Don't Forget the State Level Races

by: Daniel De Groot

Wed Oct 29, 2008 at 01:00


It is important to ensure the wave extends as far as possible at the State House, Senate, AG, SoS, Gov, Lt.Gov, Mayor, Judge, City Council, School Board, Sheriff and dogcatcher level.  Seriously, even at the bottom level Republicans can do a lot of harm.  Just imagine cat-killer Bill Frist as your dogcatcher or Sarah Palin on your school board.  

In addition to the vital function of building the Democratic bench strength, the State Legislatures and Governorships will be particularly important for the coming redistricting, as the DLCC says:


Time and time again, Republicans have shown that they will cut the Democratic voter base and gerrymander districts in favor of their incumbents, and now, when they take control of a legislature, they aren't even willing to wait until the end of the decade before they go to work.

Currently, of the 36 state legislatures that control Congressional redistricting, 27 chambers in 21 of these states are within 5 seats of tying or changing hands.

These 21 states control 260 Congressional districts.

Daniel De Groot :: Don't Forget the State Level Races
Here's a table showing some state races to pay attention to:

OfficeStates Held by Republicans where Obama leading or competitiveStates Held by Democrats where McCain Leading
State HouseDE, FL, OH, MO, MT, ND, WINil.
State SenateAZ, FL, GA, IN, MO, NV, NY, PAMT, WV
State AG*CO, FL, HI, IN, MI, NH, PA, VA, WA, WIAZ, GA, KS, KY, LA, MS, OK, TN, WY
State SoS*CO, FL, IN, MI, WAAR, OK, TN

* - Ok, I got lazy and didn't go digging to see which of these is actually up for election this year or even separately elected from the Governor at all.

If you live in any of these states and were looking for something to do, I don't doubt there is a local Democratic candidate for State Leg who could use some help (hopefully a progressive).  Ohio in particular is really close, especially in the State House.  

Source on this is the unfortunately superior Republican Legislative Campaign Committee which has a way better map feature than the DLCC (which had a much better map in 2006, what happened?).  Also, info drawn from the bi-partisan National Conference of State Legislatures for info on which states have State Leg elections.

I didn't forget Governors, there seems to be only two races worth discussing, Washington and North Carolina, where pollster has both Dems narrowly leading.  Everything else (it is a light year for Gubernatorial races) is a lock for the incumbent party (Edit: Missouri is a lock to flip R to D h/t to Aaron Veenstra for the correction).

Since Governors have been the most successful at seeking the Presidency, having 29 Democratic Governors to the Republicans' 21 means a significantly stronger bench to draw from for 2016 and beyond.  

Also, in the event this Democratic wave leads (eventually) to any constitutional amendments (I can think of a couple I'd like to see), having a big lead in State houses will naturally help grease the wheels.  


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you're singing my tune (4.00 / 1)
http://www.bleedingheartland.c...

Besides the upcoming redistricting and the bench-building function, a lot of issues are decided at the state level, and we need Democrats running state legislative committees.

Also, your campaign donation goes further in a state legislative race than in a federal election campaign.

Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.


correction (4.00 / 1)
All the other gubernatorial races are locks, but Missouri is a lock to change from R to D.

oops right (0.00 / 0)
That's pretty cool actually, I bet Obama will get some coattails effect of that race, since Nixon is running even stronger than him.

[ Parent ]
Texas, Anyone? (4.00 / 2)
There's a 79-71 split for Republicans right now -- down from 88-62 after the 2002 election cycles. Democrats need to flip five seats, and there's a clear path to make it happen:

How TX Democrats Take Back the State House in 2008

If we get enough D's to elect a Speaker, we'll have a real shot at redistricting on our terms.

I know everyone forgets us -- but we're still here!


California (0.00 / 0)
We've got ballot props like Prop 8 (marriage) and Prop 4 (choice) and some hotly contested legislative races that get us closer to the 2/3 line to end the GOP's blockade on a reasonable budget.

http://stayforchange.info

Calitics.com: The progressive community blog for California.


Wisconsin Assembly (0.00 / 0)
I've been working for 18 months or so to help build a Democratic majority in Wisconsin's State Assembly.  We're three seats shy.  

Big agenda items if we win could include:
- universal healthcare bill
- progressive tax reform
- education investments
- begin repeal of gay marriage ban

And re-districting will be huge - we could potentially (ethically) get rid of two GOP-held seats.

If you want to throw a few (or a few hundred) bucks the way of making good things happen in Wisconsin in 2009 and beyond, you can do so here, the ActBlue page for the Democratic Party of the 2nd Congressional District, of which I'm the chairman.


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