National Crisis Electoral Flowchart

by: Chris Bowers

Sun Feb 28, 2010 at 20:55


At midnight tonight, tens of thousands of people will lose their unemployment and COBRA benefits because the Senate failed to pass an extension to those benefits.  The main reason for this failure is a filibuster, led by Senator Jim Bunning and, as David Dayen reports, quietly supported by a few other Republican Senators.

Using Senate procedure to cut off unemployment benefits to 1.2 million people is a reprehensible move.  It is also a political move that will do real damage to Democrats.  Here is a flow chart I drew up to illustrate the problem:


With the country unhappy, most voters will blame national problems on the current governing party: Democrats.  Additionally, the country does not understand, or really care about, Senate procedure such as the filibuster.  As such, a handful of Republican Senators can, if they are feeling sufficiently spiteful and / or Machiavellian, use arcane Senate procedure to cut off unemployment insurance to over one million Americans, and actually get Democrats blamed for it.

Faced with this sort of opposition, the only non-suicidal response from the governing party is to change the Senate rules.  Given how much is at stake, and how many people are suffering, none of us should give a flying gastro-rectal event about a couple of negative news cycles, and / or bizarre arguments about the need for a "deliberative" governing body.

Change. The. Rules.  If you are with me, sign up to Open Left's email list.  We will be taking regular action on this over the next ten months.

Chris Bowers :: National Crisis Electoral Flowchart

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With Bunning, There's A Simpler Answer: (0.00 / 0)
Civil commitment.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

Who is more insane? (4.00 / 2)
Bunning or our Democratic Senators?

Its a trick question. They both are.

I think the Democratic Senate confirmed on Friday that they really don't give a shit despite what everyone keeps telling me.  


[ Parent ]
Totally agree (0.00 / 0)
How does Bunning get to have the leverage he exerts. Okay, the "tradition" of the Senate and all that jazz. But when you want to strongarm a legislator, there are means. The fact that Dems aren't using those means is certified "insanity."

Save Our Schools! March & National Call to Action, July 28-31, 2011 in Washington, DC: http://www.saveourschoolsmarch...

[ Parent ]
If 1.2 mil people losing their unemployment benefits (4.00 / 2)
and facing economic survival issues was not enough for the "great" Senators to break with getting along with each other, then nothing will.

Of course, I've been saying that a lot. If the 39 percent increase in health insurance premium will not ... if the near collapse of our banking system will not... if [insert latest rejection of their supposed values] will not, then nothing will convince these men and women that they need to act now rather than choosing later or never.  


[ Parent ]
Maybe the only thing that convinces these men and women (0.00 / 0)
is the lobbyists who stoke their coffers? I'm increasingly convinced that a widespread populist rebellion, similar to what occurred in the 1960s is the only thing that can save us from conservative hegemony.

Save Our Schools! March & National Call to Action, July 28-31, 2011 in Washington, DC: http://www.saveourschoolsmarch...

[ Parent ]
that chart makes the logic 100% clear. it's irrefutable. (4.00 / 3)


It pretty clearly (0.00 / 0)
shows the incentives for Republicans always tilt toward opposition of any initiative.

In general, process based arguments seldom cut for the incumbent party.  The public only cares about results.


[ Parent ]
So what if Bunning had help (4.00 / 3)
The Dems still missed a huge opportunity to make a stand, show some spine to their base and, most importantly, make the GOP look bad. If they'd kept the Senate going 24/7 over the weekend either the GOP would've caved or they would be shown to be the dicks they are. Instead this was a non-issue in the Sunday papers/shows and we're starting over from scratch with no momentum next week.

It's almost as if the Dems have no clue about strategy, communications and PR. They're entirely devoid of basic political tactics. It's an outrage for the unemployed; It's depressing for the rest of us...

Self-refuting Christine O'Donnell is proof monkeys are still evolving into humans


It's Like They Have A Hidden Eleventh Commandment (0.00 / 0)
that forbids them from doing anything politically effective.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
They're Senators first and protect Senatorial privilege (0.00 / 0)
Most of them, probably almost all, want to keep the option open of themselves doing what Bunning just did. They need to protect their own operation.

Awhile back I played a mind game: if all 100 Senators were trapped in a burning building, how many would I try to save? The highest number I got was about 20, and a lot of them were borderline.

