Debate Thread, [With Three Updates]

by: Chris Bowers

Tue Oct 30, 2007 at 18:30


Update 3: Apparently, the big applause and laughter stuff for Biden was when he was making fun of Giuliani. It served him well, too, as he shot up to fourth in the Drexel Dems poll with 12% after the debate (up from 2%). Edwards was a little ahead of that, at 13% (up from 6%), and Clinton was a little further ahead, at 18%. Obama had a large lead at 47%. These numbers come from a press release I received in the audience from Open-Vote.com.

What did I learn from this experience? I learned that, without question, the number one issue for college students is education. When that subject came up later in the debate, it was a never ending series of applause lines from the audience. If you want to reach young people, talk education.

I also learned that Biden consistently does well in debates. I don't think anyone would have expected him to do so well, but yet again he surprises in post-debate polls. He has a very good presence in these debates.

Finally, it also seems that most applause lines were given for things other than the candidates themselves. Calling on Democrats to win in 2008 no matter who the nominee is, saying the Democratic Congress was doing enough (that got applause even before Kucinich even said what they weren't doing enough about), attacking Rudy Giuliani, decrying the level of attacks against Clinton--it always came from something outside the candidates themselves. I think that is a good sign--no creeping Dear Leader syndrome to be found.

Update 2: There are no outlets in the auditorium, and my computer lost battery early in the debate. So, here is a breakdown of the crowd reaction to the debate so far.

First, the clear winner among the crowd is Drexel. Chants of "Let's go Drexel" went on for two mintues before the debate. Philadelphia came in a close second. Thej students are clerly very excited and proud.

Second, here are the aplause lines for every candidate so far:

--Kucinich: "The Democratic Congress must stand up."

--Obama gets applause and laughter for his statements on Iran that followed Clinton's "pledge" exchange with Russert.

--Biden really knocked the crowd out with his whoole speel that ended with "I'm not running against Hillary Clinton, but to lead the country." Several laughts and applaiuse line. Biden also earlier ahd an applause line on comparing the Pakistani and to Iranian threats.

--Clinton socred a small appaluse line on "I oppose the war but support the troops fighting it." She has scored laugh lines on several occassions though, starting with the "pledge" exchange with Russert.

--Edwards scored applause, laughter, and "oooooo"s when he attacked Clinton for leaving troops in Iraq. Although mixed, it washhte second biggest response of the night, ahead of Kucinich exhorting the Democratic Congress and behind Biden's mid-debate monolouge.

--Richardson scored applause when he asked why the other candidates were attacking Clinton so hard.

--Dodd scored applause when he said we need a Democrat in the White House next year.

Interesting stuff to see the crowd reaction. Kind of like a primary focus group, except we all live in a state where our primary votes don't matter. More updates later--I have to actually leave the hall in order to write them.

Update: I'm sitting in the "second" rooom--that is, I am in an auditorium next to the debate where we will watch the debate on a large movie screen. I think I had imagined being able to set up my laptop at a table, and mill around a bit while eating appetizers or something. Silly me...

I probably won't be able to update much during the actual debate, because my computer charge is low. Governor Rendell just spoke, and now we are being entertained by a dance group. A few minutes ago the crowd was asked to applaud for who they thought would win the debate. Every candidate got a small amount of applause, except Obama, who got about twice as much as everyone else. It is a college crowd...

****

Fortunately for me, tonight's Democratic debate is in my neighborhood, taking place only 15 blocks from where I live in University City. I am about to head off to the debate site, for what I imagine should be a fun evening. The last major political even I attended at Drexel was the Rick Santorum Social Security forum when, through a group effort, Tim Tagaris, Anne Dicker and myself caught local college Republicans on tape chanting "hey-hey, ho-ho, Social Security has got to go." (Anne told me about it, Tim got the tape, and I posted about it online.) Ah, memories!

Speaking of Social Security, even leaving aside the problems associated with using "fixing" Social Security as a line of attack in a Democratic primary, isn't it generally a bad idea to tell someone you are going to hit them in the face before you actually do so? Not only does it make future attacks from the Obama campaign appear like attacks for the sake of attacks, but it also means your opponent can see it coming from a mile away. Clinton will be prepared for any Obama attacks tonight and, well, so will everyone else. Just seems like a bad strategy.

