Measuring America--new book presents current data on the American human development index

by: Paul Rosenberg

Wed Nov 10, 2010 at 09:00


Back in July 2009, I wrote a diary, "The Human Development Index--A Better Measure Of Where We Stand".   It was a response to an entry in the NY Times Economix blog, "Going Back in Time: Progress, or Lack Thereof, Around the Country" by Kristen Lewis and Sarah Burd-Sharps, co-directors of the American Human Development Project.   I wrote:


Human development measures represent a more robust measure of population well-being than economic measures alone, such mean income, and thus are better measure of policy success, past, present and future.  It's related in spirit to the genuine progress index I've discussed previously, as well as the opportunity maps from the OneRegion report I discussed a few months ago. It also allows us to look at a state or congressional district in terms of development in time.  Thus, the authors note, three decades of development separate Connecticut from Mississippi.  More broadly, they explain:

    Human development is about what ordinary people can do and what they can become, about the liberty they have to exercise real choice in their lives. For most Americans, the last half-century has brought greater freedom, opportunity and well-being. But the American Human Development Index tells us that huge segments of society are being left out. And it offers a tool to hold leaders accountable for investing in an infrastructure of opportunity that better serves the next generation.

Today,  Kristen Lewis and Sarah Burd-Sharps have a new book coming out, The Measure of America 2010-2011: Mapping Risks and Resilience.  There's a truly overwhelming amount of information in this book, I'm only going to be able to give you a small of taste of what it contains here.  Let me start with a state-level map of the level of human development in the US today:

As is obvious to the eye, there's a clear correlation between human development and Blue America.  In fact, the top 10 states were are all blue in the last election, the bottom 10 all red.  A further breakdown of the index into its three components shows a similar pattern, as I discuss on the flip.

Paul Rosenberg :: Measuring America--new book presents current data on the American human development index
This is from my earlier diary:

The American Human Development Index

The American Human Development Index is calculated from measures of three dimensions:
• A long and healthy life is measured using life expectancy at birth, calculated from mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics, and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2005.
• Access to knowledge is measured using two indicators: school enrollment for the population age three and older, and educational degree attainment for the population twenty-five years and older. Both indicators are from the American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau, 2005.
• Decent standard of living is measured using median earnings from the American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau, 2005.

A dimension index number is created for each dimension, using the formula:

Dimension Index =  actual value - minimum value × 10
                    maximum value - minimum value

The three dimension indices are then averaged to get the single number for the Human Development Index.


And here are the maps showing the distribution of levels of development in these three dimensions:




Key findings in the book were:

Key findings of the American Human Development Index:
• Americans born today can expect to live 78.6 years on average, nearly nine years longer then in 1960.
• Eighty-five percent of adults have at least a high school education, and overall school enrollment is higher than at any other point in history.
• Once-rapid progress in median earnings of adults since 1960 has slowed to a crawl since 2000.
• Some of the largest gaps in well-being are found within a single city or among population groups living within a few miles of one another.

And broken down by dimension, they were:

A Long and Healthy Life
Key findings of the report and index:

• Life expectancy in the United States is 78.6 years, on par with Chile, though Chile spends one-tenth what the United States spends on health care.
• In the country as a whole, Asian Americans live, on average, thirteen years longer than African Americans, more than twelve years longer than Native Americans, more than eight years longer than whites, and nearly four years longer than Latinos.
• The eleven states with the shortest life spans are in the South.
• Whites in Washington, DC, live, on average, twelve years longer than African Americans in the same city.
• Life expectancy in Virginia's Eighth Congressional District, in suburban Washington, DC, is a decade longer than life expectancy in West Virginia's Third Congressional District, in the rural southern part of the state.

Access to Knowledge
Key findings of the rep ort and index:

• Washington, DC, scores highest on the Education Index developed for this report; 85.8 percent of adult residents are high school graduates, and 26.7 percent have graduate or advanced degrees. Arkansas ranks last, with 82 percent and 6.3 percent, respectively.
• The top five states in the Education Index spent an average of over $14,500 per K-12 pupil. The bottom five spent under $9,000 per pupil.
• In California's Thirtieth Congressional District (Hollywood, Beverly Hills, Santa Monica, and Malibu), nearly three in five adult residents are college graduates, and more than one in four have advanced degrees. A few miles west [east] in California's District 34 (downtown Los Angeles), only three in one hundred residents have advanced degrees.
• In every ethnic and racial group studied except Asian Americans, women have higher educational attainment and enrollment than men.
• More than 90 percent of white adult women today are high school graduates; more than 40 percent of Latino men are not.
• More than a quarter of high school freshmen do not graduate in four years-if they graduate at all.

A Decent Standard of Living
Key findings of the rep ort and index:

• The wealth of the top 1 percent of households rose, on average, 103 percent (to $18.5 million per household) from 1983 to 2007. The poorest 40 percent of households experienced a 63 percent decline in wealth during the same period (to $2,200 per household).
• Washington, DC, has the highest median earnings, at $40,342; Arkansas has the lowest, at $23,471.
• By the end of the 2007-9 recession, unemployment among the bottom tenth of U.S. households was 31 percent, which is higher than unemployment during the worst year of the Great Depression; for households earning $150,000 and over, unemployment was just over 3 percent.
• Between 2005 and 2008, median earnings for men in Michigan fell more than 12 percent-from $39,000 a year to $34,000.
• The wealthiest 20 percent of U.S. households have slightly more than half of the nation's total income. The poorest 20 percent have 3.4 percent of total income.
• The wealthiest congressional district in the United States is NY-14 on Manhattan's East Side, with median earnings of $60,000; the poorest is NY-16, a few subway stops away in the Bronx, with median earnings of $18,000.

