Tonight: The Palin Scandals versus the Conservative Backlash

by: Matt Stoller

Wed Sep 03, 2008 at 19:42


With yet more scandals around Palin, including her firing of a police chief who 'stepped' on her campaign contributors, the question tonight is whether independent voters will meet this young, attractive and charismatic woman and believe her story about being a small town mayor and reformer in Alaska who is being criticized solely because the media and political establishments hate outsiders.  This photo is being passed around over email, with obvious class overtones, just as the irritation of Republican elites with the Palin choice was picked up accidentally over a microphone on MSNBC.

That is the bet Jay Rosen and Digby speaks of, it's a bet on backlash and anger towards the political elite.  It's tough to make this work, even if this speech is powerful.  More scandals around Palin are going to emerge, and it is too difficult to inoculate a Republican when there are open systems involved by portraying her opponents as elitists.  But it is possible, and depends on how the Obama camp reacts.

Normally this is the partisan meat convention night, when only activists and political junkies are watching.  People are incredibly hungry for information about Palin, so this is probably going to be a heavily viewed speech by all sorts of people, not just your standard activist crowd.  So her speech, which is heavy on resentment and attacks, may not play particularly well to an audience of independents who just want to know who she is.  She'll be introduced tonight as an angry, resentful, and defensive VP pick that the media doesn't like.

Maybe that'll work, I don't know.  This country is really pissed off.  On the other hand, there are real questions about her qualifications, and she might just come off looking like she doesn't want to answer them.

Matt Stoller :: Tonight: The Palin Scandals versus the Conservative Backlash

Tags: , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
Elites (0.00 / 0)
That is the bet Jay Rosen and Digby speaks of, it's a bet on backlash and anger towards the political elite.

And of course also a bet that the public will fail to make the connection that Ted Stevens is an example of the political elite...


Well (0.00 / 0)
this is the standard GOP playbook, running against the press and the establishment, but the amazing thing is, Palin doesn't have to pretend that she's an outsider and a non-elite, as that photo alone demonstrates.

I seem to one of the few progressives still unsure that Palin is a plus for us. She could have huge appeal not just among the Republican base but among people who don't snicker knowingly when they see that photo. And then you've got the arguably sexist critique of her mothering, and low expectations, and you start to see a conservative folk hero in the making.


I think they are making a mistake (4.00 / 3)
This definition building and image craft takes time. The problem is it will need reinforcement. McCain as a limited amount of funds. He will need the press to do it for him. I think she's going to give a great speech that 2 weeks out will not have made any difference at all.

[ Parent ]
Is that photo for real? (0.00 / 0)
Has anyone "vetted" that photo? Seriously, this is a conservative candidate?

Prairie State Blue Covering Illinois Democratic politics.

On a second viewing (0.00 / 0)
I think it's a fake.


[ Parent ]
err (4.00 / 1)
that photo is very clearly fake and I'm not quite clear what point Matt is trying to make with it

[ Parent ]
The point (4.00 / 2)
I think, is that people are trying to dismiss her on superficial and rather demeaning grounds instead of on the many legitimate issues to choose from.

John McCain opposes the GI Bill.

[ Parent ]
A speech that's (4.00 / 4)
heavy on resentment and attacks and delivered in a major venue only works if its given by someone with some weight, a known quantity. Otherwise it's just embarrassing whining. If the speech is as described, I predict it will just make her and the Republicans look even more flaky -- at least to anyone who's still undecided. I just don't see the mood being such that the fine smalltown family values bullshit is going to fly. We'll see.

One line I haven't heard from anyone yet (0.00 / 0)
something like "Maybe you're CAPABLE of looking past all of these scandals, but why does John McCain think you should have to?"

John McCain opposes the GI Bill.

I really can't stand (4.00 / 1)
the spectacle of Tom Brokaw and Tweety and the rest getting defensive over their coverage of Palin.

They're so think skinned it's embarrassing. It tells me that McCain's working the refs is going to work.


Yes, but they were always gonna (4.00 / 4)
work the refs. They were always gonna play the resentment card against the latte liberal coastal elite. They were always gonna get a fired-up base, when presented with Obama killing fetuses.

What did she buy McCain that Huckabee, say, wouldn't?

Three horrible news cycles, and a distraction at the convention, and an estrangement from the press--even if only a temporary one. And rumbles of trouble with the Republican elite.

I think they can salvage Palin, if 'salvage' means 'she won't damage the ticket'. But if you're seeing net positives, I dunno. At least a little damage to the perception of McCain's temperment is done, I think.


[ Parent ]
Work Them Back Then! (4.00 / 1)
Instead of whining about how the Republicans are working the refs and abusing the press, just go right back at the press from out end.  If the press is going to buckle to GOP pressure, make it a no-win proposition by making sure that they get our displeasure.  This is one area where we can't afford to allow Republican behavior to continue.  

[ Parent ]
Brokaw's a disaster (4.00 / 3)
He just declared that unless there's something more, "much more," Troopergate and all these other things won't matter. Brokaw's constantly either uninformed or riding the tire swing ... and will be a debate moderator.

