OH-05: Online Activism Update

by: Chris Bowers

Mon Dec 10, 2007 at 16:33


latta education.jpg

These are the ad variants Blogpac is running.  Each of them links to a news article from a neutral source of information.

Back on Friday, BlogPac purchased educational Google Ads on Bob Latta. These ads appear only in Google searches for "bob latta," and a few related keywords, that were conducted within fifth congressional district of Ohio. The ads were designed to serve two purposes. First, they were designed to educate interested potential voters in the special election on Bob Latta by directing them to relevant local news articles in the Toledo Blade. Second, they were designed to measure how many people in the district were conducting Google searches for Bob Latta during the final weekend of the campaign.

On the second point, the numbers so far are decent. From 4 p.m. Friday through 2 p.m. Monday, there were a little more than 200 Google searches for either Latta or Bob Latta were conducted in the fifth congressional district of Ohio. Overall, across all searches and related content on the broader Google network, the ads have generated over 25,000 impressions. From noon through 2 p.m. today, there were 1,800 new impressions, or one over four seconds, and all of them within the fifth Congressional district of Ohio.
 
On the first point, the Googlebomb search engine optimization campaign initiated on Friday has been quite successful. The targeted Toledo Blade articles have risen from outside the top twenty, all the way to #6. Simultaneously, MyDD's Bob Latta tag has risen to #2 (passing the Bob Latta campaign website), Swing State Project is at #7, the Stakeholder is at both #8 and #9. The more than 200 people in OH-05 who have Googled Bob Latta since Friday have seen their results dominated by progressive blogs and negative local news articles on Bob Latta. Also, no one else appears to have even purchased Google Ads on this campaign, except BlogPac.

There are a couple of lessons to be learned from this, as I discuss in the extended entry.

Chris Bowers :: OH-05: Online Activism Update
First, it is important to start early. If this search engine optimization aspect of this campaign was conducted two months before the election instead of four days before an election, a couple of hundred excellent voter contacts would have been a few thousand excellent voter contacts.

Second, as demonstrated by Bob Latta's non-existent search engine optimization campaign, many campaigns still are not bothering to protect themselves in this area. I find this baffling, since it is cheap, easy and several thousand lengthy, effective voter contacts are at stake (plus tens of thousands shorter, more off-hand voter contacts). Whenever I read someone questioning my ethics for engaging in this sort of activism, the first thing that pops into my head is how cheap and easy it would be for the targeted campaigns to stop me. I fail to see how I have an ethical responsibility to allow campaigns to suffer no consequences for ignoring an entire area of voter outreach. Maybe next it will be considered unethical to knock on doors or stand outside of precincts if your opponent doesn't have a field campaign.

Third, both the progressive blogosphere and Google Adwords rock. Even before the search engine part of the campaign was engaged, progressive blogs already dominated the top ten search results for Bob Latta. Also when it came time to purchase adwords, it was possible to draw an area corresponding to the OH-05, and only run the ads in that area. How awesome are both of those things?

As far as tomorrow's election goes, I still expect a narrow win by Latta, probably by about 3-5%. Robin Weirauch still has a chance, but if she doesn't pull it out, consider that, without exception, every single Democrat from a district this red or more so is a Bush Dog. So, they are better than the Republicans who might hold those seats, but they tend to be too conservative even for the New Democratic caucus in the House. There are other things that perhaps just as positive as actually winning, however. For one, consider that the NRCC has been forced to dump about 15% of its cash on hand to defend a district that Bush won by about 20 points back in 2004. This will stretch Republicans thin in the many purple and blue districts they have to defend next year. Also, it shows that MA-05 was a fluke based mainly on the quality of the local candidates, thus helping to diffuse negative media narratives on Democratic electoral chances next year. Both are very helpful, even if victory eludes us in this instance.


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Most similar (0.00 / 0)
The single most similar Republican seat in the whole country was South Dakota At Large:  also R+10, also up for a special election recently (2004) to replace a Republican vacancy.  Stephanie Herseth won the special, won the general in 2004 and cruised in the succeeding general election. 

