Reports Indicate Clinton To Suspend Campaign Either Tuesday Or Wednesday

by: Chris Bowers

Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 15:05


Tom Edsall writes that Clinton has asked her top supporters to attend her campaign tomorrow night, indicating that she will announce a suspension of her campaign:

Hillary Clinton has summoned top donors and backers to attend her speech tomorrow night in an unusual move that is being widely interpreted to mean she plans to suspend her campaign and endorse Barack Obama.

Obama and Clinton spoke Sunday night and agreed that their staffs should begin negotiations over post-primary activities. In addition to help raising money to pay off some $20 million-plus in debts, Clinton is known to want Obama to help out black officials who endorsed her and are now taking constituent heat, including, in some cases, primary challenges from pro-Obama politicians.

Staffers are being told to turn in final expense reports:

Clinton Campaign staffers and former campaign staffers are being urged by the Clinton campaign's finance department to turn in their outstanding expense receipts by the end of the week. That's a sign, to them, that the campaign wants to get its affairs in order soon. If Clinton were staying in the race, there'd be no real reason to collect these receipts now; she'd still be raising and spending money from the same primary campaign account.

Further, she has no scheduled appearances after a Wednesday speech, and staffers have been put on hold:

ABC News' Kate Snow Reports: For those reading the tea leaves, there are strong signs the Clinton campaign may be preparing for the end.

Late last night an email went out to advance staffers-- the folks who usually prepare sites for future Clinton campaign events.  The memo indicated that there was nothing on Sen. Hillary Clinton's schedule beyond a speech scheduled for the AIPAC conference on Wed morning in Washington.

The email told staffers this was not goodbye but there were no plans and therefore no locations where their services would be needed for now.

And she hasn't gone negative on Obama in paid media since May 6th:

As best as I can determine, Hillary has launched no negative ads or mailers mentioning Obama since the North Carolina and Indiana results rendered the race more or less a foregone conclusion, though there have been spots drawing an implicit contrast with her rival.

Sure looks like it is over. Really, it is not that surprising. It makes perfect sense for Clinton to want to campaign everywhere and wait for the RBC decision, both because the campaign was still relatively close and to honor her supporters in all fifty states. Also, the nomination campaign has been a positive for Democrats wherever it has gone. However, it has also always been extremely difficult to figure out what Clinton would do after June 3rd. Other than Michigan and Florida, she hasn't visited a non-primary swing state since February, and after June 3rd there will be no more primary states left. Further, unless her fundraising would dramatically turn around, her mounting debts would make it impossible to start a general election campaign at this point, too.

So, hopefully we are coming to the desired end of the campaign either tomorrow night, or on Wednesday. That works for me. This primary campaign has been the best party building activity we have seen for decades, but that positive function will no longer be possible after the voting is over tomorrow. It has been a helluva ride, but it seems that we are finally moving on to the general election.  

Chris Bowers :: Reports Indicate Clinton To Suspend Campaign Either Tuesday Or Wednesday

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loyalty (4.00 / 2)
Good to see her sticking up for her supporters that got in trouble for their support.

 

New Jersey politics at Blue Jersey.


Please, please let it be tomorow night (4.00 / 3)
I will be at the Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul on Tuesday. The site of the Republican National Convention. With the same people that marched with me to Draft Obama. What a amazing thing it would be to have that be the big victory rally. PLEASE let that happen.

I doubt it will happen. But oh my would that be amazing.

And honestly. What else is she going to talk about? She can either take it to the convention and destroy the party or drop out or not make a speech. She isn't going to go up and talk about taking it to the undecided superdelegates.

Please let this be true.

John McCain: Beacuse lobbyists should have more power


Suspension without concession and endorsement? (0.00 / 0)
Chris-

You mentioned that Clinton needs to endorse Obama this week... well, what happens if she suspends without an endorsement?

This is basically what the Americablog theory is right now... she suspends her campaign without an endorsement, only to wait until she can magically come back in at news of a scandal or whatever.

I don't think it matters TOO much, but there will be a group of supporters who, without an actual concession and endorsement of Obama, will continue to think that Clinton could come back in the race at any moment and win, thus hurting "unity".  I suppose it could be argued that many of those people may be lost in the GE anyway, but there's probably a fair number who, with enough time, would probably come around.  I guess we'll see.


I can see this happening (4.00 / 2)
and it wouldn't bother me.

The two campaigns clearly are doing a lot of negotiating right now about all kinds of stuff - staff moving to the Obama campaign, joint fundraisers, Obama apparently providing some cover for black politicians who endorsed Hillary and are taking flack, as well as the process of picking a VP.  Its not unreasonable for her to want to maintain some leverage through these negotiations.  As long as she suspends the campaign and let's Obama act like the nominee, I don't see what the problem is if she holds off on officially endorsing him for a little while.


