Merkley On Progressive Pressure, Pushing the White House & Backing Bankruptcy Reform

by: David Sirota

Fri Jan 16, 2009 at 18:16


Note: I'm slated to be on CNBC tonight at 8pm EST talking about the congressional negotiations over the TARP. Tune in.

I just got off the phone with Oregon Sen. Jeff Merkley (D), whose vote for the Bush-Obama Bailout puts him at odds with his campaign ads against such a bailout. Merkley is a Better Democrat, and a guy I genuinely like, admire and advocated for during the campaign (my column about him, for instance, was featured as the rebuttal piece to the Oregonian's editorial supporting Gordon Smith). So I was interested to hear why he could cast such a vote only weeks after taking such a strong stand against the bill he voted for.

David Sirota :: Merkley On Progressive Pressure, Pushing the White House & Backing Bankruptcy Reform
Merkley explained that because the bailout was legislatively engineered to let the president - sans a two-thirds veto override vote in Congress - effectively veto his way to whatever he wants,* he decided to back the bill and simultaneously exact a commitment out of the administration. Merkley said he's been in constant contact with top administration officials and that they have committed to him - both verbally and in writing - that they will devote a substantial portion of the new bailout money to helping homeowners.

I don't agree with Merkley's rationale - I believe he told voters he was against the bailout, and then proceeded to vote for that very same bailout, and I think in doing that, he does what I said in my original post: he starts his Senate career looking like he "epitomizes the worst kinds of images people have of politicians - those who sound like they're for "the folks" at election time, and then who sell out "the folks" once in Washington." He also officially goes on record supporting very bad economic policy.

However, I do think the strategy he described to me isn't some pre-fab, poll-tested apologism designed post-facto just to rationalize a vote for Big Money. I think he genuinely believes that using his vote to exact commitments out of the administration was his best option for helping homeowners under extremely rigid circumstances in which the new bailout-backing president was legislatively guaranteed to get his way anyway.

The problem, of course, is that without legislation mandating exactly how the bailout money should be used, there's a whole lot of ways for that money to be used to pay off the financial industry. As just one example, consider this series of posts (here, here and here) from the Center for Economic and Policy Research economist Dean Baker, which note that the major proposal floated to devote more bailout money to helping homeowners is a secret way to enrich banks:

"The Washington Post tells us that Representative Barney Frank, the head of the House Financial Services Committee, wants at least $40 billion of an any additional TARP funds to "help distressed homeowners." This is how Mr. Frank describes his agenda, but the proposes that he has supported would send checks to banks, not homeowners. Mr. Frank has endorsed the idea of paying banks considerably more than the market value for bad mortgages in order to allow homeowners to stay in homes in which they will have zero equity. If a bank gets $20k, 30k, or even more, and the homeowner ends up with nothing except a new mortgage that is equal to value of her home, it is difficult to see how this outcome is aiding the homeowner."

Merkley said he is going to push hard for legislation and vigorous congressional oversight that forces the administration to spend the money more transparently and in a way that does directly help homeowners, not banks. As Baker notes, the latter goal isn't rocket science: "For example," he writes, "the government could temporarily change the rules on foreclosure to require that homeowners facing foreclosure be given the opportunity to rent their home at the market rent for a substantial period of time."

Additionally, Merkley - who has a history of taking on banks - said he strongly supports legislation that would empower bankruptcy judges to force banks to renegotiate mortgages on terms that would prevent foreclosures. As we've been reporting here at OpenLeft, lawmakers are considering inserting this legislation into the economic stimulus package - a logical move considering the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has noted that current bankruptcy law is creating 32,000 economy-crushing foreclosures per quarter.

Most of the financial industry (sans Citigroup) opposes this measure, as it would mean that bankruptcy judges could compel them to make slightly lower profit margins on many of the predatory loans they made. With swing-state freshman senators like Merkley backing this idea - and with pressure from the progressive movement - it may have a shot at passing.

As I said to start, I really like Merkley, but I strongly disagree with him in his vote. There's a whole pressure system in Washington to take the regular-guy populists like Jeff Merkleys of the world and turn them into the moneyed-up Chuck Schumers who dominate the Senate - and that pressure system is deviously subtle, using non-binding letters and verbal "commitments" to make legislators think they aren't selling out to Big Money. I'm not saying the Obama team will back out of its commitments to Merkley, but I am saying that those commitments aren't in law - and so it's certainly possible.