IN-8 (R+9) also bears some similarities.  The Republicans had a bad and somewhat eccentric candidate who had gotten away with running odd campaigns in the past but could not do it in 2006 (Hostettler).  Bush Dog Brad Ellsworth was elected.

Of course, Republicans do win seats with an R+10 rating most of the time.  Still, there is some hope here.  It just takes Republican screwups to make it happen.
 


couple of thoughts (0.00 / 0)
1.  What's your click-through rate on those ads?  I worry that it's bad, since you didn't post it.
2. If you drew your region border strictly along the district borders, you may want to re-think that.  People work outside their district, or their ISP will be located outside it and you'll miss contacts.

Click-thrus (0.00 / 0)
On the google searches, the CTR it is excellent--in the double digits. So, I imagine it is much, much higher for the actual Google searches themselves.

On the second point, we drew a line that compentated for what you mention. Given traffic patterns for blogs, I'm well aware that people read the internet disproportioantely while at work. :)

[ Parent ]
you mean Google ads (0.00 / 0)
The CTR on Google ads is in double-digits

[ Parent ]
Even more specifically (0.00 / 0)
The CTR on the ad within the searches for Bob Latta is that high. So, I assume that the CTR on the actual results in the searches is even higher.

[ Parent ]
can you paste the text of the ad? (0.00 / 0)
just curious

[ Parent ]
We're going to see (or not see) a lot more of this (0.00 / 0)
I think the key point that you make (and i'll take the liberty to paraphrase) that it's ridiculous that campaigns are not using search term optimization techniques to drive traffic or message is only going to become more and more apparent as we move thru the 2008 cycle. Far to few of our incumbants or challengers to Repub incumbants use even this basic tenant of online marketing much less more sophisticated ads....

I think this has to be something everyone within the netroots continues to push with every campaign we talk to and work on...

also - I'd love to see any numbers you put together at the end of this specific campaign.

e


definitely (0.00 / 0)
Would love to fish through some stats after the fact

[ Parent ]
When i search for Bob Latta (0.00 / 0)
I get a banner ad for something called slatecard.com with a busted link.  Anyone know what that is?

i hesitate to use the word 'awsome' (0.00 / 0)
It's one of the Repub versions of ActBlue...

[ Parent ]
so they're paying for clicks (0.00 / 0)
On a broken ad?  Slick...

[ Parent ]
Challenges (0.00 / 0)
I agree that starting earlier is hugely important.  In this case there was a truncated timetable, what with finding out that this district was competitive only recently.  This is likely to remain an issue during the broader campaign next fall.

Some districts will be easily identified as competitive- we could probably reel off 30 good House targets right now and have the vast majority be in play next year.  But there will also be races that pop up or drop off in midstream.  In addition, there will be stories/links that drop off/go behind pay walls or should be replaced by articles on surprise scandals or outrageous behavior.

What this all likely comes around to is a need to put together a viable system for rolling implementation of SEO targeting.  Last year there was tremendous initial success in getting people to get involved and embed the links wherever they were going to do so.  After that, the attention understandably faded a bit during the phase that was largely devoted to tracking.  So when links broke or notions of adding targets were floated, the capacity to make an impact wasn't there.

So it's an open question- how to maintain attention on this project in a rolling manner over the course of several months.  I've thought about it and not especially liked the answers I came up with, but I'm not as smart as a lot of people.

John McCain opposes the GI Bill.


A monthly roll out (0.00 / 0)
might be called for. Maybe have a list of 5 or six targets every month, followed by weekly progress reports on the current batch of targets. As the year progresses, some targets might be revisited for "enhanced optimization."

[ Parent ]
I am sure someone will think me divisive... (0.00 / 0)

....but it's not like I really will care but can we try and use some of these good new ideas to advance the fortunes of real progressive candidates instead of the....

'Look, look I'm a progressive...really I am..even though I slam progressive ideas and luv me some corporatist media....'

Peace, Health and Prosperity for Everyone.


I don't know (0.00 / 0)
the Googlebomb search engine optimization campaign

OL is cute.

Banned for posting five straight diaries.


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