Afghan Escalation Would Make One-Year Pentagon Budget Almost As Big as Entire 10-Year Health Bill

by: David Sirota

Mon Nov 16, 2009 at 09:23


In pitting the 10-year cost of Democrats' health care bill against the 10-year projected cost of the bloated Pentagon budget, my newspaper column last week made a simple comparison rarely ever made in politics today - a comparison that might provide citizens with much needed context, but a comparison that is ignored.

Is the comparison's omission deliberate? It's hard to say, but when you read this typical New York Times piece, it's hard to argue that it isn't being irresponsibly ignored:

While President Obama's decision about sending more troops to Afghanistan is primarily a military one, it also has substantial budget implications that are adding pressure to limit the commitment, senior administration officials say...

Even if fewer troops are sent, or their mission is modified, the rough formula used by the White House, of about $1 million per soldier a year, appears almost constant.

So even if Mr. Obama opts for a lower troop commitment, Afghanistan's new costs could wash out the projected $26 billion expected to be saved in 2010 from withdrawing troops from Iraq. And the overall military budget could rise to as much as $734 billion, or 10 percent more than the peak of $667 billion under the Bush administration.

Kudos, of course, to the Times for even reporting on the unfathomably large costs of intensifying militarism and adventurism. But as you'll see in the story, there's no attempt to put the costs into any context - specifically, there's no mention that an escalation in Afghanistan would mean outlays for the one-year Pentagon budget is approaching the total outlays of the entire 10-year health care bill.

Of course, the Times does offer up one fleeting contextual message indicating that increased defense spending from an Afghanistan escalation "would be a politically volatile issue for Mr. Obama at a time when the government budget deficit is soaring, the economy is weak and he is trying to pass a costly health care plan." But even that brief mention is dishonest.

On what basis does the Times call the health care plan "costly?" As I said in my column, while the Congressional Budget Office (ie. the nonpartisan institution that reporters/politicians use to price bills - the nonpartisan institution that congressional Republicans tout as an authority) says the health legislation would mandate about $890 billion, CBO also makes painfully clear its tax and budget-cutting provisions would recover a net of $109 billion  over 10 years, meaning the bill is as "costly" to the public treasury as the purchase of a stock that produces a net 10% return on investment. I mean, seriously - if you invested $1,000 into a stock and got $1,100 back, would you lament to a friend about how "costly" the investment was to your bank account? No - because your friend would look at you like you were insane.

Indeed, only in Washington is a big return on taxpayer investment and a $109 billion reduction in the deficit an example of something that's "costly" to taxpayers - and only in a quickly deteriorating American media would defense spending be reported with almost zero context.

David Sirota :: Afghan Escalation Would Make One-Year Pentagon Budget Almost As Big as Entire 10-Year Health Bill

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Good point (4.00 / 4)
Let's watch how fast the deficit hawks look the other way.

I'd like to see an amendment on the next war appropriations bill to the effect that the military will assure me that not a single one of my tax dollars went to pay for any weapon that ends up killing civilians. Put in a special mention for children and pregnant women, too.


"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


Progressives should make a purely cost-benefit argument (4.00 / 3)
I suggested this in one of the quick hits, but I would like to see some on the left attack the war in Afghanistan posing as deficit hawks.  Ignore talking about the morality of the war or the probability of winning and just bring up the dollars and cents.  Whenever possible, find a way to say "trillion" because that number just sounds huge to people and sometimes completely drowns out the context.  Make the argument that even if there is a  mild benefit to fighting in Afhganistan (and leave it nebulous as to whether or not you think there is a benefit, because them people will often assume you agree with them), the tremendous costs to not justify that benefit.

The media will eat this argument up.  Progressives will get on TV.  Once they get established as go-to guys for talking about Afghanistan, then they can work in other arguments, such as how health care reform is cheap compared to fighting an expensive war.

Opponents of the war should try a tactic other than trying to debate on the actual merits of military action because that doesn't work.

Things You Don't Talk About in Polite Company: Religion, Politics, the Occasional Intersection of Both


I mostly agree except with the (4.00 / 3)
"media will eat it up" part. I think that's overstating it. The corporate media is so in the tank (no pun intended) for the Pentagon and military profiteers and so servile to the the DC Beltway Chicken Hawks the I think they'd give substantial push back simply because the Group Think on "terrorism" and "keeping America "safe" is so strong. But otherwise, right on! And it'd be great to see them so nakedly exposed on the deficit hawk thing.

[ Parent ]
Hmm (0.00 / 0)
I figured the post was sarcastic. By describing how one could apply one of the tactics used by the conservatives to attack healthcare reform to the war funding issue.

In fact, it was the "media will eat it up" part that first suggested to me that AdJ was not 100% serious in this suggestion.


"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


[ Parent ]
I'm serious (0.00 / 0)
Conservatives use tactics that work.  So should progressives.

I may be exaggerating a little, but my point is that, if progressives want media coverage, we're more likely to get it using arguments that make use of "the Village" media's flawed assumptions rather than attacking their foundations.  At the end of the day, I don't care if people support the right things for the wrong reasons, so long as they support the right things.  If that requires progressives to pretend to be things they are not, then so be it because right now it is more important just to get a foot in the door and gain access.  Once you gain acceptance as part of the club, then you can be drift a bit and become a contrarian who is charming for disagreeing with the conventional wisdom (in ways that just happen to coincide with progressive priorities).