All of that said, I think it's good that Merkley didn't try to pretend his vote yesterday looks completely consistent with his campaign statements - that suggests he has intellectually honest. And I think it's even better that Merkley's overall strategy on these issues involves holding the White House's feet to the fire, supporting legislation to direct some of the bailout money to the middle-class, and backing transformative bankruptcy reforms that are absolutely essential to addressing this crisis.

If he follows through on that strategy and leads the fight for accountability and bankruptcy reform (and you can bet I'll do my best to keep readers posted about whether he does), I think he will really show he is a Better Democrat, and really could represent a kind of Wellstone-ism that the Senate hates, but the country needs. As I told him when I talked to him today - and he agreed with me - we help him and our movement when we do our job by pressuring him, calling him out when we disagree with him, and backing him when he's championing our cause. In short, progressive pressure matters now more than ever.

* The original bailout bill allows the president to request the second $350 billion, and only permits Congress to pass a bill rejecting the request. Of course, the president can then veto that bill, meaning that without a two-thirds veto-override vote (a very, very rare occurrence) the president can effectively veto his way to the $350 billion.

UPDATE: Merkley has a new post up at DailyKos explaining his vote. Check it out.


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Some good news for a Change. (4.00 / 1)
I suppose.

Nice post (4.00 / 6)
Usually I just make snide comments when I disagree with your snide comments, so I thought I should toss in two cents when I like the post.


Hmm... (4.00 / 4)
And Donna Edwards voted for the bailout two months ago because she

"secured a pledge from him that he would "work to provide direct relief to homeowners facing foreclosure by enabling home mortgages to be dealt with in the context of personal bankruptcy and looking at a program such as one that existed in the 1930's to 1950's to work directly with homeowners to mitigate foreclosures."

http://patrickhenrypress.info/...

So let's make to keep track of these pledges.



but as of now that has not been put into the stimulus package (4.00 / 1)
Promisies are only promises, not are not binding. They can be broken.  Laws are binding

"Incrementalism isn't a different path to the same place, it could be a different path to a different place"
Stoller


[ Parent ]
"Laws are binding" (0.00 / 0)

[I'm never quite sure what level to set my cynicism at.  Should not trusting laws to be binding persuade one to be more for or against the bailout?)  


[ Parent ]
Not sure I get what you mean (0.00 / 0)
Yes I would be more for the release of the second half of the TARP funds ....if there was bill enacted by Congress detailing how the money was to be used and accounted for.  Of course I would have to think the bill  had things in it, that I thought would be good for the economy as a whole.  So Laws, and in particular good laws make me a lot less cynical...and secondly one can be gulled by promises, laws make obligations overt.   Trust alone without any compellance component is not how government should work.  

Now what does your little figure mean and where can I find one?

"Incrementalism isn't a different path to the same place, it could be a different path to a different place"
Stoller


[ Parent ]
Laughing (or giggling) (0.00 / 0)
The smiley is supposed to be laughing.  The first thing that jumped to my mind when you said "laws are binding" were the past eight Bush years; to me, laws don't seem all that binding at this level.  

Laws are only binding if they are enforced and we see how often that happens.  At the Senate and Presidential level the methods to enforce a law and the methods to enforce a promise aren't that different, particularly given that it doesn't actually happen.  (Laws may be 100x better, but 100x zero is still zero.)

You can see now why I spoke of cynicism.

But, of course, you are still correct in general.  "Laws make obligations overt," in particular, is dead on, evading my cynicism quite nicely.

The good news is Obama has the opportunity to prove the cynics wrong and actually carry through with his promises and obligations.  For the moment I'll assume he will.  (We cynics and idealists are really the same people, once you dig down deep.)

For the smilies, I googled around a few months back and found a site with Trillian smileys and Skype smileys..  Just right-click the one you want and copy the location.  Then add <img src=""/> to your post and paste the location between the quotes.

For example <img src="http://www.wackyb.co.nz/skype/smileys_v1.5.0.60/skype-wackyb-0139-1-bow.gif"/> produces .


[ Parent ]
Rick and Capt. Renault in Casablanca exemplify that perfectly (0.00 / 0)
(We cynics and idealists are really the same people, once you dig down deep.)

At one point in the 60's and 70's at the height of the anti war movement, Casablanca played in a continual loop at the Harvard Square theatre in Harvard Square during the week of finals.  It perfectly meshed with  the cynicism become idealism feelings that were so typical of that era's political participants.


