Second Results thread here. States with winners are in bold. Updates will appear below the tables. New threads will be created when the comment load becomes too high. All times are eastern. Entering the night, my count shows Obama with 1,194.5 pledged delegates,a and Clinton with 1,033.5
March 4th Primary and Caucus Results
| State |
Reporting |
Obama % |
Clinton % |
Delegates |
Obama Del |
Clinton Del |
| Ohio |
31% |
41% |
57% |
141 |
32 |
28 |
| Rhode Island |
38% |
38% |
61% |
21 |
6 |
6 |
| Texas Primary |
12% |
50% |
48% |
126 |
18 |
14 |
| Texas Caucus |
0% |
-- |
-- |
67 |
0 |
0 |
| Vermont |
67% |
60% |
38% |
15 |
9 |
6 |
Total |
NA |
NA |
NA |
370 |
65 |
54 |
Update 9: Second results thread here.
Update 8--Ohio Delegate Thoughts: Clinton is putting up a pretty big margin in some of these early returns. However, in many of congressional districts where she is putting up the margin, a 20% victory is actually not quite enough to earn the key 3-1 delegate splits. Rather, she needed 62.51% of the two-candidate vote or more in order to pull that off. The delegate math in Ohio seems to be helping Obama, despite Clinton's overall popular advantage.
Update 7--Clinton Wins Rhode Island: CBS, CNN and NBC all call Rhode Island for Clinton. It has been a long time since she won a primary, but she has finally done it again. I imagine Ohio can't be too far behind. Texas still looks like the biggest contest of the night.
Update 6--McCain Clinches Republican Nomination: Not much suspense, but John McCain has clinched the Republican nomination. Howard Dean's statement:
"John McCain is out of touch with the issues facing Americans each day. Instead of offering solutions to the high cost of health care, help for the middle class or ideas to create jobs, McCain offers 100 years in Iraq and more of the same Bush budgets that have heaped debt onto our children and damaged our economy. Instead of ending the influence of lobbyists in Washington, he's hired them to run his campaign. The closer voters look at the real McCain record, the more they will realize he cannot be trusted to deliver the change America wants."
Go Howard!
Update 5--Texas and Rhode Island Exit Polls: Exit polls for Texas and Rhode Island are now available. Quick math for Rhode Island shows Clinton 51.6%--47.5% Obama. In Texas, quick math shows Clinton 50.0%--48.6% Obama. Importantly, that actually means Obama looks to be slightly favored in Texas, given his 88,000 margin among the nearly 1,000,000 early voters.
Update 4--Clinton closing gap in Texas: Clinton is continually closing the gap in Texas. Still, with nearly one million votes counted, Obama leads by 88,000.
Update 3--Obama jumps out to huge lead in Texas: It would appear that Obama dominated early voting in Texas. With over 750,000 850,000 votes already in, Obama holds a huge advantage of 17% 13%, or about 130,000 votes 110,000. Functionally, it means that Clinton must win on Election Day by 4-5% just to tie Obama in Texas. This is a huge boost for Obama's chances to win the night on delegates, and possibly even to knock Clinton out of the campaign.
Update 2--Ohio polls close: Exit poll can be found here. At first glance, it indicates a narrow Clinton victory, 51%-48%. That sort of victory won't net many pledged delegates. Also, some Ohio polls might be open until 8:30 p.m. because of bad weather.
Update--Obama wins Vermont. Exit poll can be found here. Looks like a huge Obama blowout, with back of the envelope math showing Obama 62%-37% Clinton. If Obama wins 65.01% or more of the two-candidate vote, he wins the delegate count 10-5. If Obama wins between 55.01% and 64.99% of the two candidate vote, he wins the delegates 9-6. At least I think that is how it works.
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