Fri May 14, 2010 at 09:35
A look at polling for the (mostly) primary elections that will be held on May 18th:
Pennsylvania Senate, Democratic primary
Sestak +1.8% (eight polls, May 2nd to current)
(Notes: This includes the Research 2000 poll that will show Sestak up 2% . As far as the trend in the Muhlenberg tracking poll , just wait until tomorrow, when the Monday sample is removed. In that one-day sample, Specter gained 4% overall. Its removal should give Sestak a nice bump.)
Pennsylvania 12th, House special election
Critz (D) +2.5% (four polls, April 26th to current)
Pennsylvania 17th, Democratic primary
Holden (inc): +27.0% (one poll)
Arkansas Senate, Democratic primary
Lincoln +10.5% (two polls, May 3rd to current)
(Note: While Lincoln leads, if neither no candidate reach 50%+1, there will be a June 8th runoff. With a third candidate close to 10%, that is very possible)
Arkansas Senate, Republican primary
Boozman +29.0% (two polls, May 3rd to current)
Kentucky Senate, Democratic primary
Mongiardo +5.0% (four polls, May 1st through current)
Kentucky Senate, Republican primary
Paul +14.2% (five polls, May 1st through current) Looking like a mini-Super Tuesday, and even bigger than the May 4th primary-palooza. After May 18th, the next big primary day will be June 8th.
Chris Bowers :: May 18th primary polling round-up
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