"Incrementalism isn't a different path to the same place, it could be a different path to a different place"
Stoller


[ Parent ]
eh, back peddling (4.00 / 2)
But at least he talked to you.  I think he just made a huge  mistake, and that is in terms of strategy.  But he's right, regardless of the vote, Obama was going to get the money. (so why not vote your conscience?) I mean Obama isn't even sworn in and he was threatening a new Democrat congress, with a clear mandate....with a veto.

But a vote is a vote is a vote and the last thing I want to see is more political strategery to form alliances to gain momentum for future legislation and getting it passed.

Ya know?  That's precisely how the United States ended up passing things like NAFTA, the China PNTR, enabling offshore outsourcing of jobs, giving away jobs via guest worker Visas and the list goes on and on and on and on. (Iraq war vote anyone?)

The role to hell is not paved with good intentions, it's paved with strategery on future plans to influence policy.    

How about strategery of all of those true Populists/Progressives joining forces and taking over Congress and passing the real change and reforms which are based in solid economic reality.

(Changing the U.S. bankruptcy code is one of those much needed policy reforms)

Hey, we're heading into the worse wage-price deflation since the Great Depression and the bottom line on foreclosures is people cannot afford the prices of homes.

The median price of a home still does not come close to what the median U.S. income can afford.

People cannot afford the middle class lifestyle and that's due to global wage arbitrage, erosion of working rights, careers and it all goes back to bad policy decisions in D.C. (via pick a corporate whore lobbyist).

Somehow, somewhere the real representatives need to gain power enough to break this cycle and somehow I don't think that's starting off the game with a foul ball.  

NoSlaves.com  


The Economic Populist


Progressive pressure matters, because... (4.00 / 1)
Apparently "progressive pressure matters," because after some weasel like Merkley sells us out, he takes David Sirota's call, pisses in his ear, and tells him it's raining.

Get out your galoshes, progressives!

I forecast 4 long years of "rain."


Sad (0.00 / 0)
Um, I roundly criticized Merkley - both to him and publicly. The point is that Merkley said progressive pressure matters, not that Merkley calling me means progressive pressure matters.

When I sell out and start being nice to people simply because they call me - call me out. I'll deserve it. But that's never been who I am or what I've done - and I think my reputation and record speaks for itself.


[ Parent ]
I didn't say you sold out. (4.00 / 2)
"Wishful thinking" isn't the same as selling out.

But Merkley's excuse is lame, and just because Merkley says "progressive pressure matters," it ain't necessarily so.

Merkley sold out, not Sirota, but please...

Don't piss in my ear and tell me it's raining.


[ Parent ]
it's one vote (4.00 / 1)
so bringing up some pressure is probably the way to go.

The reality is the vote didn't matter.  The real vote, done originally on the bail out is what mattered.  Congress was completely derelict in duty and had already passed the TARP which gave a blank check to any Treasury Secretary.  

Now I agree, I was royally pissed on this vote because it was the first real vote and an important message sender, a precedent but one vote does not a record make.  

How about Harry Reid or Obama himself?  I mean we have policy, a legislative table coming up that is plain divorced from economic reality.  I'm sorry but it's incredibly infuriating.  

NoSlaves.com  


The Economic Populist


[ Parent ]
Meanwhile... (4.00 / 1)
While Merkley was voting for more of the same, Bank of America just got $138 billion from TARP and the Fed, and proved its "good faith" about re-opening credit by...

Forcing the liquidation of Circuit City and the loss of 31,000 jobs!

Circuit City filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Nov. 10, hoping to continue operating as it found a buyer.

The company said on Friday it will begin liquidating.

Analysts said the move was most likely spurred by its lenders, led by Bank of America Corp., which were becoming fearful that the company wouldn't be able to get rid of its merchandise before it would have to start vacating stores.



[ Parent ]
come visit us (4.00 / 2)
Over on The Economic Populist.  Believe me, I found this vote outrageous, so much so I wrote immediately an email to Merkley's office and we have been writing hundreds of posts on the bail out details as we find them.  

As far as circuit city goes, they screwed their workers awhile ago, fired them all, rehired some at a below living wage rate, notoriously suck ass in terms of service and so on....I think it's more of a case of yet another corporation running yet another company into the ground vs. related per say.  I feel bad for the workers but I felt bad for them awhile ago as I feel bad for all of the other workers who right now are getting shafted....badly.

