Opening the Day: The Clinton Close, and Will A Clinton SuperDelegate Get Knocked Off in a Primary?

by: Matt Stoller

Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 09:17


Desmoinesdem has the latest on the Fallon-Boswell race below, and is not confident in Fallon's chances.  I spoke with Fallon's campaign manager last night, and she believes and has data to suggest that Boswell is in trouble.  It's going to be a low turnout affair, and Boswell has backed Clinton whereas Fallon has backed Obama.  And she raises the good point about Boswell, which is that he hasn't fully released any internal polls, a weird trend if a candidate is doing well.  On the other hand, there has been one public poll in the race, and Fallon was down by a little more than twenty points in April.

Here's what else I'm reading.

  • This is what a party unifying program looks like, with Congressman Wexler explaining to his Clinton backing supporters why he's backing Obama.

  • Bill Clinton calls Todd Purdum, the reporter who published the hit piece in Vanity Fair, a scumbag and said that Purdum has done bad journalism since Whitewater.

  • John Bresnahan has a good profile of Pelosi's consolidation of power in the House, over such status quo stalwarts as Steny Hoyer, Rahm Emanuel, and Jim Clyburn.

  • Jonathan S. Landay at McClatchy report that both Obama and McCain are exaggerating the threat from Iran.

    The presumptive Republican nominee for president and the leading contender for the Democratic nomination are exaggerating what's known about Iran's nuclear program as they duel over how best to deal with Tehran.

    Sens. John McCain, R-Ariz., and Barack Obama, D-Ill., say that Iran is developing nuclear weapons.

    The U.S. intelligence community, however, thinks that Iran halted an effort to build a nuclear warhead in mid-2003, and the U.N. International Atomic Energy Agency, which is investigating the program, has found no evidence to date of an active Iranian nuclear-weapons project.

  • Jordan Fabian and Bob Cusack report that superdelegates like Jason Altmire are ready to break for Obama at the end of the week.

  • Is Obama the biggest upset ever?  Chris Cilizza wants to know.

  • Obama has a historical debt to Harold Ickes because of his work liberalizing and opening the primary process in the 1960s and 1970s.  I'll add that Ickes was the floor manager for the vicious 1980 convention fight between Ted Kennedy and Jimmy Carter, which ultimately got rid of the robot rule forcing delegates to vote for the person they pledged to.

The big question is when Clinton bows out of the race, and there are splits at the top of the campaign about this question.  What are you reading?

Matt Stoller :: Opening the Day: The Clinton Close, and Will A Clinton SuperDelegate Get Knocked Off in a Primary?

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Purdum .. (4.00 / 1)
as the story pointed out .. Purdum is married to Dee Dee Myers ... I wonder how conversation is around that dinner table .. has Myers had a falling out with the Clintons?

Iran (0.00 / 0)
look, I know the left does not like to yield any ground on things like Iran for (justifiable) fear of another land war in the middle east. this is understandable. however. the left could do better at recognizing that Iran is a real piece of shit and is funding Hezbollah, Hamas (which has to be one of the most annoyingly stupid political orgs in the world),and  militias in Iraq. Iran is a problem. They are definitely a problem for stability in the middle east, much as Syria and Saudi Arabia are.  

Left out from the Iran reference above is that the IAEA recently slammed Iran in a report suggesting it had many suspicious nuclear weapons related activities going on that Iran needs to stop or come clean on. I recently read the EU is considering amping UP sanctions on Iran (wish I could find the link, i thought it was in the nytimes).

When it comes to nuclear weapons I actually have long been of the opinion that everyone should have some. Less bullying might happen if all nations stood evenly. However the world is not that simple and my thoughts on this are evolving. Never the less, whether its fair or not fair for all countries to have nukes, Iran is up to no good and they have done nothing to earn any trust what so ever. While we don't want to fall for blind over zealous fear mongering, ignoring Iran or not taking it's meddling seriously is out of touch with Americans' general view of Iran and out of touch with reality.

(Please no relies that say the US sucks more or whatever, I know we suck, both countries should knock off the bull shit.)

Michael Bloomberg, prince of corporate welfare


My only bone of contention (0.00 / 0)
is your warning about not taking Iran's meddling seriously.  The only reports of meddling (I assume you mean in Iraq) I've heard have come from people for whom such reports would be beneficial.  Has there been any independent confirmation of that yet?

[ Parent ]
for the reasons you mentioned (0.00 / 0)
I would not be shocked if Fallon did win today. It's all about turnout. That isn't the outcome I would bet on, however.

For what it's worth, the only person I know who foresaw a huge upset in the 2006 Democratic primary for Iowa secretary of agriculture says he sees a lot of similarities to this race. He thinks Boswell is going down.

Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.


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