Nomination At A Glance, April 9th

by: Chris Bowers

Wed Apr 09, 2008 at 17:30

Democratic Nomination Primary Schedule

State	Date	O %	C %	P. Del	Obama Del	Clinton Del
Pennsylvania	Apr 22	42.3%	48.5%	158	74	84
Guam	May 03	--	--	4	2	2
Indiana	May 06	44.3%	51.3%	72	33	39
North Carolina	May 06	53.0%	36.0%	115	67	48
West Virginia	May 13	27.0%	55.0%	28	9	19
Kentucky	May 20	29.0%	58.0%	51	17	34
Oregon	May 20	52.0%	42.0%	52	29	23
Puerto Rico	Jun 01	--	--	55	23	32
Montana	Jun 03	--	--	16	8	8
South Dakota	Jun 03	--	--	15	8	7
Total	June 10	--	--	566	270	296

This translates to the following delegate count:

Democratic Nomination Delegate Count

Type	Obama	Clinton	Edwards	Remaining	50% + 1
Pledged	1,415	1,254	18	566	1,627
Super	221	245	0	328	--
Total 1	1,636	1,499	18	894	2,024
Projected	270	296	0	0	--
Pelosi Club	6	-1	0	-4	--
Vacant	3	0	0	-3	--
MI + FL	5	15	0	348	0
Total 2	1,920	1,809	18	676	2,208

The "vacant" column indicates three superdelegates-to-be who have endorsed Obama, but whom are not technically superdelegates yet (vacant Illinois DNC spot, vacant SEIU DNC spot, vacant MD-04 congressional spot). The Michigan and Florida columns add in the superdelegates who have declared, but leave the rest undecided (or, more accurately, "undetermined.") Since we know that Michigan and Florida will be seated, but we just don't know who those delegates will be, that seems like a reasonable way to include those delegations in the count for now.

It may seem strange to be posting a delegate count update from Israel, but people are even talking about it over here. This is a truly global primary.

Resources: Popular Vote Counts, Democratic Convention Watch, Democratic Nomination Wiki, The Green Papers, Pollster.com, Nomination At A Glance archives.