I also like the question Meteor Blades suggests for tonight's debate, given the reticence of the top tier to say they will pull out all troops by 2013:

"If you win the Presidency and you aren't tossed out of office in the 2012 elections for failing to get us out of Iraq by the end of your first term, could you give us any reason to hope that maybe maybe maybe all the troops will be out by the time your successor takes over in 2017?"

Maybe promising to end the war in a decade is a reasonable request for Democratic candidates. Speaking of which, here is a plan from a Lt. Colonel who now specializes in logistics analysis demonstrating that it is entirely reasonable to pull all troops out in six to eight months:

Total Iraq Redeployment Plan (link removed--update coming tomorrow)

It is nice to know that there are some good wonks out there. Bill Richardson and The Center for American progress does not stand alone on this issue.

This is an open debate thread.

Chris Bowers :: Debate Thread, [With Three Updates]

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Seriously (0.00 / 0)
A debate that starts after 5pm Pacific. Ever? Maybe?

People talk about primary dates impacting the polls. Maybe any of these candidates trying to dig into HRC's 20+ point lead in California should try being on tv talking issues when anyone is actually able to watch.

John McCain opposes the GI Bill.


No offense but (0.00 / 0)
the market for these debates is not California - it's NH and IA. You really think mainstream Americans are going to tune into a debate that starts at 10 PM on the east coast? I don't think so.

[ Parent ]
Fair point (0.00 / 0)
but why feed that?  Or even more to the point, why not mix in one or two west coast debates?  There was one in LA that I believe started early and two coming in Las Vegas and Los Angeles that I don't know the times of.

All that said, the DNC is a big part of a lot of these debates.  What happened to building a national brand?  I'm not insisting that every debate happen after 5pm Pacific, but it seems like if the party is really trying to reach everyone, they might want to actually make themselves available to everyone.

John McCain opposes the GI Bill.


[ Parent ]
The entire country runs on east coast time. (0.00 / 0)
and it drives those of us on the west coast absolutely crazy.

hell in 2004 we had concession speeches before the rest of the votes were counted.

It's just bad form and it adds to California being a constant afterthought.

-C.


[ Parent ]
you must be very powerful (0.00 / 0)
this debate starts at 9pm, which I believe is 6pm in California.

New Jersey politics at Blue Jersey.

[ Parent ]
Channels (0.00 / 0)
What about also on channels people can watch. I have no cable TV. I'll be following the debate via the blogs. I think it's ridiculous that the debate to decide our national leader isn't accessible to everyone in the nation.

[ Parent ]
yup (0.00 / 0)
me too. i'll probably be going out for any of it that i see.

John McCain opposes the GI Bill.

[ Parent ]
Cable (0.00 / 0)
I'll be getting work done in my home office, so following on the blogs actually suits me fine for today.

But it's the principle of the thing, you know? And every day won't be like today. There have been times when I wanted to watch the debate and I couldn't because of the cable TV thing.


[ Parent ]
stream it! (0.00 / 0)
that's what i'm doing.

here

-C.


[ Parent ]
Doesn't work for me. (0.00 / 0)
Maybe it doesn't like Firefox.

I you want health care, work hard. If you want universal health care, vote for liberals.

[ Parent ]
apparntly it doesn't! (0.00 / 0)
internut exploder only.
lame!

-C.


[ Parent ]
Lame indeed.... (0.00 / 0)
what else would you expect from these corporatist assclowns?

I mean they think PumkinHaid is something special!

He's special ariiight....

Peace, Health and Prosperity for Everyone.


[ Parent ]
Appreciated (0.00 / 0)
I mega-appreciate the advice. Unfortunately for me, it doesn't play.

[ Parent ]
try c-span.org for audio (0.00 / 0)


New Jersey politics at Blue Jersey.