Just yesterday I wrote BoA Gets $20 Billion Because They Bought a Turkey a chronicled a little of their lovely history, so I hear ya.

I also chastised David during the primaries because I knew this crap was coming and unfortunately everyone was caught up on the fiction of politics at the time and not paying attention to the real agendas, policies, people, money.  At least he seems to be back on track now.

NoSlaves.com  


The Economic Populist


[ Parent ]
Why not get Merkley to sponsor the Frank bill (4.00 / 1)
That would be a sign that he understands that it's laws that matter in a representative democracy, not promises.  Promises aren't worth more than the paper they're printed on...as someone above noted, Donna Edwards voted for the first TARP bill because Obama said he would put bankruptcy and mortgage relief in legislation.  Well he's not.  He is specifically keeping the mortgage bankruptcy court cramdown out of the stimulus bill.

"Incrementalism isn't a different path to the same place, it could be a different path to a different place"
Stoller


[ Parent ]
Frank's thing is not good either -- there are far better ways to keep (4.00 / 2)
people in their homes. Starting with a moratorium on foreclosures for some specified period, and/or fixing Biden's Bankruptcy horror, and/or forcing banks to change mortgage terms to reflect market value or something...

His thing further rewards banks by vastly overpaying them.


[ Parent ]
We need a law, not a promise (4.00 / 1)


"Incrementalism isn't a different path to the same place, it could be a different path to a different place"
Stoller


[ Parent ]
not trustworthy -- actions matter -- not words -- (4.00 / 2)
It's beyond foolish to trust what any politician says -- what they do, and don't do, is what matters -- always.

The American public is firmly against giving more billions to banks and Wall St.

Politicians should be listening to us first and foremost -- they work for us -- when they harm us with their actions, there should be a price to be paid.

This guy's "strategy" is not at all "holding the White House's feet to the fire, supporting legislation to direct some of the bailout money to the middle-class, and backing transformative bankruptcy reforms that are absolutely essential to addressing this crisis." -- if it was, we would have seen at least some real concrete action taken to further that strategy.  


On fivethirtyeight.com (0.00 / 0)
Nate Silver has a post which probably mirrors a lot of how I think about this, in response to things written by Sirota.

Things You Don't Talk About in Polite Company: Religion, Politics, the Occasional Intersection of Both

it's entirely ideological tho -- (4.00 / 2)
Handing this much money to corporations is entirely ideological -- and the lack of oversight or anything in return for it is as well. That this is the second time it's being done, and just part of trillions being given to them -- and is against the express will of the American people -- is also.

Even voting for or against this for purely political or strategic reasons is ideological.

None of these ideologies tho, value us, our money, our government's role and responsibility, or our needs, etc -- they all wholly disregard them, in fact -- and make other expenditures going forward that could help us far less likely.


[ Parent ]
Nate Silver is an excellent statistician (4.00 / 1)
And poll expert.

But not a policy guy, and not someone who has ever really shown a strong understanding of the ideological landscape of America.

Republicans like Coburn don't like the bailout because they don't like the idea of using government money to help anyone. Progressives don't like the bailout because they don't like the idea of using government money to help corporations - which, in contrast to Silver's claims, ARE inherently evil by their structure and by the regulatory system they operate within.

Corporate Democrats and Corporate Republicans love the bailout because it enables other corporations to grow even larger.

Silver usually doesn't grasp the role of economics in determining ideology or political behavior.


[ Parent ]
I don't think you're appreciating his point (0.00 / 0)
I understood he was pointing out the ramifications of people switching their votes.  He asked whether it was more likely that people like Barbara Boxer, John Kerry and Tom Harkin, who permitted the recent bailout to go through, had suddenly become corrupt, pro-corporate types, or whether it was more likely that their earlier stance against the bailout was purely political.  His point is that some of the criticism of the Democrats' now tends to the demogogic.

I think he makes a good point, and that's entirely apart from the merits of these bailouts.


[ Parent ]
Problem Is (4.00 / 4)
Merkley's talking like he wants to be a dealmaker, but he doesn't have the clout to do that.  As you say, David, he's taking this all on faith, which is not how law is made.

At this point, just entering the Senate, what he does have is the opportunity to stand out as an independent populist voice--something that resonates pretty well in Oregon.  

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


he could be (0.00 / 0)
unfortunately the Senate is like some of Frat boy's club pecking order from hell.  The Freshman get their Haze week.  

