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A few days before the most recent election, a candidate called me freaking out about illegal immigration. Among others, Larry Kissell is taking a very hard line on immigration, reflecting the internal Democratic consensus that immigration is the new third rail of politics.
With the most recent election returns, it's clear that immigration isn't a Democratic killer. Both Progressive States new memo and Harold Meyerson point out that it's the economic anxiety caused by free trade agreements that causes the immigration backlash.
The new Peru free trade agreement is coming up for ratification, and the freshmen are opposing it strongly. It may even become an issue in the Presidential race.
Barack Obama supports the pact while John Edwards opposes it. Hillary Clinton has yet to take a position, though she has suggested the nation may need a little "timeout" from new trade agreements pending a review of the effects previous pacts have had on American workers.
In the House, some longtime opponents of these trade accords, such as Toledo's Marcy Kaptur, oppose the Rangel-Levin effort. Particularly striking, however, is the opposition from Democratic freshmen. When they swept into office last November, Public Citizen's Global Trade Watch division counted 27 of the 30 new members as critics of free trade.
This is why neoliberalism doesn't work. Simon Rosenberg has been pushing on the other side of the immigration argument, making the push for Democrats to solidify the Hispanic vote. And that's smart, but such a strategy requires the coherence of going against corporate written trade agreements.
The candidate who called me in despair is now planning to run against NAFTA, CAFTA, and as Jon Tester put it, SHAFTA.
UPDATE: And the Peru trade deal passed overwhelmingly in the House, probably because labor didn't oppose it strenuously.
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