Results from Politico. You can also follow my coverage tonight on Twitter.
Update 11:02: AP calls Arkansas for Blanche Lincoln. Suck. No more vote updates below. New thread coming soon-ish.
Arkansas Senate, 84.5% precincts reporting
|
Halter |
Lincoln |
| % |
48.2% |
51.8% |
| Votes |
109,465 |
117,782 |
Update 10:40 Thinking ahead for a moment, the questions now are if we still get the good derivatives language, if a message has been sent anyway, and how we prevent voting problems in the future.
Update 10:38 And, its over. Turns out Pulaski was a mistake. Lincoln is going to win tonight, and then get creamed in November.
Update 10:35 Swing State model now projects Lincoln by only 1.1% due to massive 18-20% pro-Halter swing in Pulaski county. Some think the Pulaski report might be an error since it is so against the trend tonight. A wild an developing story...
Update 10:25: Halter moves into the lead, at least for now.
Update 10:12: The swing is pro-Lincoln by just under 3% Halter is improving, however. Also, even with a swing to Lincoln, Halter can still win. Taniel explains how on Twitter:
Only way for Halter to win despite these shifts is if turnout balance has shifted in favor of his counties. Which we can't know easily.
Update 9:48: Swing State model slowly improving for Halter, but he is still behind where he needs to be by about 4.8%.
Update 9:38: Halter underperforming in many counties according to the Swing State Project model. Still early though.
Update 9:11 pm: Absentees compose almost all of the early voting so far. Lincoln appears to have won that group narrowly.
*****
Personally, I will also be following the Republican Senate primaries in Nevada (10 pm eastern) and California (8 pm pacific), as well as the potential teabagger upsets of incumbent House Republicans in SC-04 and NJ-07 (polls already closed in both campaigns. You can discuss any campaign you like in the comments.
Four incumbents have already been defeated for renomination this year. That number should go up tonight.
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