Rocky Mountain Realities on Feb. 5

by: David Sirota

Fri Feb 01, 2008 at 03:18


Note: My new nationally syndicated newspaper column out today features OpenLeft's very own Paul Rosenberg. Check it out here and check out the original OpenLeft post that I specifically reference. - D

When I took a leave of absence from my job in Washington in 2000 to work in the Montana Senate race, I didn't have much clue what I was in for. Growing up on the East Coast, I thought of the Intermountain West as a huge, far-off, mysterious place of square states and cattle herds - and like many people on the coasts, I didn't know much else.

In the years since that first campaign, I have been working in and reporting on the West, telling people what I say in my new nationally syndicated newspaper column today: That this region is the most politically misunderstood place in America.

David Sirota :: Rocky Mountain Realities on Feb. 5
Many people scoffed at my writing, saying the West was a backwater - one that would remain a Republican stronghold forever. That is, until the last few years when many Democratic strategists in Washington realized that the West has become a political swing region - one that could decide the direction of national politics for the next generation.

Sadly, when you read the typical national reporter's occasional article about the West or watch national politicians drop in for a visit, you sense either condescension, stereotyping - or both. The West is still portrayed as a weird hinterland whose politics supposedly adhere to Washington, D.C.'s inaccurate notions of lockstep "red state" behavior.

But as I say in the column, the West defies the professional pundits' portrayals. On issues from national security to energy to the role of government, the Rocky Mountain region's nuances are far more complex than "red state" stereotypes - just like most places in America. And as this region prepares to vote on February 5th and then take center stage in the general election, the candidates who ignore the fictions and appreciates these nuances are the candidates who will likely win here.

As the only nationally syndicated newspaper columnist living in and reporting regularly on this region, I felt it was particularly important to write this piece before Tuesday's voting because the West is only going to become more prominent in American politics as this election year progresses. That prominence, I believe, will either allow inaccurate stereotypes to flourish, or let the more complex realities shine through. I hope it is the latter.


Go read the whole column here
. If you'd like to see my column regularly in your local paper, use this directory to find the contact info for your local editorial page editors. Get get in touch with them and point them to my Creators Syndicate site.

One additional note: You may have noticed that I am trying to use my column to promote solid progressive voices whenever I can. Today's, as I pointed out up top, includes the use of material from a diarist at OpenLeft.com - a terrific progressive site. I want to continue doing that kind of thing - the Right promotes its voices very effectively like this. And I want to do the same with my column.


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Pork (0.00 / 0)
The political dynamics of the sparsely populated states is, to a great extent, determined by the way the national legislatures were created originally. Since each state gets two senators, regardless of population, the power of the "empty" states is disproportionate.

They know this and have used this to their advantage for over 70 years. The sparse states are mainly rural and agricultural. They use their influence to bring home the bacon. This takes the form of support programs for local issues (agriculture, cattle, mining, etc).

It also means that they tend to oppose spending which is of primary interest to the more populated, urban states. This is not a left-right issue, although it is framed this way because the urban states tend to have problems associated with poverty, minorities and other issues commonly associated with the "left".

So, sure, the western states want more government, not social policies: pork.

To see what I mean I put together a little chart on the disproportionate influence. The important fact to note is that 16% of the population controls 50% of the senate.

Here's a link to the chart, if you're interested.

The Small State Senate Bias

There is a bias in the house as well, but it is less pronounced.

Policies not Politics


Small State Bias Is Real, But Mountain State Constituents Aren't Anti-Social Spending (0.00 / 0)
As a California native and longtime resident, I'm accutely aware of the small-state bias in the Senate--which, of course, carries over into the Electoral College to a lesser extent.  I once put together a similar chart to show how many Senators represented a population equal to that of California--it was 40, as I racall, enough to sustain a filibuster.  I was using 2000 Census data.  Your chart, using 2004 data, shows its now up to 42.

However, as my original post, "The Myth of the Libertarian West," pointed out, there is very little drop-off in support for domestic spending programs in the mostly rural/agricultural/resource-based moutain states--a couple of percentage points at best.

What this suggests is that we need to look more carefully at how elite power deals are struck as opposed to what the populations supposedly represented actually want.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Data (0.00 / 0)
It would be interesting to see how the small state senators voted on key matters over the decades.

Did they, for example, tend to vote against things like urban mass transit in preference to highways?

Teasing out preferences may also be complicated by the fact that there may be some quid pro quo horse trading going on.

In addition the amounts need to make those in Montana happy are much less than in New York or California. A boost to a local missile base for $1 billion will go pretty far, while in NYC it won't even build a mile of the new subway line.

I don't know enough to know if the mountain states differ in attitudes from the smaller plains states. How much do Iowa and Idaho have in common besides low population?

Policies not Politics


[ Parent ]
Good Questions, Robert (0.00 / 0)
As you note, it's hard to untangle a lot of what goes on in terms of horsetrading on any sort of broad comparative basis.

