House Results Thread (Updated)

by: Chris Bowers

Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 02:04


Democrats 257, Republicans 175, Undecided 3

Democratic Wins: AL-02, AL-05, AZ-01, AZ-05, CO-04, CT-04, FL-08, FL-24, GA-08, ID-01 (Minnick wins), IL-11, MD-01 (barely), MI-07, MI-09, NC-08, NH-01, NJ-03 (Adler late victory surge), NM-01, NM-02, NV-03, NY-13, NY-25, NY-29 (Massa wins), OH-01, OH-16, PA-03, PA-11, PA-12, VA-02, VA-05 (Perriello wins a squeaker!), VA-11

Tight (Within 5%): CA-04 (Brown down 451 votes with 100% reporting--no word on provisionals/absentees), WA-08 (Burner down 900 votes with 41% reporting)

Republican Wins: AK-AL, AL-03, AZ-03, CA-50, FL-13, FL-16, FL-18, FL-21, FL-25, IA-04, IL-10, IN-03, KS-02, KY-02, MN-02, MN-03, MN-06 (Bachman, blech), MO-09, NE-02, NJ-05, NJ-07, NV-02, NY-26, OH-02, OH-15, PA-15, SC-01, TX-07, TX-10, TX-22, VA-10, WY-01 (Trauner loses)

Districts yet to report: General election for LA-04 will occur in December

Note: If a race is not listed here, it is considered safe for the incumbent party. If any surprises occur, they will be added.

Chris Bowers :: House Results Thread (Updated)

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VA-05 (0.00 / 0)
This is weird, CNN called it for Goode, but now they have Perriello up by 2%.

Whoa (0.00 / 0)
CNN vote totals have Periello up 700 votes with 97% precincts reporting.  

[ Parent ]
According to DailyKos (0.00 / 0)
Shays has conceded! Progressive Jim Himes is the newest Congressman from CT-04.

IL-10 looks bad... (0.00 / 0)
54-46 with 50% reporting now...  Don't know if there's some stronghold of Seals support somewhere in the district, but those numbers don't look great to me.

Actually... (0.00 / 0)
It looks really bad right now...

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/20...

Kirk leads in both counties.. unless there's some majorly pro-Obama suburbs that aren't reporting yet, it looks pretty bad.


[ Parent ]
Adler won (NJ3), Stender (NJ7) lost (4.00 / 1)
I've got to say it's disappointing that once again we have no women in NJ's 15 members of Congress.  Shulman was just in a district that's too hard.

I hope the women do better in the close races elsewhere.  2006 was bad in that respect.

New Jersey politics at Blue Jersey.


Nye Defeats Drake in VA-2 (4.00 / 1)
He's extended his lead and not enough left for Drake to catch up.

Here is Virginia before tonight:

Red State
1 R, 1 D Senator
8 R, 3 D Congresspeople

NOW:

BLUE STATE
2 D Senators
6D, 5R Congresspeople!!!!!


Possibly alcohol affected (4.00 / 1)
But if President Obama can pass a healthcare plan good enough to make type 1 diabetics want to emigrate to America and I can get the necessary citizenship apparatus in place by 2012, I'll run against Jim Gerlach.

That said, I'd rather you redistrict him out.

Still, if needs must...

Just don't expect me to eat a cheesesteak. Steak is a waste of  money. Does anywhere in Philly serve a cheeseheart, perhaps?

Forgotten Countries - a foreign policy-focused blog


CNN says CA-26 (0.00 / 0)
For Dreier.  We had a real chance there for the first time in a long time.

we need to clean out the self-loathers. too bad. (0.00 / 0)
I HATE closet-cases with a purple passion!

For some reason, it seems that Obama has some pathological and deep-seated psychological need for Republicans to like him.  Seriously.  It's weird.

[ Parent ]
Gerlach Landslide! (0.00 / 0)
  He wins by four points!  Ridiculous.

John McCain lets lobbyists shape his economic policy

MN-3 Done Now Too (4.00 / 1)
What the hell Minnesota?

NY-24 (0.00 / 0)
5000 vote margin between Freshman D Mike Arcuri and his challenger. This seat was supposed to be safe, so it was ignored by the national party.

There are 8,000 uncounted absentee ballots that will determine the race.  


Whats CA-04 look like? (0.00 / 0)


Could be very close. (0.00 / 0)
U.S. House, 4th District
 Name Party Votes %
Tom McClintock  Republican 104,357 50.2%
Charlie Brown  Democratic 103,407 49.8%
45% of precincts reporting
Updated 11/04 11:05PM

I want to know what's going on in Alaska with 53.4% of precincts reporting, Young leads 50.6% - 45% and Stevens is still a bit ahead of Begich for the senate seat.  Hopefully Anchorage is slow to report (can't find Alaskan breakdowns by county or precinct)


[ Parent ]
Yeah (0.00 / 0)
Its pretty annoying that Alaska is all one county.

[ Parent ]
Franken within 74 votes... (4.00 / 1)
I think he'll eke it out... What are the recount rules of these places anyway?  MO seems almost definitely headed towards a recount for the presidential race.

Over 170,000 voters in the northern suburbs of Minneapolis (4.00 / 2)
(Bachmann's district) believe that liberals are anti-American, and that reelecting an intolerant moron is more important than sending a sending a light rail advocate to congress. Wonderful. Clearly, we've got our work cut out for us, because their sort of intolerance is intolerable.

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton

I'm calling it for Schauer in MI-07. (0.00 / 0)
   Unlike in 2006, we are winning our fair share of the absurdly close races.

John McCain lets lobbyists shape his economic policy

Burner up 52-48 with 21% reporting (0.00 / 0)
No idea which precincts are reporting.

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton

Ughh (0.00 / 0)
This is looking like a replay of 2006.

With about 35% of the 2006 vote total, Burner is up by 721 votes currently.

That's currently a lead of about 0.6%.

I have a bad feeling about this one.

This district is comprised of two counties (King and Pierce).  Burner lost King by about 300 votes and Pierce by about 7000 votes.


This is a tight one.... (0.00 / 0)
....my gut feeling is Burner loses by 3000 votes.  This is depressing.

I hope I'm wrong!

The numbers currently are a bit more optimistic than my gut (still 50/50 though).  The key to remember is that votes being tallied are a strange mixture of absentee votes and poll votes.  This leads to percentages and how they are distributed, as votes come in, to jump around a lot.

My Rough numbers:

***2006***
King County % of total vote: 81.1% (-0.15%  Darcy Loss)
Pierce County % of total vote: 18.9% (-14.83% Darcy Loss)

***Currently (with 35% of 2006 vote total)***
King County % of total vote: 74.3% (+2.98%  Darcy Lead)
Pierce County % of total vote: 25.67% (-5.6% Darcy Lag)


[ Parent ]
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