The tracking polls for Friday are out, and they both show a pretty significant bounce for Obama. Here are the numbers, with the final, pre-convention polls (August 23rd-25th) in parenthesis:
There is a clear Obama bounce in these polls. Still, it is important to remember that these polls were conducted from August 26-August 28th. As such, very few of these interviews, if any, include responses to Obama's speech last night. All interviews were conducted after Michelle Obama's speech. About 70% include Hillary Clinton's speech, and another 35% include Bill Clinton and Joe Biden. There won't be complete post-convention polling available until Monday's tracking polls are released, and no interviews for those tracking polls have currently been conducted.
Tomorrow's tracking polls will be the first to include both post-Obama acceptance speech and post-Palin announcement. As such, they should be extremely interesting. I actually don't expect much of a further increase for Obama, since the Tuesday numbers in these polls were both excellent for him. It will be hard to improve upon those numbers today, especially given how the Palin choice is taking a lot of coverage.
This will be a very, very interesting weekend of polling. We will have a good idea about the effectiveness, or lack thereof, of the Palin choice and the Obama speech on Monday.
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