Never in my wildest dreams did I think I'd miss Pumpkinhead...

"Don't take much, does it, elected Democrats, to get your balls tucked up." Cf.


[ Parent ]
Huh (4.00 / 1)
Wasn't it just a week or so ago that McCain was expressing such dislike for Brokaw that he was considering pulling out of the Brokaw-moderated debate? Maybe Brokaw realized whose good graces he needs to get into...

[ Parent ]
Gwen Ifill (4.00 / 3)
Fortunately, Gwen Ifill will be the moderator at the VP debate.  Being a woman, she'll be able to get away with more, suffering less backlash, than a male moderator could.

[ Parent ]
oh fuck, lord please, not again! (0.00 / 0)
if she actually knew english maybe there would be hope.

Michael Bloomberg, prince of corporate welfare

[ Parent ]
Clearly (0.00 / 0)
Your display of perfect grammar reinforces your point.

John McCain opposes the GI Bill.

[ Parent ]
come again (0.00 / 0)
where is my grammatical error?

Michael Bloomberg, prince of corporate welfare

[ Parent ]
I think part of the problem with the Internet and instant media is that people (4.00 / 1)
get caught up. Why do you think it's going to work? because of the fact it might work tonight? It has to work for the next 60 days. More than that, McCain has to work for the next 60 days, and it has to do so and overcome a deficit. How does tonight change that dynamic?  

[ Parent ]
that photo! (0.00 / 0)
can I order that poster size? that's priceless!

Michael Bloomberg, prince of corporate welfare

Mitt's actually making the conservative point on the economy as well as it can be made (0.00 / 0)
I guess he's finally found something that he's passionate about.  

Though I LOVE that the PBS guys are laughing at him now (0.00 / 0)


[ Parent ]
What are they laughing about? (0.00 / 0)


[ Parent ]
Mittens made a comment on the 'liberal judges' (4.00 / 2)
And the PBS team's response was basically: "The Roberts court!?  Sam Alito?!  Really?"

[ Parent ]
man I wish Mitt was the nominee (0.00 / 0)
this would be a better fight, and I like the left's nick name for him a lot better than McSame, which has an appropriate grating quality, but it doesn't make me chuckle like "mittens". And I also enjoyed watching Romney try to "get down" with black folks. that was a joy. McDork won't even try.

Michael Bloomberg, prince of corporate welfare

[ Parent ]
This choice of Plain has been inflicted upon the American people by an impulsive (4.00 / 3)
craven, reckless old man who clearly will say and do anything to get this job.

That's how I intend to respond to any whining I hear about the MSM, blogs, or about 'those mean old Democrats' by any Republicans who would bring up the subject in front of me.


I'm using the line (0.00 / 0)
"McCain didn't do his homework. If he had, none of this would've happened."

Not even hardcore Republicans have a comeback for that one.

Montani semper liberi


[ Parent ]
Im watching the woman following Huckabee (0.00 / 0)
she is terrible. this speech is incredibly boring. Huckabee was very sappy, and not really strongly delivered.

man these points are incredibly silly. "you can fit 250 states the size of Delaware inside Alaska." if they want to make this Palin vs Biden they'll get crushed.

this is hard to watch, its so pathetic. maybe I'm bias, but I don't think so. this reminds me of listening to Randi Weingarten of the teachers union, who I generally supported here in NYC, but she was annoying as hell to listen to and completely uninspiring.

Michael Bloomberg, prince of corporate welfare


Gooooliani is up - sweet! (0.00 / 0)
thank GOD he died in Florida. that shocked me. I thought he had this thing for sure. I still can't believe he's not the nominee.

Michael Bloomberg, prince of corporate welfare

Pushback Against the Experience Lie (4.00 / 1)
I have no doubt Sarah Palin will make a good speech that will be well received tonight. In light of how she has been in hiding for the past few days while she has been tarred with negative stories, the bar is incredibly low. If she strings three paragraphs together without saying, "I'm a crook" she'll beat the expectations. I'm not worried about one superficial speech, though, and I'm not really worried about the McCain campaign getting in a pissing match with the media. None of that effects Obama's campaign narrative.

What I am worried about, having seen some of the blurbs of the speech being released, is that Palin is going to try an push the granddaddy of a lie (by implication) that the rest of the conservative media has desperately been trying to push into the mainstream media since she was selected: that Palin's experience is equivalent to Obama's.

It's so patently false that anyone with five minutes and access to google can refute it, but I worry that if the lie goes unchallenged tonight it will be very hard to knock down in an effective manner down the road. And if they can get that lie to stand up, they will score points with it.

Obama cannot allow this to happen.

This is the last gasp of the McCain campaign. If they can make the lie stick, they can get off the canvas. If they can't, it's over. Be vigilant.


Donate to Open Left








Friends of the Earth thanks the OpenLeft community for the ideas you generate and your contributions to the progressive movement.

As an anti-spam measure, there is a 24-hour waiting period after registering before new users can comment.
blog advertising is good for you
blog advertising is good for you
SEARCH

   

Advanced Search