Rep. Stephen Lynch (D-Mass.) is a firm "no" on health care reform -- in large measure because he opposes the idea of any kind of excise tax on Cadillac plans, even one that's delayed for years and years.
That puts the vote count at 204 in favor, and 211 opposed, with leaners. Pretty dicey on passage, to say the least, especially when you look at the 16 undecided, non-leaning votes in the count:
Additionally, I now expect Stephen Lynch to receive loads of concessions on future legislation. By voting against this bill, be becomes more powerful in future negotiations, right? So, let's track his rise to power after this vote.