| Since I was still in Iowa on Monday morning, I went to Hillary's speech on health care. It was a bit of a flashback feeling for me, as I heard her give about a thousand speeches on health care when I served as part of the health care team in the Clinton White House in 1993-94. (You can read my analysis of what went wrong here.)
There is nothing I want to do more than get health care reform passed. It's very personal for me: I have had two very close friends die because they had no health insurance, and being a diabetic I know how capricious the system is when people have "pre-existing conditions." But you can't live in this country and not know how our screwed-up system hurts just about everybody in it except insurance and drug companies.
But there's one other reason the issue haunts me and drives me. Being part of that health care fight in 1993-94 was an experience that I can never forget. I don't like losing, especially when the stakes are this high, and unlike elections where you have another chance to win just two years down the road, a chance at getting something this big and complicated done comes along only once a generation. So we better get it right this time.
I think Hillary's new proposal is pretty damn good. I still think, have always thought, a Canadian-style single-payer system is the best way to go policy-wise, but that ain't happening absent a miracle, and Hilary's proposal is pretty sound policy-wise in terms of doing the things a health reform policy should do: it covers everybody, cuts costs and improves quality. And there's no one in the country who knows more about health policy than Clinton- she is pretty amazing in that regard.
The big question is the political decisions one has to make to actually pass a bill, because as not only the Clintons, but also LBJ, Truman, FDR and even Nixon learned, passing a bill to achieve universal coverage is a hell of a lot tougher than proposing one. Clinton has made three major political decisions about this proposal:
1. Emphasize the "do no harm" element. The first thing in her proposal is to announce, emphasize, repeat and hammer home the idea that if you like your current health plan, you are free to stick with it. Emphasizing this up front, and over and over again, is a clear way of saying she is not going to be "Harry and Louised" again, allowing opponents to distort small details of a big piece of legislation to make it seem like everything they do like about their current health care coverage is going to be taken away.
2. Keep it simple. The "health alliances" (regional health cooperatives) we proposed in 1993-94 were hideously complicated contraptions, virtually impossible to explain to average folks who get most of their information about politics in small sound bites and 30-second ads. The new plan doesn't create new agencies or cooperatives, thusly, it is a whole lot easier to explain.
3. Buy off small business. One of the major reasons we lost the fight in 1993-94 was the white heat of opposition from the small business community that freaked out about an employer mandate. Hillary has decided to wave the white flag on this one, buying small business off with big tax-credit subsidies, and not asking anything of them by imposing a mandate to cover their employees.
From a policy point of view, like I said, my first choice would be single-payer. My second choice would be a mandate that every business had to contribute something toward covering their employees, even if you have to give them a subsidy to do it. But taking some of the intensity off small business opposition (nothing will take it away completely because the National Federation of Independent Business and the Chamber of Commerce are run by right-wing ideologues) does make political sense.
There is plenty to pick at in this plan, as there is in any health reform proposal. But no one knows this issue like Hillary does, and no other politician I have ever met has the fire in the belly to take this on and make it such a high priority. The lessons she learned form the 1993-94 debacle are good ones, I think, and are reflected in the political decisions she made in this plan. I had been afraid, frankly, that the lessons she had learned would be that she should be hyper-cautious and not be ambitious in taking on this issue, but having seen the plan, I no longer worry about that. It's not everything I would want, but it's an ambitious plan that achieves the big goals in a politically savvy way. |