I'm not going to pretend to know whether Obama is winning in Iowa or not. It seems like the last two polls suggest he's doing very well and the Edwards surge could be a statistical anomaly borne of holiday polling, and I do try not to be one of those people who, when confronted with a set of facts he doesn't like, reverts to feigned uncertainty. Markos thinks Obama is in trouble in Iowa, and though the evidence in the form of these last two polls can be read that way, I trust Chris's judgment. It's about turnout now.
I'm off to Iowa with a few folks for the next few days, including Adam Green of Moveon. So I assure this is the last post before the caucuses where I speak in anything but falsely assertive Friedman-esque tones. My next post will start with 'I was talking to a cab driver, and he told me that Iowa is flat.'
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