Like I said, a whole lot to absorb. But extremely enlightening about what America is really like today.

If you're part of the reality-based community, this book is for you.


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I would like to see the breakdown by county (0.00 / 0)
before I drew any "Red-Blue" conclusions.

Duh! (4.00 / 1)
The breakdowns by country show that developed countries are more developed than under-developed countries.

What would you expect that breakdown to show?  Much less prove about America?

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
He wrote "county" (0.00 / 0)
. . . not 'country'.

Just sayin'.


[ Parent ]
D'Oh! (0.00 / 0)
Thanks!

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
Oops! Sorry! My Bad! (0.00 / 0)
Misread "county" as "country".

Too little sleep, too little caffeine.

There is info by Congressional District, which shows similar patterns.  More on this to come.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Interesting (4.00 / 1)
This bit caught my attention most:

  • The wealth of the top 1 percent of households rose, on average, 103 percent (to $18.5 million per household) from 1983 to 2007. The poorest 40 percent of households experienced a 63 percent decline in wealth during the same period (to $2,200 per household).
  • Washington, DC, has the highest median earnings, at $40,342; Arkansas has the lowest, at $23,471.
  • By the end of the 2007-9 recession, unemployment among the bottom tenth of U.S. households was 31 percent, which is higher than unemployment during the worst year of the Great Depression; for households earning $150,000 and over, unemployment was just over 3 percent.

Some thoughts: The drop in wealth for the bottom 40 percent is much higher than I would've thought. I'd be curious to see the data for the bottom 99%. I wonder if the DC data is affected by government unions providing a living wage and, if so, by how much? And a 31% unemployment rate is shocking for the bottom 10% but what is the unemployment rate for that group in good times?

Thanks for the data. In terms of political action, while we might focus on recruiting and electing progressives everywhere, maybe the 10th-30th states provide the most opportunity for change? Or would it be the states at the bottom of these lists (e.g. the smaller the state probably the harder to break through local power centers)?


A Couple Of Thoughts (0.00 / 0)
The lost wealth of the bottom 40% is reflected in the fact that credit card debt and other forms of debt--aside from long-term mortgages--was relatively modest back in 1983.  Reagan's tax cuts were justified, in part, by the claim that they would increase the savings rate.  Instead, the savings rate declined--and has declined, pretty much, ever since.

The DC data is probably more intensely affected by the skyrocketing number of six-figure lobbyists who live there.

I'm pressed for time this morning, but I did write something about unemployment by income levels earlier this yeat, and the rate for the bottom 10% has increased dramatically, though I don't know the exact amount.

Finally, I don't think that we should limit ourselves geographically.  But I do think we should start thinking about how to use this information.  More thoughts on that to come in the next few days.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Musing... (4.00 / 2)
Colorado's ranking is interesting to me, and I chafe a bit at it because I have lived here for 30 some years.

Colorado has tended to have a mixed red/blue nature.  Blue in the cities, red in the rural and suburban areas as noted for lots of other places.  We're often "red" on national/federal elections, but can be "blue" for governors and state legislators.  

But, here's the thing.  Colorado imports most of its highly educated work force.  Our public schools fail local children in both the cities and the rural areas in a truly abysmal way.  I don't imagine that there isn't one metric generated by the Colorado Department of Education that isn't tweaked .. hard.  And, education shares a high correlation with health and income.  I won't argue that it's determinative, but the three variables track together.  

I would argue that it's weird to see Colorado having such a high Human Development Index.  Offered salaries can be lower along the front range and western slope because of the attractiveness of the geography.  And, that geography tends to attract highly active people (health?) with sufficient leisure opportunities to take advantage of it (education?).

Knowing what I know about our urban and rural public education opportunities, I can't help but wonder if that index isn't heavily influenced by our imported population, and probably doesn't well reflect the nature of the state's population as a whole.

Interesting compilation, Paul.  Thanks for highlighting it.


I'll Do More On The CD Level (0.00 / 0)
In the near future.  (I'm already sort of backed up with promises, so I won't say just how soon.)

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
Yes, it most certainly does have to do with imported population. (0.00 / 0)
Denver Metro, for example, has one of the highest per capita educational levels in the country, which contributes to higher per capita affluence. The high tech companies that set up business there and in Ft. Collins as well imported a lot of highly educated people. It's also a very desirable place to live more generally, which also attracts a lot of educated people.

The education those folks' children receive is another matter, right?

"More than any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly." -Woody Allen, My Speech to the Graduates


[ Parent ]
Not just the geography (0.00 / 0)
It's easier to pay people less where living costs are lower.

The map of median earnings isn't that meaningful to me, because it's distorted by things like the rural/urban divide, which rarely follows state lines strictly. Even CDs don't pick it up perfectly.

Forgotten Countries - a foreign policy-focused blog


[ Parent ]
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