But that said, Merkley's background, he's probably used to deal making.  I'm going to let the new guy have this initial screw up.  Let's see if he gets his bearings in there.

I think Jon Tester for the first 6 months in the Senate looked like a Deer in the headlights.  ;)


NoSlaves.com  


The Economic Populist


[ Parent ]
That would be no (4.00 / 1)
You campaigned against this and many of us donated money to you at least partly on that basis. I agree with David Sirota, this is why people are cynical about politicians. Frankly I feel much the same about Donna Edwards vote for the first tranche.

"Trust me" is not a way to run the government. We all hope the President Obama will act in better faith than Shrub but depending on the good will of office holders is not the way our government is supposed to function.

Get it in writing where we can all see it and it can be evaluated and enforced if necessary. I know time is short and you don't want to unduly tie the President's hands so there is no flexibility but I sincerely hope you can do better than this.

For what it's worth, I do very much appreciate your coming here to address this issue though.


Oops (0.00 / 0)
Sorry my bad, thought I was on his Kos diary.

[ Parent ]
How could anyone believe or trust Summers? (4.00 / 1)
Seriously.

Robert Scheer: Why the Rush on TARP 2?
-- http://www.thenation.com/doc/2...

... given that Summers is personally as responsible for this meltdown as anyone, why should we trust him on this? Yes, it sounds wonderfully bipartisan that Obama is backing President Bush's request for spending the money now, short-circuiting congressional inquiry, but it was just that sort of bipartisan politics that created this nightmare.

How insulting that we must now accept Summers's assurance that the Obama administration will "move quickly to reform a weak and outdated regulatory system to better protect consumers, investors and businesses." This from the guy who, as President Bill Clinton's treasury secretary, pushed the deregulation legislation making the subsequent financial crimes of Wall Street legal. The "toxic derivatives" that we taxpayers are now forced to purchase from the Wall Street hustlers were deliberately shielded from all government regulation, thanks to the Commodity Futures Modernization Act, which Summers got Congress to pass in the closing days of the Clinton administration with the same urgency that he now pushes for the new Wall Street handout.  ...



I might be able to "trust", IF (0.00 / 0)
Obama hadn't of surrounded himself with Clintonites.  It was Clinton and the same people around Obama that passed all of Reagan's class warfare schemes.    

They're asking for another four years -- in a just world, they'd get 10 to 20. ~~ Dennis Kucinich  

[ Parent ]
Word of caution (0.00 / 0)
I know this is not popular, but we need to be really careful that these measures to "prevent foreclosures" don't turn into rewards for people who bought houses they couldn't afford, or a poke in the eye to people who are still renting and waiting for prices to be realistic.

I actually like the bankruptcy judge idea, because at least the homeowner has to endure the hurdle and pain of bankruptcy to get his/her principal written down, but things like the Frank proposal and the "let them rent forever AFTER they've been foreclosed" ideas seem ridiculous. If a house is foreclosed on, it WILL be sold unless it is in some crazy economically depressed area like Detroit.

But here in LA, foreclosed houses sell constantly once the price is right. Just because someone bought a house at inflated prices in 2006 doesn't mean that house should be theirs to live in forever.


I wouldn't be too worried about that (0.00 / 0)
This is a rather large problem.  Its perfectly reasonable to want to slow down the glut of foreclosures as the system probably can't handle it.

Letting them be sold too fast and pricing mechanisms to get out of whack would only hurt the stability of an economy that doesn't need any more hurting.

Such measures like that would have the effect of probably preventing future crises as banks would have to keep prices of homes in line with renting.

That being said its perfectly understandable that democrats views will change as the reality of having a democratic majority sinks in.  People don't vote on issues for this very reason.  They vote for someone whom they think has a character similar to them and trust them to handle things in a similar way.

http://transgendermom.blogspot....


[ Parent ]
This is why (0.00 / 0)
Obama's refusal to hold Bush and his cronies accountable bothers me. It shows Obama isn't particularly hung up on the notion of "the rule of law" - otherwise he would have no problem being bound by it in the form of a Congressional bill.

NotBush isn't the same as change.


The Village Rules (0.00 / 0)
The legislative process must have changed in the US!   Congress writes a stern letter, the President either ignores it or asks his adviser to write a commitment letter and we are all happy!  Way to go ...


David, I saw you on CNBC (0.00 / 0)
A few minutes after 8est. They treated you horribly. They were ignoring what you said not listening. They were jerks.

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