( - promoted by Chris Bowers)
Update 7--New Obama Voters Breaking For Donna Edwards: Here is an exciting thought for progressives: the new primary voters who are coming out for Barack Obama are also going to result in a progressive defeat of an incumbent member of Congress in a primary. Al Wynn's numbers are stagnant from 2006, while Donna's have skyrocketed. There is massive movement building potential here.
Update 6--Donna continues domination: More precincts. PG-13-06: in 2006 it was 463-265 Wynn, and in 2008 it went 568-513 for Edwards. PG-13-04 went 260-250 Wynn in 2006, but in 2008 it went 469-299 for Edwards. Turning into a rout. Brutal but awesome. Matt is experiencing something he feels unfamiliar with--winning. It took him a while to identify the feeling. It was vaguely reminiscent of August 8th, 2006. The Connecticut for Lieberman Party has not yet endorsed Al Wynn.
Update 5--Edwards dominating early returns in MD-04: Donna Edwards is up 55-41 in early returns for MD-04 (6% in). Every precinct coming in is showing at least 10% for improvement for Edwards from 2006. This is looking very, very good. Both an Obama and an Edwards winning--who would have thunk it?
Update 4--Obama takes clear popular lead: I can now project that after tonight, Barack Obama will be ahead of Hillary Clinton in pledged delegates even with Florida and Michigan included, and even with Obama receiving zero delegates from Michigan. He will also probably pass Clinton even in the popular vote count most favorable to her. Obama is now clearly the new leader in the nomination campaign, but Wisconsin looms nest week.
Update 3--Voting Mess In MD-04: Matt reports on some disturbing news.
Update 2--Obama wins Maryland: CNN and MSNBC both project Maryland for Obama. At first look, the exit poll shows a margin of about 62%-36%, but that always changes. Similar voting patterns to Virginia in terms of religious service attendance and education, but neither of those crosstabs are further divided along ethnic lines. Don't know when we should start expecting Maryland 4th results, but along with delegate counts that is the only drama left tonight.
Update: Commenter mattw has a cool chart that projects a 54-29 delegate count from Virginia as of 9:05 p.m. eastern. the number 62.5% is particularly crucial in most congressional districts, but 70% is crucial in CDs 4, 7 and 10. Use this chart for further reference on how delegates are apportioned by at the congressional district level.
First Potomac Primary returns thread here.
Maryland 4th Results
Democratic Presidential Results