Current Popular Vote

by: Tim Sackton

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 11:07


Here are the current estimated popular vote totals:

State Clinton Obama P/C Reporting
Iowa 70,429 89,828 C* 100
New Hampshire 112,251 104,772 P 100
Nevada 59,782 53,047 C* 100
Michigan 328,151 ** P 100
South Carolina 141,128 295,091 P 99
Florida 857,208 569,041 P 99
Alabama 226,454 302,684 P 99
Alaska 2,138 6,471 C 98
Arizona 204,930 171,368 P 98
Arkansas 209,968 79,411 P 99
California 2,144,251 1,746,013 P 100
Colorado 38,587 79,344 C 99
Connecticut 164,831 179,349 P 100
Delaware 40,751 51,124 P 100
Georgia 328,129 700,366 P 100
Idaho 3,655 16,880 C 100
Illinois 662,845 1,301,954 P 99
Kansas 9,462 27,172 C 100
Massachusetts 704,591 511,887 P 100
Minnesota 68,442 141,527 C 94
Missouri 395,287 405,284 P 100
New Jersey 602,576 492,186 P 99
New Mexico 68,654 67,531 P 99
New York 1,003,623 697,914 P 98
North Dakota 6,948 11,625 C 100
Oklahoma 228,425 130,087 P 100
Tennessee 332,599 250,730 P 100
Utah 48,719 70,373 P 99
Nebraska 12,445 26,126 C 100
Washington 62,481 135,249 C* 96
Louisiana 136,959 220,588 P 100
Maine 17,854 26,589 C* 99
Total 9,294,553 8,961,611
Total (no MI) 8,966,402 8,961,611
Total (no MI/FL) 8,109,194 8,392,570

P/C = Primary or Caucus. States marked C* have had the total number of caucus votes cast imputed based on estimated turnout, either from state party websites (Iowa, Nevada, Maine) or news sources (Washington). All other caucuses report number of participants supporting each candidate directly.

Estimated turnout:
Iowa - 239,000 (Iowa Dem Party press release)
Nevada - 117,559 (NV Dem Party website)
Washington - 200,000 (news reports)
Maine - 44,673 (Maine Dem Party website)

**237,762 votes were cast for Uncommitted in the Michigan primary

Tim Sackton :: Current Popular Vote

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Great work! (0.00 / 0)
Very good job. This is very useful info. (Any chance of getting it lined up properly in table format?)  

I'd love to (0.00 / 0)
but I'm not sure how to insert a table into a diary. Any ideas?

[ Parent ]
nevermind (0.00 / 0)
just realized you can use regular HTML. I'll update as a table this afternoon.

[ Parent ]
Excellent (0.00 / 0)
Looks great!

[ Parent ]
Iowa (0.00 / 0)
Wiki lists the Iowa Democratic turnout at 227K voters.  Obama got 37% of the State Delegates.

If you assume an equivalent level of support from the voters (not a great assumption but there is no other data to use) I get 84K caucus-ees for Obama.

Are you using a different turnout figure?  Or a different methodology?


Iowa Dem party (4.00 / 1)
Press release from the Iowa Democratic Party claims turnout at 239,000: http://www.iowademocrats.org/h...

I had a typo in my spreadsheet that inflated the vote total, the Obama estimate should be about 89K


[ Parent ]
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