John McCain: Health insurance for low income children represents an "unfunded liability."


[ Parent ]
Finally (0.00 / 0)
I'm glad to see that HRC has the good sense to not take this one to the convention.  It is a symbolic gesture that Dems in all 50 states will have had a say (albeit not necessarily an equal say) in the nomination process after tomorrow.  But for the sake of party unity, stepping down after tomorrow's final primaries is the only appropriate action.

It's been a good fight, but it's time to really start working to defeat McBush.


Endorsement (0.00 / 0)
Let's be absolutely clear about one thing. This race isn't over until Hillary Clinton gives her full and unambiguous endorsement to Barack Obama. Anything less than that is just another delaying tactic so that Hillary can take her fight to Denver.  

Suspension (4.00 / 9)
Suspending a campaign before the convention is just as common as any other form of dropping out. For example, Hart, Jackson, Tsongas and Brown all suspended their campaigns and let their delegates vote at the convention back in 1984-1992.

Clinton's delegates worked hard. If they want to vote for Clinton at the convention, there isn't anything wrong with that.

Not to mention that it would actually help Obama more is Clinton first suspended, and then later on had an endorsement event. that's two boosts for the price of one.

Time to chill out and heal the party, not further demand that Clinton apologize for her existance.  


[ Parent ]
Endorsement (4.00 / 1)
I couldn't disagree more.

We're dealing with a campaign here whose supporters are clinging to their grievances against the opposing side. I'm no history buff, and am open to being corrected on this point, but I don't recall anything about large numbers of Hart, Jackson, Tsongas, and Brown supporters stubbornly refusing to support the primary opponent and making wild threats to vote for the Republican in the general. Were these hurt feelings not a part of the story, Clinton's suspension of her campaign would be sufficient to secure party unity. Suspending her campaign without endorsing Obama sends a tacit message to her supporters that it's okay not to come back into the fold of the Democratic Party, that it's okay to sit this election out or to vote for the other side. Refusing to endorse Obama sends the message to her flock that she doesn't really care what they do now that her bid has ended. Clinton doesn't need to apologize for staying in the race thus far, but she does need to publicly and loudly endorse Obama and ask her supporters to back him in the general election. It's not the end of the world if she waits a few days between suspending her campaign and endorsing Obama (for added PR points), but until that endorsement comes, we are going to have a serious problem with respect to party unity.

My guess is that Hillary knows this and is using it as a bargaining chip to get whatever it is she wants at this point. She can't continue her bid for the nomination past Wednesday without enraging the party establishment and causing a media firestorm, so she has to suspend her campaign this week. On the other hand, she controls just under half of the delegates, has the support of of just under half of the voters in the party, and knows that a large number of those people are very, very angry that they've lost the bid for the nomination. At the end of the day, Hillary's actions will determine whether many of those folks come around to supporting Obama or instead cling to their grievances. Hillary's endorsement of Obama or lack thereof will determine whether we have healing and unity or instead end up with a fractured party.


[ Parent ]
A half agreement (0.00 / 0)
My guess is that Hillary knows this and is using it as a bargaining chip to get whatever it is she wants at this point. She can't continue her bid for the nomination past Wednesday without enraging the party establishment and causing a media firestorm, so she has to suspend her campaign this week. On the other hand, she controls just under half of the delegates, has the support of of just under half of the voters in the party, and knows that a large number of those people are very, very angry that they've lost the bid for the nomination. At the end of the day, Hillary's actions will determine whether many of those folks come around to supporting Obama or instead cling to their grievances.

I completely agree with this part of the analysis.  But why shouldn't she feel entitled to bargain for what she wants at this point?  We're three months away from the convention.  She had plenty of time to endorse him and, eventually, campaign for him.

As much as its on Hillary to eventually take the steps necessary to unify the party, its on Obama to recognize that he has the weakest primary mandate since McGovern and needs to compromise with her in whatever negotiations unfold over the next couple weeks.  We'll see what happens.

John McCain: Health insurance for low income children represents an "unfunded liability."


[ Parent ]
Bargaining = Division, Resentment (0.00 / 0)
She is entitled to bargain, just as any politician is entitled to. Obama, as the winner of the nomination, is also entitled to grant her absolutely nothing. Just because she CAN bargain does not mean that she MUST do so or that it is a good idea, for her or for the party (and the same goes for Obama).