GSS doesn't break things down to the state level.  But it does have breakdowns for the size of of communities, so I can do a comparison of, say, rural and small-town voters in the Mountain and East North Central states.  I'll put that on my to-do list.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Some differences (4.00 / 1)
The Rocky Mountain States as a whole have experienced huge gains in population;  the Plains States have not.  Neither had been typical of the nation as a whole.  The two early caucus states, Iowa and Nevada, present the extremes of that growth.  Using Census data, Iowa's population grew a tiny 8% between 1960 and 2006 from 2,758,000 to 2,982,000.  During the same period, Nevada grew by an astounding 775% from 285,000 to 2,496,0000.  The eight Mountain states grew in total from 6,835,000 people to 20,846,000 (+209%).  The five Plains states grew a mere 16.6% over 46 long years (I excluded Oklahoma and Missouri).  The nation as a whole grew by a little more than 65% over the same time.

Tourism plays a significant part of the local economy in some areas (Jackson Hole, Santa Fe, skiing in Colorado and Utah, a thriving winter business plus the Grand Canyon in Arizona).  Combined with the desires of farmers, ranchers, hunters and fishermen, clean growth is terribly important.

Real estate price hikes spurred by outside money has brought resentment in some areas.  I was asked in Jackson Hole if I was from Californis (no) and then heard complaints about Californians ruining things.  Same in Santa Fe.  Nobody was much complaining in Vegas (at least about real estate).

The population of Iowa hasn't really grown since its boom in the 19th century.  The columnists in the Des Moines paper compare Iowa unfavorably to Arizona.  Switching positions in the numbers of representatives (in fact he evn mentioned an Iowa congressman retiring to Arizona). 

The Plains states are far less diverse. 

In some ways, the Mountain states are the future;  the Plains are the past. 


[ Parent ]
This Is An Excellent Summary! (4.00 / 1)
The only thing I'd add is that the Plains need a future, and the Democrats keep forgetting that.  Because the one that's been picked out for them sucks, "big time," as our #2 war criminal would say.

See Jane Smiley's A Thousand Acres, for example.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Thanks For The Hat-Tip, David! (0.00 / 0)
It's good to lend a hand, anytime such stereotypes need smashing.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

Good Luck (0.00 / 0)
with your new column.  I'll let the papers around my neignborhood know about it.  Your column reminds me of the late Wallace Stegner's take on Western attitudes: "Leave us alone and send more money!"  He also felt that over time the culture of "stickers" would trump that of "boomers" in the West. I'm looking forward to your reports on the region.

No One Did "Leave us alone and send more money!" Better Than Orange County (0.00 / 0)
They'd been practicing for decades before WWII came around, and as that segued into the Cold War, they reached heights of money-grubbing mixed with xenophobic hostility that would make  a Southern politician blush.

Not Newt, of course.  It would make his little heart go pitty-pat.  But the non-sociopath types, at least.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Orange County (0.00 / 0)
I saw a line while visiting California some time in the 80s that stuck.  It used to be advertised as smog-free Orange Cponty.  Now it was orange-free smog county (the groves were long since gone). 

I look through Orange County real estate ads in the LA Times periodically because the "house tours" and ads give a good picture of coming trends in home decoration/home improvement (based on that we put on granite counters in the kitchen when everybody in Jersey was talking up corian).  They are putting up 4,000 square foot houses on an eight of an acre in Anaheim and were charging $1.5 to $2.0 million.  Nicely decorated but .... That must be where all the Dept. Of defense profits went.  Some of the other towns in Orange County.  Now, they were even higher.


[ Parent ]
*Suburban Warriors* Is Excellent on This (0.00 / 0)
Suburban Warriors: The Origins of the New American Right by  Lisa McGirr.

Someone very smart wrote this about it for Publishers Weekly:

Prototypical rather than typical, suburban Orange County, Calif., provides Harvard historian McGirr with an illuminating microcosm of the historical transformations that took conservative activism from the conspiracy-obsessed fringes of the John Birch Society to the election of Ronald Reagan, first as governor of California and then as president. Drawing heavily on interviews with grassroots activists as well as a wide range of primary documents, McGirr paints a complex picture exploring the apparent contradiction of powerfully antimodern social, political and religious philosophies thriving in a modern, technological environment and translating into sustained political activity. Federal spending, beginning in WWII and continuing with massive Cold War defense contracts and military bases, was the driving force behind Orange County's booming economy. A frontier-era mythos of rugged individualism, nurtured on hatred of eastern elites who funded western growth before Uncle Sam conveniently hid this dependency. The local dominance of unfettered private development chaotically disorganized in the county's northwest, corporately planned elsewhere destroyed existing communities, producing an impoverished public sphere, a vacuum conservative churches and political activism helped fill. Migrants primarily from nonindustrial regions became more conservative in reaction to the stresses of suburban modernity, while selectively assimilating benefits. Racial and class homogeneity nurtured a comforting conformity consciously defended against outside threats. United by enemies, libertarian and social conservatives rarely confronted their differences. Against this complex, contradictory background, McGirr charts the evolution of a movement culture through various stages, issues and forms of organizing. Incisive yet fair, this represents an important landmark in advancing a nuanced understanding of how antimodernist ideologies continue to thrive.


"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
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