The final update of the poll average of seven daily trackers brings some firsts:
1. This is the first time in the months long history of the tracking poll average that Barack Obama has exceeded 51 percent. He broke through 50 percent many times, especially in the last month, but never exceeded 50.7 percent until today.
2. The number of undecided or third party voters has dipped below 5 percent for the first time ever. If John McCain converts all of them to his side he will still be behind.
3. The lead is at 7 for the first time in November (ha ha).
Significantly, while the number of undecideds has fallen in this average from 7.5 percent recently to 4.8 percent today Obama's support has actually moved upwards. McCain moved up a bit last week but as the graph above shows he appears to have hit a 44 percent ceiling. That's also the number the final Gallup poll estimates he'll finish at. Based on these last six days it appears the latest deciders may be breaking for Obama.
What do you think the final percentage gap will be?