[ Parent ]
I know Obama has taken a MAJOR hit (0.00 / 0)
here for the past few days (frankly, the controversy is a non-issue to me because I realize that getting votes is sometimes more important than being 100% right on an issue) but I expect to see something different from him tonight than in the past. If his interview in the Times on Monday is any indication, he is going to step up his game tonight and really go on his long-awaited offensive against Clinton. Should be interesting to see how he does it.

Spoken Just Like Richard Nixon! (4.00 / 2)
And his "Southern Strategy":

(frankly, the controversy is a non-issue to me because I realize that getting votes is sometimes more important than being 100% right on an issue)

racism, homophobia, anti-Semitism, whatever works to get them votes!

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
It just occured to me (0.00 / 0)
that perhaps, by doing this "call your home run" Babe Ruth stunt, Obama actually has no intention of attacking Hillary tonight, and was just trying to misdirect both the Hillary campaign and the media (which has been totally focused on this all day), who will be caught off guard when he does something quite different in the debate--such as, perhaps, actually praising Hillary, but in a way that boxes her in and shows her limitations and faults. E.g. "She was a great first lady, and has been a more than competent senator...".

The Babe Ruth scene in the baseball movie Major League comes to mind--Tom Berenger points to the bleachers, the infield moves out, and then he bunts and scratches out an infield hit. Is Obama this smart? If he is, then he deserved to be president on purely political grounds.

Just a probably wrong hunch. But this will likely end up being either a totally brilliant stunt by him (if he's strategized this properly and it works), or a totally boneheaded move that might be the final nail in his electoral coffin. Or perhaps neither. I guess we'll find out very soon.

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton


I heard Michelle Obama (0.00 / 0)
this morning on the Steve Harvey morning show, and she was really great talking about working class jobs with benefits that can support a family, and linked it to the Warren Buffett story last night that points out the extreme rich have a lower tax rate than their receptionists.

I hope Obama -- or anyone else -- brings this up as well.

New Jersey politics at Blue Jersey.


Lucky you! (0.00 / 0)
I wasn't told of any place where I could set up some gear for blogging. Oh well.

You keep pushing Richardson's plan BUT (0.00 / 0)
it depends on passing a deauthorization bill
Congress should do what it was elected to do, by passing a resolution that de-authorizes the war under Article 1 of the Constitution and the War Powers Act. And they should pass funding only to safely redeploy our troops, not to leave them endlessly in the middle of a civil war.

which will never happen and if it did Bush would not sign.

Edwards plan is doable now.  John Edwards' Plan To End The War In Iraq

The 2002 authorization did not give President Bush the power to use U.S. troops to police a civil war. Edwards believes that Congress should make it clear that President Bush exceeded his authority long ago.
~snip~
Edwards believes we should completely withdraw all combat troops from Iraq within nine to ten months and prohibit permanent U.S. military bases in Iraq.


Join other progressives at EENRblog

Sheesh! (4.00 / 1)
Finally somebody else who can read!

See my comment down thread.....

Peace, Health and Prosperity for Everyone.


[ Parent ]
I pointed out to Meteor Blades and.. (4.00 / 1)
I've pointed out here that John Edwards has categorically committed to withdrawing.....

All combat troops within 9-10 months of his election.

This is in keeping with the pdf you linked and seems very doable.

The only troops he would leave would be embassy security which I'm pretty sure everyone would agree we are going to need there.

For some reason this message doesn't get through so I'll stop commenting on this until The Hill Juggernaut has put her in office and we're all wringing out hands and crying, 'Why didn't someone do something!'....

'Now we're fucked!'

John Edwards is trying to advance a progressive agenda for the nation and all anyone wants to post about is The Hill and her straight man Obama. Both of whom represent the uber-rich and nobody else.

Aggravating to say the least.

Peace, Health and Prosperity for Everyone.


Candidates (0.00 / 0)
it also seems that most applause lines were given for things other than the candidates themselves. . . I think that is a good sign

The way I see it, it would be nice if one of the candidates were somewhat inspiring.  Hillary has nothing progressive to offer, the wind is dying in Obama's sails, Dodd probably can't win, etc.  Just a few months ago I was excited about the Democratic field.  Now. . . eh.


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