Opening the Day: Uglier and Uglier for the GOP

by: Matt Stoller

Tue Oct 28, 2008 at 08:00


If you're just listening to the news cycle, McCain is done.  The only question is how bad the fallout will be for the Republicans, and the Ted Stevens trial kind of pointed to another disastrous election for them.  Like, really really bad.  Picture two 1994s in a row, plus a slightly less than 1984 style route.  All in the space of two years.  Ow.

  • VoteVets is going after Saxby Chambliss with this ad.  Look familiar?

  • Have you pitched in for Use It or Lose It yet?

    Democrats behind on their dues
    Democrats facing token opposition

    Do what Chris says.  Obey Chris.

  • This is the most vicious anti-endorsement of Saxby Chambliss imaginable.

  • Gordon Smith cannot beat back the Obama wave in Oregon.  I'm not much of a Smith fan, but to be fair to him, he's a horrible person.

  • Central banks are continuing to slashing rates.  Wheee!

  • David Axelrod may take an Obama White House position.

    "Obama trusts him, and he cares about policy," Carville said, adding that he stayed out of the Clinton administration because he wanted to make money, but that Axelrod's lucrative consulting practice had put him in a position to go to the White House. "The only people that go into government are either very young or very rich," Carville said.

    That's super healthy for democracy!

  • Wayne Huizenga wants to sell the Dolphins before Obama raises his capital gains taxes.  I'm a huge Dolphins fan, and I hate Huizenga's stewardship of the team, which was perpetually 7-9, 8-8, 9-7, or 10-6 throughout the 80s and 90s and 00s.  If Obama gets this guy to sell, I'm sold on his Presidency.

  • The Bank of England says the global financial crisis has cost $2.6 trillion so far.  And the IMF may not have enough firepower to deal with all the countries needing assistance.

    Meanwhile, this is fucked.

    Five straight quarters of losses and a 70 percent slide in its stock this year haven't stopped Merrill Lynch & Co. from allocating about $6.7 billion to pay bonuses.

    Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley, both still on track for profitable years, have set aside about $13 billion for bonuses after three quarters, down 28 percent from a year ago. Even some employees at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., which declared the biggest bankruptcy in U.S. history last month, will get the same bonus they received a year ago.

  • The LA Times is laying off 75 more people.  It used to be a very good paper.

  • Patrick Creadon of the ridiculous film IOUSA is shocked, shocked that someone might consider the whole 'let's gut entitlements' movement a sham.

  • Dailykos will raise $2M in its Orange to Blue campaign.  That's a lot of money.  Wow.  

  • Jim Marshall is having a tough time with his reelection.  He'll be fine, but if he's not, alas, it couldn't have happened to a nicer Bush Dog.  And Nick Lampson is going down.  With Tim Mahoney added in there, that makes three Blue Dogs in trouble.  Awww.

  • I guess Drudge no longer rules their world.

  • I like this tip from Mark Kleiman discussing Frank Wolf's campaign's assault of a Democratic tracker.

    Send the trackers out in pairs, so that one tracker can point a camera to record the violence against the other.

  • Christy Hardin Smith has a petition out to fight local conservative journalism.

  • The Metro will randomly search people's bags.  Security expert Bruce Schneier has pointed out that this was extremely dumb when they did it in New York.  Of course that means it's coming to DC.  Wheee!

  • This is a good quote from Darcy Burner in Roll Call.

    "From my perspective, when they are breaking the law and then use that money to go up on television to say that I don't have a degree that I did in fact earn, do I think it's getting nasty? Absolutely. But not on our side," Burner said. "They will do anything to hold onto this seat, and they don't care about the law or the truth."

  • This is just kind of sad.

    National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Ensign (Nev.) said Monday afternoon that it was a "fair possibility" that Democrats could reach a filibuster-proof, 60-seat majority in the Senate on Nov. 4.

    Speaking to Andrea Mitchell on MSNBC, Ensign seemed to upgrade the Senate Democrats' chances for widening their margins. Democrats currently hold a 51-49 majority in the chamber.

    ..."We would welcome Joe Lieberman. We welcome him with open arms," Ensign said.

It'll be interesting to see how the GOP rebuilds itself.  I know Mitt Romney is positioning to be a wealthy GOP Daddy type who can restore the eastern elite credentials in 2012.  We'll see, I suppose.

What are you reading?

Matt Stoller :: Opening the Day: Uglier and Uglier for the GOP

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apparently eggs imported from China (4.00 / 1)
are poisioned with melamine because they were fed with tainted Gluten feed.  I've been eating organicly grown eggs for a few years.  I guess pre-a few years, I may be fucked.  Oh, and you and whoever ate eggs imported from China.  Or food products made with said eggs.  Lovely.  Free trade, weeeeeee.

My weekly forecast (0.00 / 0)
OK, now this is really the home stretch and I'm feeling pretty optimistic.

The polls have failed to tighten in a significant way, indeed, state polling seems to be getting better. I expect Obama to win with a 6% margin in the popular vote. I'm adding Ohio back into my list, as well as the biggest surprise on election night - North Dakota. It shouldn't be a huge surprise; every poll in October in ND has had Obama tied or ahead. So in rough order of closeness, that's Kerry 2004 plus Iowa, Virginia, New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada, Missouri, Ohio, North Carolina, Florida and North Dakota for 367 electoral votes. Georgia and Indiana, usually among the earliest states to be called on election night, will be too close to call - achingly close, but will fall just shy of being won.

I'm canvassing tonight and this weekend, so I apply my personal guarantee to Florida.

With the Stevens news, I'm now predicting 9 seats in the Senate -- Virginia, New Mexico, Alaska, New Hampshire, Colorado, Oregon, North Carolina, Minnesota and Georgia. I give us a 25% chance of picking up that tenth seat between MS, KY and TX.

For the house, I'm going with an even 20 seats.

Conduct your own interview of Sarah Palin!


Re: Merrill Lynch Bonuses. Citizenship is the new (0.00 / 0)
slavery.

bailout bonuses (0.00 / 0)
Fuck that shit! Congress needs to pass a special tax rate that applies to banking executives for five years starting last year:

Any income in excess of the salary of President of the United States will be taxed at 90%.

miasmo.com


[ Parent ]
Random Search® (0.00 / 0)
As a New York subway rider I was initially intrigued to understand how a random search is conducted. However, I lost interest as soon as I realized that searchees were to be selected at random but the searches themselves would be quite deliberate.

Thank Goodness for VoteVets (0.00 / 0)
Chambliss, the RSCC, and Freedom Watch are running a scorched earth smear campaign against Jim Martin, literally lying about Martin being a baby killer. It's gotten really ugly really fast, and Martin and the DSCC haven't been firing back with the same ferocity.

The Democrats need to respond. The VoteVets ad is a great start, and they shouldn't be afraid to cut a Ted Stevens ad as well. Mix those in with Martin's economic message, and they've got a great chance.


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