Cue Colbert "I called it" balloons on 15 days instead of 30.
We'll see if the President has the stones to veto it. I suspect he does not, despite his threat to veto a 30-day extension.
What this should do is prove to members of a weak-kneed caucus that we can beat those who want to shred the Constitution, and we don't have to acquiesce to their every demand. Republicans are feeling unexpected heat, and if the PAA portion of FISA ends up expiring there is a recognition on the GOP side of the aisle that the fallout might just land in their laps. I firmly believe this comes in part from the netroots solid pushback in Congress and with the press.
What will happen next? My best guess is that we'll cave on the issue of 50 votes vs. 60 for germane amendments and face down another cloture vote that doesn't end as well as the first one from yesterday.
Winning an 18-month extension (the best we can do?), might just depend on Dodd's willingness to draw this thing out, and Pelosi's resolve not to give in on the issue.