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Clearly, an abortion amendment fight in the Senate makes an already complex situation much worse.
We've been assuming that there is a large risk that a Stupak-style amendment would garner a level of support greater than a simple majority but less than a cloture majority; and, as a result, the Senate would be unable either to kill it or pass it.
But is that correct?
If a Stupak amendment does not have simple majority support, the rules give a quick and easy out: kill it using a motion to table.
The motion to table is nondebatable (ie, no need for cloture), and passes on a simple majority.
We need to have a handle on how many Dem senators would vote FOR a motion to table a Stupak amendment.
Not that this is not the same question as whether they support the substance of the amendment.
What we'd hope is that enough antiabortionist-friendly Dems would put the imperative of passing health care ahead of brownie points with the bishops.
Could someone organize such a count?
The form of question, as discussed, is vital:
If any amendment is offered which would have the effect of restricting the availability of abortion, will you vote for a motion to table that amendment?
captures the essentials, I think.
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