The longer Hillary waits to endorse Obama, the more her supporters' grievances will fester and the harder it will be to bring everyone back together in the end. While Hillary may be entitled to bargain, her decision to do so will foster this division within party. The Obama people are (rightly) going to be angry at her for putting her own interests ahead of the party, and a large number of the Clinton people will cling to their grievances and resentments toward the Obama campaign. This is her leverage, but it's also her undoing. Regardless, it's in her hands.

You know, Hillary is often called a divisive and polarizing figure. This is precisely why.  


[ Parent ]
Oh please (0.00 / 0)
So if she bargains over the next two weeks, this is going to be the great undoing of Obama in the fall?  Give me a break.

Obama is certainly entitled to give her whatever he wants.  But he's not a standard nominee.  He's emerging with a very small mandate and if he wants a big tent, then he's got to acknowledge that situation.  If his response is just to offer Hillary nothing and she digs in, it will be a tragedy for all of us but half the blame will rest on his shoulders.  

John McCain: Health insurance for low income children represents an "unfunded liability."


[ Parent ]
South Dakota (4.00 / 1)
Not that this really matters at all, but isn't Obama supposed to be favored to win S. Dakota tomorrow night?  And yet a new ARG poll has Clinton ahead of him 60-34!

http://www.americanresearchgro...

Yes, yes, I know, it's ARG, but can even the worst polling outfit be THAT far wrong on the day before an election?


That is wierd (0.00 / 0)
Maybe that's why Obama made an unexpected visit yesterday.

[ Parent ]
Obama slays Clinton parties? (0.00 / 0)
Yes, I know this is a terrible political idea.  But I must say I'm tempted to celebrate Clinton conceding - if that is what she indeed does - with some kind of drunken, bacchanalian party.

Surely, this thought has crossed others' minds.


Be sure to serve kool aid (0.00 / 0)
Just for effect.

Purple kool aid


"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


[ Parent ]
There's probably a deal for the VP spot in the works... (0.00 / 0)
Wouldn't surprise me. As much as I despised her tactics, and especially Bill's remarks in South Carolina, she might redeem herself if she exits gracefully before the convention, and tells Harold Ickes to STFU...

Should she be VP? IMHO... yes, because it'll be a powerful ticket in the swing states. Yes I know I'll get pelted with tomatoes for suggesting this, but we have to be pragmatists at this point... if states like Michigan are considered "in play" we'll need all the name recognition in a presidential ticket that we can get...

In a perfect world he could've picked Edwards, Bloomberg, or even Hagel... but... this is 2008.


It's not a powerful ticket... (4.00 / 1)
...it's a disruptive one...

She wouldn't want to be on the ticket.  She is absolutely convinced that Obama will lose in the fall.  Why endanger yourself when you could run the "I told you so" campaign in 2012.

Of course she was absolutely convinced that she'd win the nomination on Feb. 5th, too... whoops!

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
you make a good point (0.00 / 0)
For some reason I'm having a hard time accepting that she lacks common sense. How would the Democratic Party accept her in 2012 when everyone would know that by undermining Obama and putting her own interests over those of the country and the party, she helped get McCain elected?

[ Parent ]
She does not have positive name recognition outside the Democratic primary universe. (0.00 / 0)
Yes she has universal name rec, but it's not really the good kind once you leave the world of the Dem primary.  Her reputation has improved in that even non-Dems admire her newly-demonstrated tenacity; but on the fundamentals, and especially the campaignable elements, she has a lot of liabilities with the actual swing part of the general-electorate.  Just cause everyone knows who she is doesn't necessarily help the ticket.

[ Parent ]
It's time... (4.00 / 1)
...I think it's good for her to wait until after the final primary and then suspend her campaign, gracefully, offering full support to Obama's campaign.

I hope she does the right thing here.

I probably have better things to do with my time than this.


Democrats, please (4.00 / 1)
This is either the news you have been waiting for, and relief, pleasure, surprise, pride apprehension and dedication might be some feelings you could look for, or we struggle toward that day when we get to start defeating Mccain.

Warm words of unity are required either way respect must be leveled, gratitude and most of all, eyes on the prize with, as a local writer once said, "a larger heart and a clearer head."

No one was slain, tasks were apportioned, and our champions  defend us still, both of them,  all of them, as hard as they can.


--

The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky


It is a credit to Clinton that it's hard to imagine her conceding. (0.00 / 0)
even with all the evidence, even knowing it was inevitable for weeks, it's still hard to imagine it happening.  That's a really powerful contrast with, say, Kerry.  Maybe I'm just falling for her campaign spin (after all, she made lots of mistakes, her staffing was a disaster, her arguments were incoherent or gastax much of the time), but the tough-as-nails image has taken hold.  Way to go, Mark Penn... (boy did that feel weird to type.)

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