When I was an undergrad math TA, most of the students I dealt with were economics majors, so naturally I was at this node where a lot of economist jokes flowed through. (The mathematician jokes were better, but I digress.) There was only one that really stuck with me, though:
A Physicist, a Chemist and an Economist were shipwrecked on an island together. They were delighted to find that crate of canned goods had washed ashore not far from where they dragged themselves out of the water, but as luck would have it, none of them had a Swiss Army knife, or any other implement to open the cans with. And so they set out to explore the island, to see what other provisions they might find, or what they might use to open the cans with, agreeing to return after four hours.
Upon their return, the Physicist spoke first. "I found a very fortuitous rock formation, and I've made extensive calculations. We can easily construct a catapult and smash the cans against these particular rocks at just the right angle to split them open with a 50% success rate."
The Chemist snorted, "A typical brute force physicist's solution!"
"Well, what did you find?" The Physicist shot back.
"I found some rocks as well," the Chemist said. "But mine had lichen on them, and I can extract an acid from them that will eat through the cans quite nicely, with a 75% success rate."
"Oh my God!" exclaimed the Economist. "I can't believe how crude you two are. You don't just have rocks on your mind, you're got rocks in your brains. My solution is far more elegant, and civilized. What's more, it has a 100% success rate."
"Well, then," said the Physicist, barely containing his anger, "What's your solution?"
"Yes, spill the beans," the Chemist cracked.
"Well," said the Economist, drawing himself up as if he were about to launch into a lecture, "First, let's assume we have a can-opener..."
I've been thinking about that joke more and more of late, particularly when I hear a certain criticisms, the spirit of which I completely agree with, and yet...
There is a lot that liberals generally don't understand about negotiation
But, in brief, the biggest mistakes made during the process:
1. Not starting negotiations aggressively. Indeed, starting negotiations where you expect to end up (i.e. a robust public option), rather than where you want to be or where the other side is afraid you might go (i.e. single-payer).
2. Negotiating against themselves. If you make a concession, get one in return. Do not follow a concession with a concession.
3. Making concessions early. I'm not going to kill the progressive caucus for crossing their line in the sand. I kill them because they did it literally months too early. Now is the time to say: "Okay, okay, to reconcile with the Senate we will agree that the public option will not immediately be available to
100% of Americans."
4. Being unwilling to walk away from the table.
5. Focusing exclusively on what liberals risked by failing to negotiate an agreement and failing to understand what the other side risked. Liberals focused almost exclusively on all the bad things that would happen to them if a deal fell through. They failed to appreciate the bad things that would happen to the GOP (if they were forced to filibuster a bad bill), to Blue Dogs (the same), Obama (after promising to pass HCR and failing) and the insurance companies (who risked single-payer in the not-too-distant future if this much more favorable legislation did not pass)
6. Taking the other side's threats and statements at face value.
That comment by space in Chris's Thursday diary, "On the Progressive Cave", is true in all its particulars. There's only one problem: It assumes we have a can-opener. It assumes the existence of a unified group (call them "liberals" or "progressives" or whatever) that has a more or less common set of goals all worked out beforehand, and the capacity to function as an organized group, more or less independent of outside influences.
But nothing could be further from the truth. Liberals/progressives have been fighting a ferocious oppositional battle in several stages ever since 1994, but in particular since 9/11. As if (a) the various different strains of conservatives weren't enough, (b) the media has largely functioned as a conservative echo chamber through most of this period, (c) conservadems have made the attacks consistently bipartisan, (d) New Democrats have sung the praises of bipartisanship to the skies, and (e) Obama campaigned with more money and hype than God, selling himself as a magical "progressive" who actually is willing to work in a bipartisan fashion, while (f) cutting off virtually all independent progressive messaging, (g) leaving virtually all progressives with no place to stand, but cheering Obama from the sidelines, with fingers crossed.
So, where exactly are we supposed to get that can-opener from?
Don't get me wrong. I agree in principle with everything that space said.
I just think it's putting the cart before the horse.
Or the can of worms before the imaginary can-opener.