Does anyone have a good feeling for an upset in this one? Last thing I saw was that Wulsin was making some progress in closing the gap, but this is still considered crazy Jean's to lose. This is a very conservative part of a generally conservative state; I grew up in OH-3 (Dayton), which districtwide is fairly conservative itself, but nothing like further south and southwest in the state.
Wulsin has been leaving fundraising messages on my answering machine (and I'm in Maryland), so she's still definitely fighting. Despite her absence on the OLBD list of candidates, I'm considering sending her a few dollars, but if OH-2 is as red-down-to-its-roots as I think it is (like Tom DeLay's old TX district), I could see a successful Wulsin meeting the same fate in 2010 that probably awaits Nick Lampson in Texas this Tuesday. And if Wulsin manages to win this time, might she go hard right/Blue Dog after taking office, to keep her new job? If she were likely to do such a Chris Carney move, I'd rather not waste money trying to dislodge the crazy incumbent (maybe some grass roots organizational build-up in OH-2 would be worth considering instead).
A bit rambling (apologies), but I'm having a heckuva time reading the situation there. Any better informed analysis would be welcome.
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