of Silver (0.00 / 0)
Should they have held out for 40?

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
Sure! Grab all you can! This is the #1 rule of turbo capitalism. (0.00 / 0)
And since we can't change the world from one day to another, we better play by its rules for now. So, if Bloomberg is ready to pay 30, why not 40? Why not 50? At least they should make him pay dearly for tolerating him. And the poor and the homeless sure appreciate every dollar, and don't care at all if it's coming  from Bloomberg.

However, this doesn't answer my question: What about the balance? At what point would a more progressive mayor be better than Bloomberg welfare?


[ Parent ]
I know what you're hinting at, Paul, but ethics, shmethics. (0.00 / 0)
Even Moral arguments are relative. If you can save 100 people by sacrificing one, what do you do? Answers to ethical questions aren't as clear cut in real life as you paint them in your example about Judas...
Hey, what if he had used those 30 bucks for preventing a poor guy from starving???

[ Parent ]
He didn't campaign for Garamendi, either. (4.00 / 1)
In fact, basically no one campaigned for Garamendi. Everyone ignored the race. Before the election, even most progressive bloggers had to amend their posts with "Update: oh yeah, there's also that House race in California" after being reminded by their commenters. Similarly, basically no one campaigned for Thompson against Bloomberg, nor paid very much attention to the race at all. Again: basically no one.

Why? Because the races were widely assumed to be uncompetitive. It would've been pointless. The polls, again, bore this out.

So yeah, they were all wrong. It turned out to be pretty close, and would've been worth spending effort on. If you were one of the few people who saw this beforehand, feel free to loudly say, "I told you so."

But while I'm not saying campaign money doesn't influence politics (it regrettably does quite a bit), in this case that's not the simplest and most obvious reason. This one is even simpler and more obvious.


My theory (0.00 / 0)
My guess is that Obama would rather not campaign for black candidates in local races where the opponent has a lot of support from white Democrats.  No evidence, just a hunch.

Civic Service (4.00 / 1)
What I find incredibly frustrating is that so many voters and politicians deplore narcissism, greed, and cold ambition in their elected officials, but when a public servant comes around. they abandon him.  The reality, for those who have paid attention to New York politics, is that Thompson has a 20-year plus career in civic service that is virtually unblemished - a remarkable feat.  He has dedicated his working life to improving the way NYC government serves its people.  

Bloomberg tried to paint a horrific picture of this man utilizing a few less-than-stellar moments, but nothing truly corrupt or unsatisfactory.  The hypocrisy coming from a man who has abused his power to increase his own wealth and the finances of his corporate allies is appalling.  If we cannot defend and protect those who fight for us, then we will only be left with the plutocrats that Bloomberg epitomizes.


USER MENU

Open Left Campaigns

SEARCH

   

Advanced Search

QUICK HITS
STATE BLOGS
Powered by: SoapBlox