Iowa Pieces Falling Into Place For Obama

by: Chris Bowers

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 20:58

While Dodd won't make a second-choice endorsement, it looks like Kucinich won't be the only second-tier candidate providing a boost to Obama:

Barack Obama has already begun shoring up support among the lower-tier candidates who lack the money or poll numbers to be serious contenders in the early primary states, such as Iowa, and Offthebus hears that "agreements" with these candidates may be announced soon.(…)

Offthebus chatted with one of the Biden's national consultants who wanted to remain anonymous:

"A decision will be made tomorrow about who we'll encourage our supporters to stand behind if we aren't viable in a precinct. Right now, I'd guess Obama gets our support because we're more inline with his vision of foreign policy than any of the other candidates, and besides, we like him and how he's run his campaign."(…)

Off-the-bus spoke with a national Obama staffer who confirmed, "We've heard that Richardson may also be telling his supporters to caucus for Barack if they aren't viable. Nothing definitive but there's a trend going on," she added with a smile. Ah, that's an understatement.(…)

None of the campaigns I spoke with - on or off the record - are prone to hand their support over to John Edwards, who is busy today flying around the state for his final push to win - and therefore, survive until New Hampshire, where his poll numbers continue to fall far behind either Clinton or Obama.

With the most recent polls trending in favor of Obama, the pieces really seem to be falling into place for him now. There are those who argue that the pro-Obama polls are based on unrealistic turnout expectations, but I believe the record-smashing amount of resources campaigns have spent in Iowa will make those predictions more or less true. Further, there are very good reasons to believe that, because of the demographics of holiday travel, Obama is doing even better than polls suggest, not worse.

The wind seems to be blowing for Obama right now. That is also the word I hear on the street. (Note that by "street," I actually mean "in my head.")

Chris Bowers :: Iowa Pieces Falling Into Place For Obama

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Biden support still uncertain (0.00 / 0)
Ambinder has a Biden spokesmen who denies this. Of course that doesn't mean it is not true. And I agree, things do seem to be falling into place for Obama.


Hey I'm Convinced It's Fact (0.00 / 0)
After all the author of the piece Beverly Davis got the info from offthebus who happens to be not a person but a section on the elections at the Huffington Post that hosts an untold number of writers, most of who I guess are not even in Iowa! And then this came via leaning over a New Years Eve barstool and supposedly getting the info from some inebriated anonymous staffer/consultant.

Sounds convincing to me.

Full Disclosure: I'm certain no devalued US dollars passed hands for this, what reads to be, puff piece.



[ Parent ]
Thanks (4.00 / 2)
Not only for the hard work you put in, but also for this:

The wind seems to be blowing for Obama right now. That is also the word I hear on the street. (Note that by "street," I actually mean "in my head.")

Smiling widely . . . .

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Just what I thought ... (4.00 / 1)
Chris, you never cease to crack me up.

[ Parent ]
Step outside (0.00 / 0)

If you just step outside, I'll wander your place and tell you how great Obama is doing.  We can even stand in the middle of the street, so you don't have to accuse yourself of hearing voices.

My job is not to represent Washington to you, but to represent you to Washington- Obama
Philly for Obama

[ Parent ]
Cue.... (4.00 / 1)
Cue posts from "tha hatahs"  about how our loss and destruction and hopelessness is imminent with a victory by the "phony and stupid" Obama.  Obama may figure out how to get people's votes, but they haven't figured out how to get one slice of the coalition's votes.....and THAT is the tragedy.

Chris's tone is amicable, admirable and effective - if Obama wins tomorrow.  We're in a coalition here.  A coalition. 

Thank you for that post. (0.00 / 0)
Well said, and I agree 100%!

[ Parent ]
Armando at talk left is floating a new meme from Camp Hillary (4.00 / 1)
The Repugs are gaming the election in Iowa for Obama, so it causes havoc. That is not verbatim, but is the gist of it, they leave big holes so as it floats around the internets they get filled up. Some other blogs have already picked it up.  LMAO......

[ Parent ]
That's hilarious (4.00 / 2)
If Republicans were that coordinated, they'd have already picked a nominee for themselves.

Things You Don't Talk About in Polite Company: Religion, Politics, the Occasional Intersection of Both

[ Parent ]
Armando seems to be extremely prejudiced against Obama (4.00 / 1)
One can only speculate upon why he dislikes Obama so vehemently, but it's quite obvious.  No doubt he's blowing a gasket right now, because I just posted a link to this story.  :-)

[ Parent ]
Just stop (0.00 / 0)
Stop with the nonsense ("hatahs").  Just take Obama's victory and be happy.  This silly attempt at mockery is beyond stupid.

[ Parent ]
wake up (0.00 / 0)
too subtle for you, I guess. It refers to some who like to pepper their posts with slang.

So you're playing cop. You don't have the foggiest idea who I am.  I insulted nobody specifically, which is more than you just did.  I call that hypocrisy.

By the way, I'm for Edwards, though it's really a toss up with Obama for me.  Sorry.

[ Parent ]
We Will See OL (4.00 / 1)
Maybe the polls are right, maybe they are wrong.

Weatherman (4.00 / 1)
"It doesn't take a weatherman to tell which way the wind is blowing" -- but anything can happen in Iowa.  I still think Hillary will pull it out, and I'm for Obama.  Iowa is a windy place where trends & change goes to die.

Richardson Campaign Response (4.00 / 4)
Hi this is Joaquin with the Richardson Campaign and the rumor is false- there are no deals.  These are typical last minute election shenanigans.

Joaquin H. Guerra
Richardson for President

Yup. (0.00 / 0)
Yeah, I don't think either Biden or Richardson had any plans to shift their weight for a certain candidate.

However, even if they do endorse Obama, it's too late now -- it's already voting time. :)

Anyone else as excited as I am? What a kickass primary season thus far, eh? So much drama.
I like my politics to resemble cheesy midday soap operas.

[ Parent ]
Last Zogby poll out this AM. (0.00 / 0)
Latest and last Zogby poll from Iowa shows Obama now with the lead.Obama gains +5, Hillary is down 7 pts and Edward is up +2. So Hilarry is sliding down and might come out third in Iowa.

Obama  31%
Edwards 27%
Hillary 24%

Chris I think you are right.

[ Parent ]
Barack Obama the 44th president. (0.00 / 0)
I liked the sound of that.  :-)

Richardson Set to Send Obama Second-Choice Support


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