Final New Hampshire Polling Averages

by: Chris Bowers

Tue Jan 08, 2008 at 13:21


( - promoted by Matt Stoller)

With twelve different polling organizations conducting New Hampshire polls after Iowa, including five daily tracking polls, reporting individual polls has been pointless. The past five days, New Hampshire was probably the most polled state in any four day stretch, ever. This should be a sign to expect even more polling in the 2008 election than the 2004 election. That's fine by me.

Here is the current range of averages, first for Democrats:

Obama: 36.7%--39.0%
Clinton: 29.9%--31.0%
Edwards: 18.2%--18.6%
Richardson: 5.4%--5.7%

Obama's low average is 5.7% clear of Clinton's high average. Without question, he will win tonight. And now for Republicans:

McCain: 31.8%--34.2%
Romney: 27.5%--28.2%
Huckabee: 11.2%--12.2%
Giuliani: 8.3%--9.8%
Paul: 7.6%--8.2%
Thompson: 2.0%--2.3%

Romney's high-end average comes within 3.6% of McCain's low end average. There is little momentum for either candidate right now, so it looks like McCain has it but by a smaller margin than Obama. Paul vs. Giuliani for fourth, or even third, is an interesting storyline.
Chris Bowers :: Final New Hampshire Polling Averages

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