As Atrios says, "the world's greatest deliberative body" is a clownshow. I doubt that any of them realize how bad they look, individually and collectively. Olympia Snowe seems to have enjoyed her 15 minutes of fame, but she just moved herself from obscurity to the the Hall of Shame. I'll remember her now.


[ Parent ]
Except... (0.00 / 0)
That doing it themselves would require/imply having some sense of strategy, communications and PR -- basic political tactics -- which has never been evident or demonstrated before.

Self-refuting Christine O'Donnell is proof monkeys are still evolving into humans

[ Parent ]
Exactly! It's the one circumstance where 'Make them filibuster' makes sense (4.00 / 1)
Sure, any given Republican will just announce that there isn't unanimous consent, but that's to be expected.

Every time they say that, you point out that they're sociopathic clowns and go on to spend ten minutes slating their position, their positions on another couple dozen unrelated issues, their background, their hairstyles and whatever else you care to choose.

It's an opportunity to spend 20 hours getting angry at Republicans and grandstanding on a no-lose issue. It's an incredible example of free advertising, especially in such populist times.

About the only downside is that you might get carried away and call Jim Bunning an inhuman waste of an abortion. And whilst David Broder might throw a hissy fit about that, it is unquestioningly true. Sadly, I doubt any Senate Democrats have the passion to make such an accusation.

Forgotten Countries - a foreign policy-focused blog


[ Parent ]
unemployment benefits (0.00 / 0)
Does this men that I will no longer receive benefits as I am on extended federal benefits?  

another product of the filibuster clusterfuck (0.00 / 0)
Financial Reform Endgame

By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: February 28, 2010

So here's the situation. We've been through the second-worst financial crisis in the history of the world, and we've barely begun to recover: 29 million Americans either can't find jobs or can't find full-time work. Yet all momentum for serious banking reform has been lost. The question now seems to be whether we'll get a watered-down bill or no bill at all. And I hate to say this, but the second option is starting to look preferable.

The problem, not too surprisingly, lies in the Senate, and mainly, though not entirely, with Republicans. The House has already passed a fairly strong reform bill, more or less along the lines proposed by the Obama administration, and the Senate could probably do the same if it operated on the principle of majority rule. But it doesn't - and when you combine near-universal Republican opposition to serious reform with the wavering of some Democrats, prospects look bleak.

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03...

Give it up (0.00 / 0)
Given an unmissable opportunity to take the populist offensive on all fronts against the GOP, Washington Dems - Congress and WH - slinked away.

Not because of cowardice, but because that's not what they figure they're in Washington to do.

If they didn't do it over Bunning cutting off folks' unemployment, they never will.

And they certainly won't be changing Senate rules anytime soon, because they suit Washington Dems (Congress and WH) down to the ground


My difficulty in understanding the Democrats (4.00 / 3)
My difficulty in understanding the Democrats is that, besides being centrist and corrupt, they don't even seem to be politically smart. There's something going on that I don't know about. It's really baffling. It's like they're working out of an obsolete manual without looking at the world around them or reading the papers.

The other explanation I can come up is even worse, that they're deliberately taking a fall and expect to be taken care of afterward.


Precisely (0.00 / 0)
They think they're playing for the Washington Generals.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
Thank you, John. (0.00 / 0)
You've stated the conundrum precisely.

I don't think they're so much dumb, though.  More like delusional.  I mean, it takes at least a competent level of intelligence to be able to get oneself elected, so none of these people are mental midgets.  At least as far as electoral politics go.  But that doesn't mean they can't be divorced from reality in many other ways.

There's some combination of corruption and delusion going on, and figuring out the right combination would help us make a whole lot more sense of what they're up to and how we can influence them.  Damned if I can figure it out, though.

Health insurance is not health care.
If you don't fight, you can't win.
Never give up. Never Surrender.
Watch out for flying kabuki.


[ Parent ]
Senate bill S.752 gains three more cosponsors (4.00 / 3)
Remember to promote the Fair Elections Now bill that Sen. Durbin introduced, along with Specter to represent the Republicans (before he switched parties). There are now 7 additional cosponsors: Boxer, Cantwell, Dodd, Feingold, Gillibrand, Harkin, and Kerry. The companion House bill H.R. 1826 has 138 cosponsors. Walter Jones joined John Larson early on as a cosponsor, and he's now joined by two other Republicans, Mike Castle and Todd Platts.

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