1/30-2/1, 400 LVs, MoE 5 California: Clinton 45%--36% Obama
New Jersey: Clinton 46%--39% Obama
Missouri: Clinton 47%--41% Obama
Arizona: Clinton 43%-41% Obama
Along with Connecticut and Alabama, those appear to be the four most important states on Tuesday. Obviously, both candidates will win a lot of delegates in all of them, but the winner will receive more and a favorable media narrative, too. Also, Rasmussen now shows Obama catching Clinton in California, holding a statistically insignificant 45%-44% lead.
On the Republican side, depending on which poll you look at, California is either tied, or McCain holds a lead in the high single digits.
Once more polls are in, I'll update the Super Tuesday polling average chart later today.
STATE BLOGS
