Residual Forces: It's the Army Bases Stupid!

by: bluethunder

Fri Oct 26, 2007 at 08:05


The American Prospect hits the nail on the head in Spencer Ackerman's discussion of continued American-military presence beyond the so-called war on terror.

The story on Iraq keeps changing precisely none of the stories hold up: WMDs, Humanitarian Motives, Stabilization of the Middle East, Iran etc.

Even if Hillary, Obama, and everyone else were to take the hardline approach like Richardson and call for zero residual troops... there is the still the issue of what they would do with all the bases being built there.

Below the jump is a quote from TAP

bluethunder :: Residual Forces: It's the Army Bases Stupid!
Without clear guidance from the Defense Department about the duration of their stay in Iraq, U.S. military commanders began constructing enormous bases capable of garrisoning numerous brigades for an indefinite period. By last year, four of them had sprung up along strategically important points throughout Iraq: in Balad, Tallil, Rawah, and Baghdad. The complex surrounding Baghdad International Airport resembles a county rather than a military base, comprising five camps connected in an efficient confederation and passable through a system of buses over about 25 square miles.

No matter Bush's story, he never claims that our motivation is continued power, presence, or strategic bases. This is partly because such a story would prove his critics right: this is an imperlialist war, not just a war on terror.

The experience of the last four years suggests that anger at the U.S. presence is a durable commodity both in and out of Iraq. "Any extended U.S. force presence, even a reduced one, clearly validates the al-Qaeda storyline," says Jeffrey Record, a professor of strategy at the Air War College in Alabama. "Every Arab Tom, Dick, and Harry who wants to express outrage at this crusader intrusion into the Arab heartland is going to go after those forces, as we are seeing now." If so, that renders Petraeus' draw-down plan untenable: Five Army brigades is too large a force to merely monitor Iraqi forces, as Petraeus' plan envisioned, yet it's vastly too small to make a difference if those Iraqi forces are overwhelmed.

What is the Democrats response? Well we know they have sponsored multiple bills in support of chaning direction in Iraq. However it seems clear that nothing short of an absolute stalemate. The Conservative response to Iraq is typical of conservatives response in general: They do not need to win, they just need to not lose. If they can keep stringing together "a few months" they can keep us there indefinatey; if they can find "a few skeptics" they can undermine climate change efforts, if they can sow enough doubt about public healthcare, they can keep progressives from fixing healthcare.

As Ackerman notes...


Perversely, Bush, in his final months in office, operates according to the political logic of an Iraqi insurgent: He wins by not obviously losing. It's unclear whether the Democrats have an effective response.

Source:
http://prospect.org/...

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Ooh, you criticized Petraeus (0.00 / 0)
Guess both Houses of Congress will instantlt stop their business so they can debate your criticizing the "great man."  Just proves he's a flop at planning, too.

Can anyone tell me why he's a sacred cow?


You raise very good points (0.00 / 0)
As long as there is even a diminished U.S. presence in Iraq, AQI will use our presence for propaganda purposes.

Richardson is clear.  All of our troops are coming out.  The Iraqis can have the bases - as well as keep their oil.  We aren't colonizing Iraq under Richardson.

Here is what he says on his website about the ability of the U.S. to promptly leave Iraq:

The Center for American Progress agrees that our forces have the capability to elect to abandon certain equipment for the sake of expediting U.S. departure from Iraq:

  The time that it takes to withdraw from Iraq will depend in large part on the amount of equipment the military decides to take with it. The military, however, does not need to remove every nut and every bolt out of every forward operating base in country. Sensitive equipment aside, at some point a cost-benefit analysis must be done. Such an analysis must consider what equipment will be taken with us. Since it currently costs more than $10 billion per month to sustain our presence in Iraq, extending our stay in order to extract all non-sensitive equipment -- such as freezers, sinks, fuel, excess equipment, and x-ray machines -- would not be cost-effective or worth risking the lives of our troops.

In his report, A Tenuous Case for Strategic Patience in Iraq, Anthony Cordesman includes a point that illustrates the capacities of the United States military:

  The US has some 160,000 military personnel in Iraq and a matching or greater number of civilians and contractors. It has between 140,000 and 200,000 metric tons of valuable equipment and supplies, and some 15,000-20,000 military vehicles and major weapons. It is dispersed in many of Iraq's cities and now in many forward operating bases. This does not mean that the US cannot leave quickly. It can rush out quickly by destroying or abandoning much off its supplies and equipment, and simply removing its personnel and contractors (and some unknown amount of Iraqis who bet their lives and families on a continued US effort). The more equipment and facilities (and Iraqis) it destroys or abandons, the quicker it can move. Under these conditions, the US could rush out in as little as a few weeks and no more than a few months.

From http://action.richar...


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