At the same time, you have blogs and alternative media making progressive arguments for progressive positions.  It is a multi-pronged approach intended to force conservatives on defense on multiple fronts.

Things You Don't Talk About in Polite Company: Religion, Politics, the Occasional Intersection of Both


[ Parent ]
I see your point and apologize for being so cynical as to read satire (4.00 / 2)
into your idea.

One problem of trying to use the M$M's "flawed assumptions" is that when those kind of arguments are espoused by the Left, the conservative media will make hay out of the flaws in the argument. Yet, when the same kind of arguments are made by the Right, the conservative media goes along and reports on the argument as if it had no flaws. So it may not be a simple as you suggest.

So, yeah, get more progressives and lefties on TV and one might begin to tip the balance. Its been happening of late (Maddow, for example).

I actually like your idea whether it is based on sarcasm or not. The sarcastic way points to the underlying falliciousness of the logic by applying it to situations and policies that the right supports.

Take the "culture of life" argument used by Bush II to talk about anti-choice policy. Why not expand that argument to include other situations that the US supports killing and death? Capital punishment, war, etc. When the right wingers start backing off of the expanded "culture of life", it undermines their ability to use it as code for anti-choice.

Abortion really gets those Fundies fired up. I'd use that against them. There must be some statistics by which one can predict how many of the civilians killed in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan were pregnant women. Or, there may be actual records of how many pregnant women were killed by US forces and my tax dollars. But, if one begins to discuss those cases as abortions performed by the US military, contractors, and allies, we can stretch the notion to its breaking point. I'd even go so far as to write an amendment calling for an end to "aerial abortions" and "Predator abortions" caused by the inadvertant targeting of pregnant women by US bombing raids, whether manned or unmanned.  

"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


[ Parent ]
another kind of shopping spree (4.00 / 3)
As we approach the $1,000,000,000,000 mark, some have pointed out that, when all is said and done, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan will cost us upwards of $2,000,000,000,000 or more.

What else could we buy with two trillion dollars?

M. Paskel from the website hubpages:

It's hard to comprehend what 2 trillion dollars can buy. I tried it this morning and developed my list. Do it yourself on the back of an envelope and see what you come up with.

For $2 trillion we could eliminate extreme poverty in the world, the cost of which is estimated by the United Nations and Worldwatch, to be about $150 billion per year for the next 13 years.

We could achieve universal literacy. Every illiterate in every country on the planet could learn to read and write, lifting themselves and their families out of grinding poverty for $5 billion dollars per year and we'd still have a lot of money left over.

And each of the following could be done as well:

For $1.3 billion per year we could provide immunization from deadly diseases for every child on earth. Imagine the savings to over stressed government treasuries by the reduction of medical costs that would follow, not to mention the degree of human suffering that would disappear. We could spend another $15 billion per year and ensure that developing countries would have sufficient resources to fight HIV/AIDS to a draw.

For another $60 billion we could achieve the World Banks Millennium Development Goals of tackling everything from gender inequality to environmental sustainability. And after all this, we'd still have $1.2 trillion left.

The average cost of a college education in the U.S. today, according to the U.S. Department of Education is $21,000. With our $2 trillion we could fund almost 2 billion full scholarships-that's 6 times the population of the U.S.

We could fully fund the cost of healthcare for the 47 million Americans who have none, thru the year 2020. We could adequately clothe, feed and nurture every child orphaned by war and pestilence or inflicted by savage cruelty and abuse. We could upgrade the water systems of every hamlet and village and bring clean safe drinking water where none now exists and we could put a doctor within a day's walk of every human being in this world.

We could provide a laptop to every student in every third world country allowing them to fully realize their educational potential and further the speed with which their countries could become developed and fully revitalized, and we could do the same in rural and urban pockets of poverty in the U.S. where time seems to have stopped dead in it's tracks.

The catastrophes that could be avoided, the rank obscenities, which could be wiped away, seem to be unfathomable with such a resource brought to bear on the most galling of human conditions.


War Tax (4.00 / 1)
instead of arguing that we can't stay in Afghanistan because we can't afford it - which is one of those kinds of things that people hate to hear, especially when it's true - someone should be saying, "OK, if this is such an important thing to do, let's take it seriously. pay for it."

pay for it. your kids - and Afghan kids and parents - are paying in a much more valuable currency. don't be weasels. pay for it.

i think even Chris Matthews could grasp that argument.

not everything worth doing is profitable. not everything profitable is worth doing.


War Lottery (4.00 / 1)
and Special Patriotic Items Tax (SPIT, for short). Added benefit is how it completely contradicts the whole "hippies spit on vets" narrative (true or not), because now, SPITting on soldiers is a good thing.

Got to think creatively if you want to pay for war. I'll bet you could get the folks at that run major sports (NASCAR, NFL, etc.) to hold a few exhibition-type events where a portion of the proceeds, including merchandizing, pay-per-view and the like, go to a special fund that pays for the wars.

Now that the military no longer paints US flag logos on the vehicles, why let that prime advertising space go to waste? Sell it off, just like city buses and commuter trains. I mean why isn't a guy like Petraeus or McChrystal wearing sponor's ball-caps at every press conference? Get real. Times is tough.

Even naming rights. Large corporations could buy the naming rights for major military initiatives (on a sliding scale, of course).


"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


[ Parent ]
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