Search engine optimization (0.00 / 0)

Well I'm on the case for Huckabee.

We need a good McCain article though.  I would switch to McCain googlebombing if I had a good article running down his bad points.

---

by: Daniel De Groot @ Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:04:59 AM CST

Pshaw!!!!!! its Edwards (4.00 / 2)

The second choices are falling to Edwards, the late choosers are falling Edwards, the room's excitement will fall to Edwards, the outlier counties will fall to Edwards, the non -viables finally will move to Edwards.
Those are my predictions, watch for John as One, Obama as Two and Hillary coming in three.

But wait till they scratch their heads.

Change
"We must break up the banks and never again let them get so big that they distort our politics and take down the economy.

---

by: HousesofProgress @ Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:08:06 AM CST

I can't see Hillary quitting (0.00 / 0)

I can't see Hillary quitting even if she fails to take 1st place in IA, NH, and SC.  She has the money, the organization, and the toughness to keep going to some of the larger state where there are substantial Democratic suburban populations and the advantages aren't so clear.

A longer primary battle would be a good thing IMHO - if nothing else the media would have to take notice of Edwards.

sPh

---

by: sphealey @ Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:08:28 AM CST

top 3 or 4 will go through Feb 5th (0.00 / 0)

alot can happen, an opponent could make an unexpected mistake creating a giant opening.  It would be foolish for any of them to quit.  The electorate is very unsettled, I don't think there will be the herd towards one candidate like what occured in 2004, or I could be totally whacked.  In fact I remember Clinton still campaigning well into April in New York against Jerry Brown back in 1992.(early March in today's terms)

---

by: gaspare @ Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:22:12 AM CST

[ Parent ]

Edwards will win, faith can't be broken (0.00 / 0)

hard to argue with the momentum in the polls, although several caveats are the contradiction of several polls, a possible Wilder effect in Iowa, Clinton and her 500 volunteer army, Edwards strength in the rural areas.

The outcome will be studied for days.

Without a doubt the campaign that has created the superior organization to turnout voters in Iowa will win.  As far as message goes they seem to have split Iowa into 3, you can't say that any one of the campaign's messages is dominating in Iowa.  We'll know soon enough.

PS a McCain victory will not be all that problematic, he's put his foot in his mouth several times already, his speaking style is drab but the villagers may be content to shower him with money lest they lose the White House.

---

by: gaspare @ Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:16:55 AM CST

Prognostications (0.00 / 0)

The resdt of us had to vote yesterday, but I think you are right in discerning trends toward both Obama and Huckabee, and Hillary possibly falling to 3rd.  I still think it will be close, and hope for a big turnout on our side and small on theirs to send a message.

OTOH, I think that IA has less impact on NH this year because of a variety of factors, including the noise from 2 competitive races, the multiplicity of candidates, and the closeness of the primaries.  Huckabee will be savaged by the GOP establishment, boosting both McCain and Romney, but he will still win SC and be viable through Feb 5. 

On the Dem side, the top 3 will also fight through Feb 5.  If Obama does win IA by a couple of points, I think McCain won't take as much from him.  McCain is 8 years older, and that means 8 years of new voters at the polls.  If Hillary is 3rd, Obama will get a closer look from more moderate GOPers who have reconciled to her winning, because I think they all know none of the GOPers can win this time.  Especially if the Huckster is surging. If Obama wins IA and comes in 1st or 2d in NH, he will be in good shape going into Feb 5, but I would not discount the impact of Hillary's money and organization.  But at that point he has to be seen as the less establishment of the two, if not the more progressive.  Certainly his whole message deserves serious scrutiny, especially his "poast-partisanship," IF he does suceeed in getting many crossover and Indy votes.

Finally, I would not count Romney out as readily as Trapper John does, because I think that after Huckabee wins SC, he will get much GOP establishment support and he has a whole lot of money.  Again, it won't resolve until at least Feb 5.

John McCain--He's not who you think he is.

---

by: Mimikatz @ Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:50:49 AM CST

So you're predicting an Edwards win in Iowa? (0.00 / 0)

How does he survive even a second place finish?

I guess he could skip New Hampshire, and try to build a South Carolina firewall, but I don't know how well that will work, considering that he's relatively far behind there.

---

by: Valatan @ Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 13:20:00 PM CST

[ Parent ]