As you have probably heard by now, Bart Stupak's amendment to prevent any insurance plan in the health care exchanges from covering abortion procedures is set to get a floor vote tonight. If it passes as part of the bill, this would be a significant step backward for reproductive rights, even under a broad Democratic trifecta. Here is what I know:
No Progressive Block, apparently due to Obama reassurance. To my knowledge, no pro-choice Democrats have threatened to vote against the bill as a result of this. Apparently, this is because of a rumor going around Congress that President Obama promised Henry Waxman that he will "personally" work to remove the language in conference. I feel so reassured.
No other amendments. No other amendments (Medicare +5% public option, single-payer) will be voted on. Just the Stupak amendment. Apparently, the leadership felt it needed to placate Stupak, but not single-payer or robust public option supporters. Once again, the Regressives play hardball better than the Progressives.
Did the leadership get played?: Stupak claims that the bill will pass no matter what happens to his amendment. If that is true, then he really played the leadership on this, since they appear to have only allowed his amendment in order to get the votes for passage of the overall bill.
Timeline: The Stupak amendment will be voted on after the debate is over. This means around 7:15 p.m. eastern. A final vote on the overall bill will take place at around 9 p.m.
In order for it to pass, Stupak needs 41, plus all Republicans.
Take Action: Bart Stupak has claimed that Roll Call 553 was a test run for this amendment. As such, I have provided a list of Democrats who did not vote with Stupak on that occasion, but who are listed as potential votes for his bill this time around. they are the most likely targets, as they have defied Stupak before. I have also added Tom Perriello, was actually endorsed by Open Left (how embarrassing), and Frank Kratovil, who is listed by NARAL as pro-choice.
Update: Top targets moved to the top of the post.
Loretta Sanchez is a no: According to art3 in the comments, Loretta Sanchez is a no on the Stupak amendment. One down, give to go. Keep calling.
Walt Minnick is a no: Walt Minnick is also a no now. We need five more.
Spratt is a yes: Looks like we just lost John Spratt, who had previously defied Stupak. Now Stupak needs 7 more, we need 5 more.
Kratovil also seems to be a no: Per the comments, Kratovil seems to be a no.
I have refined the target list in an attempt to narrow our calls and make them more effective. If you would like to call someone else, I have kept a broader list in the extended entry, along with the number for the Congressional switchboard.
Democrats who previously joined with Stupak, and who are likely to join him again(34, if you count Stupak. He needs 41.) Altmire (PA-04)
Davis, A. (AL-07)
L. Davis (TN-04)